The Allstate Corporation (ALL)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 12:33 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (630 contracts, 9 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±7.3% (range 229.68–266.08) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 18.20 @ strike 250 · ATM IV: 29.5%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.09 | -10% | 87.7% | 12.3% |
| 235.49 | -5% | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| 247.88 | +0% | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| 260.27 | +5% | 27.4% | 72.6% |
| 272.67 | +10% | 12.9% | 87.1% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±7.3% | 29.5% | 6,285 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±9.1% | 27.2% | 5,718 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±10.4% | 26.1% | 9,377 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±13.8% | 26.7% | 3,289 |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 179 | ±14.7% | 26.1% | 227 |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 210 P · 1,850230 P · 1,673240 C · 897260 C · 870230 C · 741
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 15 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 66.7% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 2.5% · median 1.9% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About The Allstate Corporation
The Allstate Corporation, along with its affiliated entities, provides a comprehensive suite of property, casualty, and other insurance offerings throughout the United States and Canada. The company's operations are structured across four primary business segments: Allstate Protection; Protection Services; Allstate Health and Benefits; and Run-off Property-Liability. The Allstate Protection segment delivers a wide array of personal and commercial insurance solutions. This includes standard private passenger auto and homeowners policies, as well as specialized vehicle coverage for motorcycles, trailers, motor homes, and off-road vehicles. Additional personal lines encompass renter, condominium, landlord, boat, umbrella, manufactured home, and stand-alone scheduled personal property policies. Commercial lines products are also available, marketed under the Allstate and Encompass brand names. The Protection Services division focuses on consumer protection and related financial services. Its offerings include product protection plans and technical assistance for mobile phones, consumer electronics, furniture, and appliances. It also provides finance and insurance products such as vehic
Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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SOFI · IV 59.0%MARA · IV 93.3%RIOT · IV 95.6%NU · IV 62.5%C · IV 28.4%WFC · IV 25.5%