TLT geschiedenis verwachte beweging iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost200
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte45%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht45%
Gem. verwachte beweging±1.5%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging2.2%
Gem. abs. fout1.2pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 80.05 | ±0.1% | 79.96–80.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 78.79 | ±1.0% | 78.02–79.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 78.38 | ±1.1% | 77.48–79.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 77.97 | ±1.4% | 76.87–79.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 77.83 | ±1.7% | 76.50–79.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 77.12 | ±1.8% | 75.74–78.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 77.25 | ±1.9% | 75.82–78.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 77.16 | ±2.2% | 75.45–78.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 77.54 | ±2.4% | 75.72–79.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 77.75 | ±2.7% | 75.64–79.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 81.74 | ±2.2% | 79.92–83.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 81.64 | ±2.2% | 79.82–83.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 81.81 | ±2.3% | 79.92–83.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 81.32 | ±2.5% | 79.30–83.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 81.68 | ±2.4% | 79.71–83.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 80.88 | ±2.8% | 78.65–83.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 80.73 | ±3.1% | 78.24–83.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 80.86 | ±2.9% | 78.48–83.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 80.92 | ±2.7% | 78.72–83.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 80.74 | ±3.2% | 78.19–83.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 81.71 | ±2.8% | 79.39–84.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 82.14 | ±2.9% | 79.77–84.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 82.24 | ±2.8% | 79.94–84.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 82.19 | ±2.8% | 79.89–84.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 82.13 | ±3.0% | 79.67–84.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 81.92 | ±3.1% | 79.41–84.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 81.80 | ±3.2% | 79.21–84.39 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 82.46 | ±3.1% | 79.92–85.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 19 | 3 | 80.05 | ±0.8% | 79.41–80.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 19 | 5 | 78.79 | ±1.2% | 77.88–79.70 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±0.3% | +0.1% | binnen | 78.79 → 78.89 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±0.7% | +0.7% | binnen | 78.38 → 78.89 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.0% | +1.2% | buiten | 77.97 → 78.89 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.4% | +1.4% | binnen | 77.83 → 78.89 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.5% | +2.3% | buiten | 77.12 → 78.89 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.6% | +2.1% | buiten | 77.25 → 78.89 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±1.9% | +2.2% | buiten | 77.16 → 78.89 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.1% | +1.7% | binnen | 77.54 → 78.89 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 14 | ±2.4% | +1.5% | binnen | 77.75 → 78.89 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±0.6% | +0.1% | binnen | 77.97 → 78.05 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.0% | +0.3% | binnen | 77.83 → 78.05 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.1% | +1.2% | buiten | 77.12 → 78.05 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.2% | +1.0% | binnen | 77.25 → 78.05 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.5% | +1.2% | binnen | 77.16 → 78.05 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±1.7% | +0.7% | binnen | 77.54 → 78.05 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 12 | ±2.1% | +0.4% | binnen | 77.75 → 78.05 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.1% | +0.0% | binnen | 77.97 → 77.98 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | +0.2% | binnen | 77.83 → 77.98 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | +1.1% | buiten | 77.12 → 77.98 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +0.9% | binnen | 77.25 → 77.98 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +1.1% | binnen | 77.16 → 77.98 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.6% | binnen | 77.54 → 77.98 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +0.3% | binnen | 77.75 → 77.98 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | -4.6% | buiten | 81.74 → 77.98 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | -4.5% | buiten | 81.64 → 77.98 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | -4.7% | buiten | 81.81 → 77.98 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | -4.1% | buiten | 81.32 → 77.98 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | -4.5% | buiten | 81.68 → 77.98 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -3.6% | buiten | 80.88 → 77.98 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -3.4% | buiten | 80.73 → 77.98 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -3.6% | buiten | 80.86 → 77.98 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -3.6% | buiten | 80.92 → 77.98 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -3.4% | buiten | 80.74 → 77.98 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -4.6% | buiten | 81.71 → 77.98 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -5.1% | buiten | 82.14 → 77.98 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | -5.2% | buiten | 82.24 → 77.98 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | -5.1% | buiten | 82.19 → 77.98 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | -5.1% | buiten | 82.13 → 77.98 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -4.8% | buiten | 81.92 → 77.98 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -4.7% | buiten | 81.80 → 77.98 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -5.4% | buiten | 82.46 → 77.98 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±0.2% | +0.0% | binnen | 77.12 → 77.15 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±0.7% | -0.1% | binnen | 77.25 → 77.15 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±0.9% | -0.0% | binnen | 77.16 → 77.15 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.2% | -0.5% | binnen | 77.54 → 77.15 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.7% | -0.8% | binnen | 77.75 → 77.15 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.8% | -5.6% | buiten | 81.74 → 77.15 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 07 | ±1.8% | -5.5% | buiten | 81.64 → 77.15 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±0.2% | -0.1% | binnen | 77.16 → 77.11 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±0.8% | -0.6% | binnen | 77.54 → 77.11 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±1.2% | -0.8% | binnen | 77.75 → 77.11 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±1.6% | -5.7% | buiten | 81.74 → 77.11 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 05 | ±1.6% | -5.5% | buiten | 81.64 → 77.11 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.1% | -0.1% | binnen | 77.54 → 77.48 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | -0.3% | binnen | 77.75 → 77.48 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | -5.2% | buiten | 81.74 → 77.48 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | -5.1% | buiten | 81.64 → 77.48 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | -5.3% | buiten | 81.81 → 77.48 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -4.7% | buiten | 81.32 → 77.48 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.8% | -5.1% | buiten | 81.68 → 77.48 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.