UPS geschiedenis verwachte beweging United Parcel Service, Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte50%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht50%
Gem. verwachte beweging±3.9%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging4.3%
Gem. abs. fout1.9pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 97.46 | ±2.3% | 95.25–99.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 97.48 | ±2.9% | 94.62–100.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 95.78 | ±3.2% | 92.69–98.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 94.90 | ±3.1% | 91.96–97.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 94.57 | ±3.7% | 91.09–98.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 94.14 | ±4.0% | 90.40–97.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 92.33 | ±3.9% | 88.69–95.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 93.11 | ±4.1% | 89.31–96.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 93.53 | ±4.4% | 89.39–97.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 92.99 | ±4.7% | 88.65–97.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 94.38 | ±4.9% | 89.76–99.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 95.16 | ±5.9% | 89.59–100.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 95.16 | ±5.9% | 89.59–100.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 94.93 | ±5.9% | 89.36–100.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 99.23 | ±6.2% | 93.11–105.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 100.71 | ±6.2% | 94.42–107.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 100.13 | ±6.6% | 93.57–106.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 102.00 | ±6.4% | 95.44–108.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 102.06 | ±6.4% | 95.50–108.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 99.80 | ±6.3% | 93.47–106.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 99.87 | ±6.8% | 93.12–106.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 99.48 | ±7.1% | 92.45–106.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 101.52 | ±6.9% | 94.52–108.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 102.32 | ±7.1% | 95.03–109.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 102.37 | ±7.1% | 95.11–109.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 103.73 | ±6.8% | 96.68–110.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 97.46 | ±6.9% | 90.72–104.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 97.48 | ±7.5% | 90.13–104.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 95.78 | ±7.4% | 88.66–102.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 94.90 | ±7.0% | 88.22–101.58 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | binnen | 97.48 → 97.48 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.7% | +1.8% | buiten | 95.78 → 97.48 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +2.7% | buiten | 94.90 → 97.48 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.5% | +3.1% | buiten | 94.57 → 97.48 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.7% | +3.5% | buiten | 94.14 → 97.48 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | +5.6% | buiten | 92.33 → 97.48 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | +4.7% | buiten | 93.11 → 97.48 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +4.2% | buiten | 93.53 → 97.48 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +4.8% | buiten | 92.99 → 97.48 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +3.3% | binnen | 94.38 → 97.48 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +2.4% | binnen | 95.16 → 97.48 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +2.4% | binnen | 95.16 → 97.48 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +2.7% | binnen | 94.93 → 97.48 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.3% | -1.8% | binnen | 99.23 → 97.48 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -3.2% | binnen | 100.71 → 97.48 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -2.6% | binnen | 100.13 → 97.48 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -4.4% | binnen | 102.00 → 97.48 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -4.5% | binnen | 102.06 → 97.48 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -2.3% | binnen | 99.80 → 97.48 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -2.4% | binnen | 99.87 → 97.48 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -2.0% | binnen | 99.48 → 97.48 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -4.0% | binnen | 101.52 → 97.48 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -4.7% | binnen | 102.32 → 97.48 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -4.8% | binnen | 102.37 → 97.48 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -6.0% | binnen | 103.73 → 97.48 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -5.2% | binnen | 102.83 → 97.48 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -5.0% | binnen | 102.64 → 97.48 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -6.5% | binnen | 104.25 → 97.48 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | binnen | 94.57 → 94.57 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +0.5% | binnen | 94.14 → 94.57 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +2.4% | buiten | 92.33 → 94.57 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +1.6% | binnen | 93.11 → 94.57 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +1.1% | binnen | 93.53 → 94.57 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +1.7% | binnen | 92.99 → 94.57 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +0.2% | binnen | 94.38 → 94.57 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -0.6% | binnen | 95.16 → 94.57 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -0.6% | binnen | 95.16 → 94.57 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -0.4% | binnen | 94.93 → 94.57 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -4.7% | buiten | 99.23 → 94.57 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -6.1% | buiten | 100.71 → 94.57 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -5.5% | buiten | 100.13 → 94.57 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -7.3% | buiten | 102.00 → 94.57 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -7.3% | buiten | 102.06 → 94.57 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -5.2% | binnen | 99.80 → 94.57 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -5.3% | binnen | 99.87 → 94.57 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -4.9% | binnen | 99.48 → 94.57 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -6.8% | buiten | 101.52 → 94.57 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -7.6% | buiten | 102.32 → 94.57 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -7.6% | buiten | 102.37 → 94.57 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -8.8% | buiten | 103.73 → 94.57 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -8.0% | buiten | 102.83 → 94.57 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -7.9% | buiten | 102.64 → 94.57 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -9.3% | buiten | 104.25 → 94.57 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | +0.0% | binnen | 92.99 → 93.02 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -1.4% | buiten | 94.38 → 93.02 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -2.2% | binnen | 95.16 → 93.02 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -2.2% | binnen | 95.16 → 93.02 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -2.0% | binnen | 94.93 → 93.02 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -6.3% | buiten | 99.23 → 93.02 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -7.6% | buiten | 100.71 → 93.02 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.