TFC 预期波动历史 Truist Financial Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内58%
|实际值| 低于预期值58%
平均预期波动幅度±4.9%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.9%
平均绝对误差1.8pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 46.44 | ±6.5% | 43.42–49.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 47.08 | ±6.5% | 44.03–50.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 45.58 | ±7.7% | 42.05–49.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 45.98 | ±7.9% | 42.35–49.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 46.23 | ±7.9% | 42.55–49.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 46.18 | ±8.9% | 42.05–50.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 45.58 | ±8.3% | 41.78–49.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 46.25 | ±7.9% | 42.58–49.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 46.33 | ±8.4% | 42.45–50.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 46.45 | ±8.6% | 42.45–50.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 46.28 | ±9.0% | 42.13–50.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 48.07 | ±8.7% | 43.90–52.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 48.07 | ±8.7% | 43.90–52.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 48.56 | ±9.2% | 44.11–53.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 48.56 | ±9.0% | 44.19–52.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 48.38 | ±9.4% | 43.86–52.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 48.44 | ±9.3% | 43.91–52.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 50.41 | ±9.1% | 45.80–55.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 49.95 | ±9.2% | 45.38–54.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 50.40 | ±9.2% | 45.77–55.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 50.33 | ±9.1% | 45.76–54.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 50.27 | ±9.4% | 45.54–54.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 50.66 | ±9.8% | 45.71–55.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 51.65 | ±9.3% | 46.83–56.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 51.60 | ±9.3% | 46.80–56.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 51.61 | ±9.3% | 46.81–56.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 50.81 | ±9.8% | 45.84–55.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 49.44 | ±9.4% | 44.79–54.09 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 49.87 | ±9.7% | 45.05–54.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 46.44 | ±8.1% | 42.69–50.19 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.9% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 47.08 → 47.07 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 45.58 → 47.07 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 45.98 → 47.07 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 46.23 → 47.07 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 46.18 → 47.07 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 45.58 → 47.07 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 46.25 → 47.07 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 46.33 → 47.07 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 46.45 → 47.07 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 46.28 → 47.07 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 48.07 → 47.07 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 48.07 → 47.07 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 48.56 → 47.07 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 48.56 → 47.07 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 48.38 → 47.07 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 48.44 → 47.07 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 50.41 → 47.07 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -5.8% | 区间内 | 49.95 → 47.07 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 50.40 → 47.07 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 50.33 → 47.07 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -6.4% | 区间内 | 50.27 → 47.07 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -7.1% | 区间外 | 50.66 → 47.07 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -8.9% | 区间外 | 51.65 → 47.07 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 51.60 → 47.07 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 51.61 → 47.07 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -7.4% | 区间外 | 50.81 → 47.07 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 49.44 → 47.07 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -5.6% | 区间内 | 49.87 → 47.07 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.3% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 48.56 → 48.56 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 48.38 → 48.56 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.8% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 48.44 → 48.56 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -3.7% | 区间外 | 50.41 → 48.56 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | -2.8% | 区间外 | 49.95 → 48.56 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.8% | -3.7% | 区间外 | 50.40 → 48.56 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.2% | -3.5% | 区间外 | 50.33 → 48.56 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.2% | -3.4% | 区间外 | 50.27 → 48.56 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | -4.1% | 区间外 | 50.66 → 48.56 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.6% | -6.0% | 区间外 | 51.65 → 48.56 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.7% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 51.60 → 48.56 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.6% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 51.61 → 48.56 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.0% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 50.81 → 48.56 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 49.44 → 48.56 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 49.87 → 48.56 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.