VRTX histórico de movimento esperado Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas121
Fechar dentro do intervalo74%
|Real| abaixo do esperado74%
Movimento esperado médio±4.7%
Movimento |real| médio3.2%
Erro médio absoluto2.3pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 501.95 | ±2.8% | 488.00–515.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 499.74 | ±2.9% | 485.19–514.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 499.50 | ±3.6% | 481.65–517.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 485.22 | ±3.6% | 467.82–502.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 510.00 | ±4.2% | 488.75–531.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 505.50 | ±4.4% | 483.45–527.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 505.64 | ±4.5% | 483.14–528.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 502.31 | ±4.5% | 479.61–525.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 503.50 | ±4.8% | 479.20–527.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 504.73 | ±5.1% | 479.08–530.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 507.01 | ±5.3% | 480.31–533.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 510.72 | ±6.8% | 476.17–545.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 510.72 | ±6.8% | 476.17–545.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 508.30 | ±7.1% | 472.45–544.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 506.07 | ±7.5% | 468.23–543.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 511.00 | ±7.6% | 472.20–549.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 514.63 | ±7.6% | 475.58–553.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 519.51 | ±7.9% | 478.66–560.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 514.51 | ±8.1% | 473.01–556.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 516.21 | ±8.2% | 473.71–558.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 517.93 | ±8.3% | 474.69–561.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 528.80 | ±8.4% | 484.35–573.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 528.80 | ±8.4% | 484.35–573.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 546.12 | ±8.3% | 500.82–591.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 501.95 | ±3.8% | 483.00–520.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 499.74 | ±4.5% | 477.29–522.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 499.50 | ±4.8% | 475.70–523.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 485.22 | ±4.7% | 462.37–508.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 30 | 21 | 510.00 | ±5.0% | 484.55–535.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 30 | 22 | 505.50 | ±5.4% | 478.00–533.00 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | dentro | 499.74 → 499.74 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +0.0% | dentro | 499.50 → 499.74 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | +3.0% | fora | 485.22 → 499.74 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | -2.0% | dentro | 510.00 → 499.74 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | -1.1% | dentro | 505.50 → 499.74 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | -1.2% | dentro | 505.64 → 499.74 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | -0.5% | dentro | 502.31 → 499.74 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | -0.7% | dentro | 503.50 → 499.74 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | -1.0% | dentro | 504.73 → 499.74 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | -1.4% | dentro | 507.01 → 499.74 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -2.1% | dentro | 510.72 → 499.74 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -2.1% | dentro | 510.72 → 499.74 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -1.7% | dentro | 508.30 → 499.74 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -1.3% | dentro | 506.07 → 499.74 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -2.2% | dentro | 511.00 → 499.74 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -2.9% | dentro | 514.63 → 499.74 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -3.8% | dentro | 519.51 → 499.74 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -2.9% | dentro | 514.51 → 499.74 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -3.2% | dentro | 516.21 → 499.74 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -3.5% | dentro | 517.93 → 499.74 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -5.5% | dentro | 528.80 → 499.74 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -5.5% | dentro | 528.80 → 499.74 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -8.5% | fora | 546.12 → 499.74 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -8.9% | fora | 548.51 → 499.74 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -8.9% | fora | 548.51 → 499.74 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -8.9% | fora | 548.51 → 499.74 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -8.4% | fora | 545.81 → 499.74 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -8.4% | fora | 545.81 → 499.74 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | dentro | 510.00 → 510.08 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +0.9% | dentro | 505.50 → 510.08 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +0.9% | dentro | 505.64 → 510.08 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +1.5% | dentro | 502.31 → 510.08 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +1.3% | dentro | 503.50 → 510.08 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +1.1% | dentro | 504.73 → 510.08 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +0.6% | dentro | 507.01 → 510.08 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -0.1% | dentro | 510.72 → 510.08 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -0.1% | dentro | 510.72 → 510.08 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +0.3% | dentro | 508.30 → 510.08 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +0.8% | dentro | 506.07 → 510.08 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -0.2% | dentro | 511.00 → 510.08 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -0.9% | dentro | 514.63 → 510.08 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -1.8% | dentro | 519.51 → 510.08 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -0.9% | dentro | 514.51 → 510.08 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -1.2% | dentro | 516.21 → 510.08 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -1.5% | dentro | 517.93 → 510.08 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -3.5% | dentro | 528.80 → 510.08 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -3.5% | dentro | 528.80 → 510.08 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -6.6% | dentro | 546.12 → 510.08 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -7.0% | dentro | 548.51 → 510.08 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -7.0% | dentro | 548.51 → 510.08 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -7.0% | dentro | 548.51 → 510.08 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -6.5% | dentro | 545.81 → 510.08 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -6.5% | dentro | 545.81 → 510.08 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | +0.0% | dentro | 504.73 → 504.73 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | -0.5% | dentro | 507.01 → 504.73 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -1.2% | dentro | 510.72 → 504.73 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -1.2% | dentro | 510.72 → 504.73 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -0.7% | dentro | 508.30 → 504.73 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -0.3% | dentro | 506.07 → 504.73 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -1.2% | dentro | 511.00 → 504.73 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.