ZS historial de movimiento esperado Zscaler, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango55%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado55%
Movimiento esperado promedio±9.9%
Movimiento |real| promedio12.0%
Error medio abs.7.7pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 212.53 | ±4.8% | 202.28–222.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 207.38 | ±6.9% | 193.13–221.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 218.83 | ±7.2% | 203.08–234.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 228.66 | ±7.5% | 211.61–245.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 234.00 | ±7.9% | 215.50–252.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 217.75 | ±7.8% | 200.70–234.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 213.39 | ±7.8% | 196.79–229.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 212.25 | ±8.9% | 193.35–231.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 201.80 | ±10.4% | 180.72–222.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 196.00 | ±10.2% | 175.97–216.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 198.78 | ±10.7% | 177.50–220.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 210.30 | ±13.0% | 182.97–237.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 209.79 | ±13.2% | 182.14–237.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 205.18 | ±13.1% | 178.31–232.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 198.27 | ±13.5% | 171.52–225.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 197.00 | ±13.8% | 169.88–224.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 191.47 | ±14.5% | 163.77–219.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 193.75 | ±14.8% | 165.07–222.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 190.00 | ±14.5% | 162.40–217.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 164.03 | ±13.5% | 141.81–186.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 163.50 | ±13.6% | 141.20–185.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 165.89 | ±14.2% | 142.31–189.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 161.93 | ±14.4% | 138.68–185.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 169.03 | ±14.9% | 143.83–194.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 168.59 | ±14.6% | 143.99–193.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 179.26 | ±19.9% | 143.61–214.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 212.53 | ±8.0% | 195.63–229.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 207.38 | ±9.2% | 188.35–226.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 218.83 | ±9.5% | 198.10–239.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 228.66 | ±9.1% | 207.81–249.51 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.1% | +0.0% | dentro | 207.38 → 207.38 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -5.2% | fuera | 218.83 → 207.38 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -9.3% | fuera | 228.66 → 207.38 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -11.4% | fuera | 234.00 → 207.38 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -4.8% | dentro | 217.75 → 207.38 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -2.8% | dentro | 213.39 → 207.38 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -2.3% | dentro | 212.25 → 207.38 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | +2.8% | dentro | 201.80 → 207.38 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | +5.8% | dentro | 196.00 → 207.38 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | +4.3% | dentro | 198.78 → 207.38 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | -1.4% | dentro | 210.30 → 207.38 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | -1.1% | dentro | 209.79 → 207.38 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +1.1% | dentro | 205.18 → 207.38 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | +4.6% | dentro | 198.27 → 207.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | +5.3% | dentro | 197.00 → 207.38 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.4% | +8.3% | dentro | 191.47 → 207.38 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | +7.0% | dentro | 193.75 → 207.38 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.3% | +9.1% | dentro | 190.00 → 207.38 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | +26.4% | fuera | 164.03 → 207.38 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.9% | +26.8% | fuera | 163.50 → 207.38 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.2% | +25.0% | fuera | 165.89 → 207.38 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.3% | +28.1% | fuera | 161.93 → 207.38 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.6% | +22.7% | fuera | 169.03 → 207.38 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.6% | +23.0% | fuera | 168.59 → 207.38 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.5% | +15.7% | dentro | 179.26 → 207.38 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.2% | +18.5% | fuera | 175.02 → 207.38 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±19.2% | +16.2% | dentro | 178.48 → 207.38 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.5% | +10.1% | dentro | 188.38 → 207.38 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | -0.1% | dentro | 234.00 → 233.73 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +7.3% | fuera | 217.75 → 233.73 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | +9.5% | fuera | 213.39 → 233.73 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | +10.1% | fuera | 212.25 → 233.73 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | +15.8% | fuera | 201.80 → 233.73 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | +19.2% | fuera | 196.00 → 233.73 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | +17.6% | fuera | 198.78 → 233.73 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +11.1% | fuera | 210.30 → 233.73 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +11.4% | fuera | 209.79 → 233.73 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +13.9% | fuera | 205.18 → 233.73 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +17.9% | fuera | 198.27 → 233.73 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +18.6% | fuera | 197.00 → 233.73 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | +22.1% | fuera | 191.47 → 233.73 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.0% | +20.6% | fuera | 193.75 → 233.73 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | +23.0% | fuera | 190.00 → 233.73 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | +42.5% | fuera | 164.03 → 233.73 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.8% | +43.0% | fuera | 163.50 → 233.73 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.0% | +40.9% | fuera | 165.89 → 233.73 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.2% | +44.3% | fuera | 161.93 → 233.73 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | +38.3% | fuera | 169.03 → 233.73 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | +38.6% | fuera | 168.59 → 233.73 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±18.7% | +30.4% | fuera | 179.26 → 233.73 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.6% | +33.5% | fuera | 175.02 → 233.73 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.6% | +31.0% | fuera | 178.48 → 233.73 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±17.4% | +24.1% | fuera | 188.38 → 233.73 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | +0.3% | dentro | 196.00 → 196.60 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -1.1% | dentro | 198.78 → 196.60 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | -6.5% | dentro | 210.30 → 196.60 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.3% | -6.3% | dentro | 209.79 → 196.60 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.6% | -4.2% | dentro | 205.18 → 196.60 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | -0.8% | dentro | 198.27 → 196.60 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -0.2% | dentro | 197.00 → 196.60 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.