XLB riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang60%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi60%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±3.7%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|2.8%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut1.9pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 51.01 | ±3.1% | 49.41–52.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 50.92 | ±3.9% | 48.92–52.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 49.66 | ±3.6% | 47.85–51.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 49.70 | ±2.6% | 48.38–51.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 49.38 | ±4.8% | 46.99–51.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 49.27 | ±5.0% | 46.83–51.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 48.90 | ±3.4% | 47.23–50.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 49.73 | ±3.4% | 48.05–51.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 49.50 | ±3.7% | 47.66–51.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 48.86 | ±6.3% | 45.78–51.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 48.53 | ±4.2% | 46.48–50.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 50.60 | ±4.1% | 48.53–52.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 50.60 | ±4.1% | 48.53–52.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 49.78 | ±4.2% | 47.69–51.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 50.05 | ±10.1% | 45.02–55.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 50.78 | ±4.5% | 48.48–53.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 50.21 | ±4.7% | 47.87–52.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 50.57 | ±7.5% | 46.80–54.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 50.52 | ±4.7% | 48.12–52.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 50.95 | ±4.8% | 48.51–53.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 50.74 | ±5.0% | 48.18–53.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 51.49 | ±5.1% | 48.88–54.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 51.98 | ±9.2% | 47.19–56.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 52.44 | ±8.8% | 47.84–57.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 52.48 | ±5.4% | 49.65–55.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 52.63 | ±5.2% | 49.89–55.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 51.01 | ±4.2% | 48.87–53.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 50.92 | ±3.1% | 49.32–52.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 49.66 | ±3.6% | 47.88–51.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 49.70 | ±5.0% | 47.20–52.20 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | +0.0% | di dalam | 50.92 → 50.92 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +2.5% | di dalam | 49.66 → 50.92 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +2.5% | di luar | 49.70 → 50.92 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | +3.1% | di luar | 49.38 → 50.92 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.7% | +3.3% | di luar | 49.27 → 50.92 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +4.1% | di luar | 48.90 → 50.92 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | +2.4% | di dalam | 49.73 → 50.92 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +2.9% | di luar | 49.50 → 50.92 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +4.2% | di luar | 48.86 → 50.92 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +4.9% | di luar | 48.53 → 50.92 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +0.6% | di dalam | 50.60 → 50.92 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +0.6% | di dalam | 50.60 → 50.92 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +2.3% | di dalam | 49.78 → 50.92 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +1.7% | di dalam | 50.05 → 50.92 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +0.3% | di dalam | 50.78 → 50.92 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +1.4% | di dalam | 50.21 → 50.92 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +0.7% | di dalam | 50.57 → 50.92 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +0.8% | di dalam | 50.52 → 50.92 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -0.0% | di dalam | 50.95 → 50.92 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.6% | +0.4% | di dalam | 50.74 → 50.92 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -1.1% | di dalam | 51.49 → 50.92 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -2.0% | di dalam | 51.98 → 50.92 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -2.9% | di dalam | 52.44 → 50.92 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -3.0% | di dalam | 52.48 → 50.92 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -3.3% | di dalam | 52.63 → 50.92 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -4.1% | di dalam | 53.09 → 50.92 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -2.3% | di dalam | 52.09 → 50.92 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -3.3% | di dalam | 52.65 → 50.92 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | +0.1% | di dalam | 49.38 → 49.43 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +0.3% | di dalam | 49.27 → 49.43 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | +1.1% | di luar | 48.90 → 49.43 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -0.6% | di dalam | 49.73 → 49.43 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -0.1% | di dalam | 49.50 → 49.43 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +1.2% | di dalam | 48.86 → 49.43 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +1.9% | di dalam | 48.53 → 49.43 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -2.3% | di dalam | 50.60 → 49.43 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | -2.3% | di dalam | 50.60 → 49.43 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | -0.7% | di dalam | 49.78 → 49.43 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -1.2% | di dalam | 50.05 → 49.43 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | -2.7% | di dalam | 50.78 → 49.43 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | -1.5% | di dalam | 50.21 → 49.43 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -2.3% | di dalam | 50.57 → 49.43 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -2.1% | di dalam | 50.52 → 49.43 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -3.0% | di dalam | 50.95 → 49.43 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -2.6% | di dalam | 50.74 → 49.43 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -4.0% | di dalam | 51.49 → 49.43 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -4.9% | di dalam | 51.98 → 49.43 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | -5.7% | di dalam | 52.44 → 49.43 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -5.8% | di luar | 52.48 → 49.43 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -6.1% | di luar | 52.63 → 49.43 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -6.9% | di luar | 53.09 → 49.43 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -5.1% | di luar | 52.09 → 49.43 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -6.1% | di luar | 52.65 → 49.43 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | di dalam | 48.86 → 48.86 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.6% | +0.7% | di dalam | 48.53 → 48.86 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -3.4% | di luar | 50.60 → 48.86 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -3.4% | di luar | 50.60 → 48.86 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.2% | -1.9% | di dalam | 49.78 → 48.86 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.1% | -2.4% | di dalam | 50.05 → 48.86 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -3.8% | di luar | 50.78 → 48.86 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.