SVXY 预期波动历史 ProShares - Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内86%
|实际值| 低于预期值86%
平均预期波动幅度±5.0%
平均|实际|波动幅度1.9%
平均绝对误差3.7pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 63.33 | ±8.4% | 58.01–68.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 62.12 | ±10.0% | 55.90–68.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 64.41 | ±6.8% | 60.01–68.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 65.56 | ±7.1% | 60.88–70.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 64.92 | ±6.9% | 60.45–69.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 64.40 | ±9.1% | 58.55–70.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 65.11 | ±7.4% | 60.31–69.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 65.32 | ±8.2% | 59.99–70.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 64.35 | ±8.5% | 58.88–69.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 64.11 | ±8.5% | 58.69–69.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 63.33 | ±9.4% | 57.41–69.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 64.28 | ±9.7% | 58.05–70.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 64.28 | ±9.7% | 58.05–70.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 63.68 | ±10.1% | 57.26–70.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 63.49 | ±10.3% | 56.97–70.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 63.45 | ±10.8% | 56.62–70.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 63.33 | ±11.6% | 56.01–70.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 62.12 | ±12.0% | 54.67–69.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 64.41 | ±9.7% | 58.16–70.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 65.56 | ±10.1% | 58.96–72.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 64.92 | ±11.1% | 57.72–72.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 64.40 | ±11.1% | 57.23–71.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 65.11 | ±10.6% | 58.23–71.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 65.32 | ±10.6% | 58.37–72.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 64.35 | ±9.1% | 58.48–70.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 64.11 | ±10.4% | 57.44–70.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 63.33 | ±11.5% | 56.05–70.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 64.28 | ±11.5% | 56.91–71.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 64.28 | ±11.5% | 56.91–71.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 63.68 | ±12.2% | 55.88–71.48 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.4% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 62.12 → 62.06 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | -3.6% | 区间外 | 64.41 → 62.06 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.3% | -5.3% | 区间外 | 65.56 → 62.06 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 64.92 → 62.06 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 64.40 → 62.06 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | -4.7% | 区间外 | 65.11 → 62.06 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | -5.0% | 区间外 | 65.32 → 62.06 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 64.35 → 62.06 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 64.11 → 62.06 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 63.33 → 62.06 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 64.28 → 62.06 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 64.28 → 62.06 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 63.68 → 62.06 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 63.49 → 62.06 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 63.45 → 62.06 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 62.82 → 62.06 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 62.40 → 62.06 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 61.93 → 62.06 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 62.89 → 62.06 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 61.54 → 62.06 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 62.66 → 62.06 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 63.19 → 62.06 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 63.53 → 62.06 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 63.97 → 62.06 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 63.07 → 62.06 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 63.05 → 62.06 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 62.65 → 62.06 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 62.87 → 62.06 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.0% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 63.49 → 63.42 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.2% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 63.45 → 63.42 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.0% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 62.82 → 63.42 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.0% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 62.40 → 63.42 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 61.93 → 63.42 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.6% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 62.89 → 63.42 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | +3.1% | 区间外 | 61.54 → 63.42 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.7% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 62.66 → 63.42 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.6% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 63.19 → 63.42 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.9% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 63.53 → 63.42 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.3% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 63.97 → 63.42 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 63.07 → 63.42 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 63.05 → 63.42 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.3% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 62.65 → 63.42 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 62.87 → 63.42 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.