PNC historial de movimiento esperado The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango33%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado33%
Movimiento esperado promedio±3.9%
Movimiento |real| promedio5.2%
Error medio abs.2.4pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 216.21 | ±2.1% | 211.61–220.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 217.39 | ±3.0% | 210.94–223.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 215.80 | ±4.2% | 206.70–224.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 219.48 | ±4.1% | 210.38–228.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 219.21 | ±4.7% | 208.96–229.46 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 219.68 | ±5.2% | 208.33–231.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 217.63 | ±5.0% | 206.73–228.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 220.42 | ±5.3% | 208.82–232.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 220.28 | ±5.1% | 209.13–231.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 221.29 | ±5.4% | 209.39–233.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 219.84 | ±5.8% | 207.19–232.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 233.25 | ±6.3% | 218.50–248.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 233.25 | ±6.3% | 218.50–248.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 232.80 | ±6.6% | 217.45–248.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 231.49 | ±6.7% | 215.99–246.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 231.49 | ±6.7% | 215.99–246.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 232.66 | ±6.7% | 217.01–248.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 244.24 | ±6.5% | 228.34–260.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 244.24 | ±6.5% | 228.34–260.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 242.98 | ±6.6% | 226.88–259.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 240.50 | ±7.1% | 223.50–257.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 241.51 | ±7.1% | 224.31–258.71 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 245.60 | ±6.9% | 228.55–262.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 245.60 | ±6.9% | 228.55–262.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 245.18 | ±6.9% | 228.18–262.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 244.15 | ±6.9% | 227.19–261.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 216.21 | ±3.4% | 208.81–223.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 217.39 | ±3.9% | 208.99–225.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 215.80 | ±4.9% | 205.15–226.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 219.48 | ±4.8% | 209.03–229.93 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.9% | +0.0% | dentro | 217.39 → 217.39 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +0.7% | dentro | 215.80 → 217.39 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -1.0% | dentro | 219.48 → 217.39 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -0.8% | dentro | 219.21 → 217.39 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -1.0% | dentro | 219.68 → 217.39 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -0.1% | dentro | 217.63 → 217.39 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -1.4% | dentro | 220.42 → 217.39 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -1.3% | dentro | 220.28 → 217.39 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | -1.8% | dentro | 221.29 → 217.39 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -1.1% | dentro | 219.84 → 217.39 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -6.8% | fuera | 233.25 → 217.39 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -6.8% | fuera | 233.25 → 217.39 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -6.6% | fuera | 232.80 → 217.39 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -6.1% | dentro | 231.49 → 217.39 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -6.1% | dentro | 231.49 → 217.39 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -6.6% | fuera | 232.66 → 217.39 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -11.0% | fuera | 244.24 → 217.39 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -11.0% | fuera | 244.24 → 217.39 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -10.5% | fuera | 242.98 → 217.39 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -9.6% | fuera | 240.50 → 217.39 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -10.0% | fuera | 241.51 → 217.39 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -11.5% | fuera | 245.60 → 217.39 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -11.5% | fuera | 245.60 → 217.39 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -11.3% | fuera | 245.18 → 217.39 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -11.0% | fuera | 244.15 → 217.39 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -8.4% | fuera | 237.22 → 217.39 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -8.4% | fuera | 237.22 → 217.39 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -10.3% | fuera | 242.22 → 217.39 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | +0.0% | dentro | 219.21 → 219.21 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.3% | -0.2% | dentro | 219.68 → 219.21 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.7% | dentro | 217.63 → 219.21 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | -0.6% | dentro | 220.42 → 219.21 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | -0.5% | dentro | 220.28 → 219.21 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -0.9% | dentro | 221.29 → 219.21 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -0.3% | dentro | 219.84 → 219.21 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -6.0% | fuera | 233.25 → 219.21 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | -6.0% | fuera | 233.25 → 219.21 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -5.8% | fuera | 232.80 → 219.21 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -5.3% | fuera | 231.49 → 219.21 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -5.3% | fuera | 231.49 → 219.21 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -5.8% | fuera | 232.66 → 219.21 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -10.2% | fuera | 244.24 → 219.21 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -10.2% | fuera | 244.24 → 219.21 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -9.8% | fuera | 242.98 → 219.21 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -8.9% | fuera | 240.50 → 219.21 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -9.2% | fuera | 241.51 → 219.21 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -10.7% | fuera | 245.60 → 219.21 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -10.7% | fuera | 245.60 → 219.21 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -10.6% | fuera | 245.18 → 219.21 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -10.2% | fuera | 244.15 → 219.21 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -7.6% | fuera | 237.22 → 219.21 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -7.6% | fuera | 237.22 → 219.21 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -9.5% | fuera | 242.22 → 219.21 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | -0.1% | dentro | 221.29 → 221.03 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | +0.5% | dentro | 219.84 → 221.03 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -5.2% | fuera | 233.25 → 221.03 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -5.2% | fuera | 233.25 → 221.03 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -5.1% | fuera | 232.80 → 221.03 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -4.5% | fuera | 231.49 → 221.03 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -4.5% | fuera | 231.49 → 221.03 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.