UNH 预期波动历史 UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内74%
|实际值| 低于预期值74%
平均预期波动幅度±4.3%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.8%
平均绝对误差2.1pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 401.10 | ±1.4% | 395.61–406.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 394.78 | ±2.2% | 386.13–403.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 377.78 | ±3.2% | 365.78–389.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 379.46 | ±7.2% | 351.99–406.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 368.82 | ±8.0% | 339.24–398.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 375.00 | ±8.0% | 345.07–404.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 376.32 | ±8.0% | 346.12–406.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 378.00 | ±8.2% | 347.07–408.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 371.49 | ±8.0% | 341.86–401.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 365.50 | ±8.1% | 335.83–395.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 373.29 | ±8.5% | 341.39–405.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 373.04 | ±8.6% | 341.14–404.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 377.34 | ±8.5% | 345.34–409.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 377.34 | ±8.9% | 343.87–410.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 375.50 | ±9.1% | 341.50–409.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 375.63 | ±8.7% | 342.81–408.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 376.21 | ±8.1% | 345.87–406.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 383.46 | ±8.0% | 352.63–414.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 378.75 | ±8.6% | 346.32–411.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 388.19 | ±8.7% | 354.54–421.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 392.74 | ±8.5% | 359.42–426.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 400.26 | ±9.2% | 363.54–436.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 396.85 | ±8.9% | 361.68–432.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 397.47 | ±8.5% | 363.69–431.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 400.23 | ±8.7% | 365.28–435.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 398.63 | ±8.7% | 363.75–433.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 395.58 | ±9.0% | 359.90–431.25 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 389.49 | ±8.7% | 355.74–423.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 401.10 | ±3.8% | 386.02–416.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 394.78 | ±4.0% | 378.86–410.70 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.3% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 379.46 → 379.30 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 368.82 → 379.30 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 375.00 → 379.30 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 376.32 → 379.30 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 378.00 → 379.30 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 371.49 → 379.30 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 365.50 → 379.30 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 373.29 → 379.30 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 373.04 → 379.30 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 377.34 → 379.30 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 377.34 → 379.30 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 375.50 → 379.30 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 375.63 → 379.30 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 376.21 → 379.30 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 383.46 → 379.30 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 378.75 → 379.30 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 388.19 → 379.30 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 392.74 → 379.30 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 400.26 → 379.30 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 396.85 → 379.30 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 397.47 → 379.30 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 400.23 → 379.30 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 398.63 → 379.30 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 395.58 → 379.30 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 389.49 → 379.30 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.5% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 371.49 → 371.90 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | +1.8% | 区间外 | 365.50 → 371.90 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 373.29 → 371.90 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 373.04 → 371.90 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 377.34 → 371.90 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 377.34 → 371.90 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 375.50 → 371.90 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 375.63 → 371.90 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 376.21 → 371.90 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 383.46 → 371.90 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 378.75 → 371.90 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 388.19 → 371.90 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -5.3% | 区间内 | 392.74 → 371.90 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -7.1% | 区间外 | 400.26 → 371.90 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -6.3% | 区间外 | 396.85 → 371.90 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -6.4% | 区间外 | 397.47 → 371.90 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -7.1% | 区间外 | 400.23 → 371.90 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -6.7% | 区间外 | 398.63 → 371.90 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -6.0% | 区间内 | 395.58 → 371.90 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.7% | -4.5% | 区间内 | 389.49 → 371.90 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.3% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 373.29 → 376.59 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.3% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 373.04 → 376.59 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.4% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 377.34 → 376.59 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.8% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 377.34 → 376.59 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.2% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 375.50 → 376.59 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 375.63 → 376.59 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 376.21 → 376.59 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 383.46 → 376.59 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.1% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 378.75 → 376.59 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 388.19 → 376.59 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.5% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 392.74 → 376.59 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 400.26 → 376.59 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.3% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 396.85 → 376.59 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.0% | -5.3% | 区间外 | 397.47 → 376.59 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.1% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 400.23 → 376.59 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.