PGR earnings & options The Progressive Corporation
Next reportOct 14, 2026
EPS estimate3.98
Options-implied moveThe size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.
recorded at the close before the report
Hist. avg |reaction|4.3%
Median3.6%
Largest11.6%
Implied vs actual, past reports
Definitions →Solid bars: the actual two-session reaction around each report (signed value printed below). Amber outlines: the move options priced beforehand — recorded from August 2026 onward, so older reports show the actual only.
implied (when recorded)actual reaction
Report-by-report record
| Report date | EPS act / est | Revenue act / est | Reaction | Implied | IV30 before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | 4.85 / 4.64 | 21.08B / 19.49B | -9.2% | not recorded | — |
| Apr 15, 2026 | 4.81 / 4.85 | 23.64B / 22.98B | +3.5% | not recorded | — |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 4.67 / 4.44 | 19.51B / 20.30B | +0.1% | not recorded | — |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 4.05 / 4.99 | 21.38B / 21.80B | -7.8% | not recorded | — |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 4.88 / 4.43 | 20.08B / 20.46B | +2.1% | not recorded | — |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 4.65 / 4.79 | 22.21B / 21.47B | -3.9% | not recorded | — |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 4.08 / 3.57 | 18.11B / 18.30B | +1.7% | not recorded | — |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3.58 / 3.69 | 19.46B / 19.02B | +1.4% | not recorded | — |
| Jul 16, 2024 | 2.65 / 2.05 | 17.90B / 17.58B | +2.0% | not recorded | — |
| May 15, 2024 | 3.73 / 3.21 | 17.24B / 17.34B | -3.1% | not recorded | — |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2.96 / 2.38 | 15.13B / 14.90B | +4.5% | not recorded | — |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2.09 / 1.71 | 15.59B / 15.40B | +9.6% | not recorded | — |
| Jul 13, 2023 | 0.50 / 0.88 | 14.72B / 15.02B | -11.6% | not recorded | — |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 0.65 / 1.37 | 16.11B / 15.35B | -8.3% | not recorded | — |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1.50 / 1.43 | 12.46B / 12.74B | +4.4% | not recorded | — |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 0.49 / 1.04 | 13.02B / 13.29B | -4.5% | not recorded | — |
Reaction = close before the report date to the close of the session after it (report timing is not published by the source; this two-session window contains the reaction either way). Implied moves are recorded live before each report from August 2026 onward — never reconstructed. Earnings data: Financial Modeling Prep.