ONON geschiedenis verwachte beweging On Holding AG
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte40%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht40%
Gem. verwachte beweging±6.9%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging11.8%
Gem. abs. fout6.6pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 35.41 | ±3.9% | 34.02–36.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 34.67 | ±4.6% | 33.08–36.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 35.32 | ±5.5% | 33.36–37.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 35.49 | ±5.7% | 33.48–37.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 35.02 | ±6.3% | 32.80–37.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 34.16 | ±6.5% | 31.93–36.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 32.80 | ±7.2% | 30.43–35.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 32.80 | ±7.2% | 30.43–35.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 31.90 | ±7.7% | 29.44–34.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 30.28 | ±8.0% | 27.86–32.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 30.22 | ±8.2% | 27.73–32.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 29.51 | ±9.7% | 26.66–32.36 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 29.53 | ±9.7% | 26.68–32.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 27.38 | ±10.3% | 24.56–30.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 27.45 | ±11.4% | 24.32–30.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 27.28 | ±14.2% | 23.41–31.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 27.55 | ±11.3% | 24.43–30.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 27.02 | ±11.1% | 24.01–30.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 27.39 | ±12.0% | 24.09–30.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 27.50 | ±12.8% | 23.98–31.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 26.85 | ±11.8% | 23.69–30.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 27.02 | ±12.1% | 23.76–30.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 27.28 | ±11.9% | 24.05–30.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 28.06 | ±12.0% | 24.68–31.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 28.18 | ±11.8% | 24.85–31.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 28.34 | ±14.5% | 24.24–32.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 35.41 | ±5.6% | 33.44–37.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 34.67 | ±6.4% | 32.46–36.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 35.32 | ±7.1% | 32.82–37.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 35.49 | ±7.1% | 32.98–37.99 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.2% | +0.2% | binnen | 34.67 → 34.75 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | -1.6% | binnen | 35.32 → 34.75 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | -2.1% | binnen | 35.49 → 34.75 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -0.8% | binnen | 35.02 → 34.75 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +1.7% | binnen | 34.16 → 34.75 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +5.9% | buiten | 32.80 → 34.75 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +5.9% | buiten | 32.80 → 34.75 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +8.9% | buiten | 31.90 → 34.75 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | +14.8% | buiten | 30.28 → 34.75 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +15.0% | buiten | 30.22 → 34.75 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | +17.8% | buiten | 29.51 → 34.75 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | +17.7% | buiten | 29.53 → 34.75 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | +26.9% | buiten | 27.38 → 34.75 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +26.6% | buiten | 27.45 → 34.75 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +27.4% | buiten | 27.28 → 34.75 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +26.1% | buiten | 27.55 → 34.75 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.6% | +28.6% | buiten | 27.02 → 34.75 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | +26.9% | buiten | 27.39 → 34.75 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | +26.3% | buiten | 27.50 → 34.75 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | +29.4% | buiten | 26.85 → 34.75 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.4% | +28.6% | buiten | 27.02 → 34.75 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | +27.4% | buiten | 27.28 → 34.75 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | +23.8% | buiten | 28.06 → 34.75 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | +23.3% | buiten | 28.18 → 34.75 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | +22.6% | buiten | 28.34 → 34.75 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +25.0% | buiten | 27.80 → 34.75 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +24.8% | buiten | 27.84 → 34.75 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | +21.5% | buiten | 28.59 → 34.75 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.7% | +0.2% | binnen | 35.02 → 35.09 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +2.7% | buiten | 34.16 → 35.09 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +7.0% | buiten | 32.80 → 35.09 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | +7.0% | buiten | 32.80 → 35.09 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +10.0% | buiten | 31.90 → 35.09 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +15.9% | buiten | 30.28 → 35.09 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +16.1% | buiten | 30.22 → 35.09 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +18.9% | buiten | 29.51 → 35.09 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +18.8% | buiten | 29.53 → 35.09 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | +28.2% | buiten | 27.38 → 35.09 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +27.8% | buiten | 27.45 → 35.09 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | +28.6% | buiten | 27.28 → 35.09 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +27.4% | buiten | 27.55 → 35.09 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +29.9% | buiten | 27.02 → 35.09 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +28.1% | buiten | 27.39 → 35.09 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +27.6% | buiten | 27.50 → 35.09 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +30.7% | buiten | 26.85 → 35.09 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | +29.9% | buiten | 27.02 → 35.09 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +28.6% | buiten | 27.28 → 35.09 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +25.0% | buiten | 28.06 → 35.09 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +24.5% | buiten | 28.18 → 35.09 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +23.8% | buiten | 28.34 → 35.09 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | +26.2% | buiten | 27.80 → 35.09 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +26.0% | buiten | 27.84 → 35.09 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | +22.7% | buiten | 28.59 → 35.09 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.2% | +1.9% | binnen | 30.28 → 30.85 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | +2.1% | binnen | 30.22 → 30.85 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | +4.5% | binnen | 29.51 → 30.85 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | +4.5% | binnen | 29.53 → 30.85 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | +12.7% | buiten | 27.38 → 30.85 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | +12.4% | buiten | 27.45 → 30.85 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | +13.1% | buiten | 27.28 → 30.85 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.