XLE riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan1
Tutup dalam rentang100%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi100%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±0.5%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|0.4%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut0.1pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 02 | 0 | 65.05 | ±0.3% | 64.84–65.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 02 | 1 | 64.80 | ±1.1% | 64.08–65.51 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 02 | 2 | 64.20 | ±1.4% | 63.28–65.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 65.05 | ±1.6% | 64.02–66.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 64.80 | ±1.9% | 63.54–66.05 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 64.20 | ±2.2% | 62.81–65.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 65.05 | ±2.4% | 63.51–66.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 64.80 | ±2.4% | 63.22–66.37 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 64.20 | ±2.8% | 62.42–65.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 65.05 | ±2.7% | 63.30–66.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 64.80 | ±3.5% | 62.50–67.10 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 64.20 | ±3.2% | 62.13–66.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 65.05 | ±3.0% | 63.10–67.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 64.80 | ±3.6% | 62.49–67.10 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 64.20 | ±3.6% | 61.88–66.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 65.05 | ±3.5% | 62.76–67.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 16 | 15 | 64.80 | ±4.7% | 61.76–67.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 65.05 | ±4.1% | 62.41–67.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 64.80 | ±4.7% | 61.75–67.85 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 64.20 | ±4.0% | 61.62–66.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 65.05 | ±4.9% | 61.87–68.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 64.80 | ±4.6% | 61.80–67.80 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 64.20 | ±5.1% | 60.92–67.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 30 | 28 | 65.05 | ±5.3% | 61.63–68.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 30 | 29 | 64.80 | ±5.3% | 61.34–68.26 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 30 | 30 | 64.20 | ±5.7% | 60.52–67.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 65.05 | ±5.6% | 61.41–68.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 64.80 | ±6.2% | 60.77–68.83 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 02 | 32 | 64.20 | ±5.7% | 60.55–67.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 09 | 37 | 65.05 | ±6.3% | 60.96–69.14 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.5% | -0.4% | di dalam | 64.20 → 63.96 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.