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TSM earnings & options Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Next reportOct 15, 2026
EPS estimate4.45
Options-implied moveThe size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. recorded at the close before the report
Hist. avg |reaction|3.6%
Median2.9%
Largest10.9%

Implied vs actual, past reports

Definitions →

Solid bars: the actual two-session reaction around each report (signed value printed below). Amber outlines: the move options priced beforehand — recorded from August 2026 onward, so older reports show the actual only.

Nov 22+9.0%Jan 23+6.1%Apr 23+0.4%Jul 23+1.2%Nov 23+2.5%Jan 24+10.9%Apr 24-8.1%Aug 24+0.9%Nov 24-0.3%Jan 25+2.3%May 25-0.3%Jul 25+1.2%Oct 25-3.2%Jan 26+4.7%Apr 26-4.4%Jul 26-5.0%
implied (when recorded)actual reaction

Report-by-report record

Report dateEPS act / estRevenue act / estReactionImpliedIV30 before → after
Jul 16, 2026 4.31 / 3.87 39.36B / 39.83B -5.0% not recorded
Apr 15, 2026 3.49 / 3.31 35.98B / 35.35B -4.4% not recorded
Jan 15, 2026 3.09 / 2.90 33.14B / 33.01B +4.7% not recorded
Oct 16, 2025 2.92 / 2.63 32.36B / 32.07B -3.2% not recorded
Jul 17, 2025 2.50 / 2.38 31.75B / 30.21B +1.2% not recorded
May 15, 2025 2.14 / 2.07 25.80B / 25.46B -0.3% not recorded
Jan 16, 2025 2.19 / 2.20 26.38B / 26.24B +2.3% not recorded
Nov 14, 2024 1.95 / 1.79 23.60B / 23.31B -0.3% not recorded
Aug 14, 2024 1.47 / 1.41 20.66B / 20.33B +0.9% not recorded
Apr 18, 2024 1.34 / 1.30 18.32B / 18.32B -8.1% not recorded
Jan 18, 2024 1.46 / 1.38 19.80B / 19.68B +10.9% not recorded
Nov 14, 2023 1.26 / 1.16 16.89B / 16.96B +2.5% not recorded
Jul 13, 2023 1.13 / 1.07 15.47B / 15.44B +1.2% not recorded
Apr 13, 2023 1.40 / 1.21 16.70B / 16.99B +0.4% not recorded
Jan 12, 2023 1.82 / 1.80 20.54B / 20.57B +6.1% not recorded
Nov 14, 2022 1.79 / 1.69 19.22B / 19.44B +9.0% not recorded

Reaction = close before the report date to the close of the session after it (report timing is not published by the source; this two-session window contains the reaction either way). Implied moves are recorded live before each report from August 2026 onward — never reconstructed. Earnings data: Financial Modeling Prep.

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