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MSFT 波动率 Microsoft Corporation

IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.31.5%
HV20How much the stock actually moved, measured from daily closing prices over a past window (annualized). Compare with implied volatility to see what the options market priced versus what happened.21.8%
HV6037.6%
IV − HV20价差 +9.7pt
全市场百分位Where this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 30
自身历史百分位Where today's IV30 sits versus its own daily history — 80 means higher than roughly 80% of recorded observations for that period. 29/60 已记录天数

Cboe delayed options data · 截至 06:40 UTC · 计算方法说明

IV期限结构

各上市到期日的平值隐含波动率,以剩余天数为横轴绘制。

22%29%36%43%1d458d31d
到期时间DTEATM IV25Δ 偏斜The IV gap between 25-delta puts and 25-delta calls for one expiration. Positive skew means downside protection is priced richer than upside exposure.隐含涨跌幅
Oct 21, 2026 1 26.4% +2.8pt ±1.6%
Oct 23, 2026 3 26.9% +3.2pt ±2.3%
Oct 26, 2026 6 23.0% +3.3pt ±2.5%
Oct 30, 2026 10 40.4% +2.8pt ±5.6%
Nov 02, 2026 13 36.4% +5.5pt ±5.8%
Nov 06, 2026 17 35.1% +3.0pt ±6.3%
Nov 13, 2026 24 32.3% +3.3pt ±6.8%
Nov 20, 2026 31 31.4% +3.3pt ±7.5%
Nov 27, 2026 38 29.5% +3.4pt ±7.7%
Dec 18, 2026 59 29.2% +3.2pt ±9.5%
Jan 15, 2027 87 28.5% +3.0pt ±11.2%
Feb 19, 2027 122 30.2% +2.6pt ±14.0%
Mar 19, 2027 150 30.1% +2.5pt ±15.5%
Apr 16, 2027 178 29.7% +2.7pt ±16.7%
Jun 17, 2027 240 30.7% +2.7pt ±19.9%
Sep 17, 2027 332 31.1% +2.4pt ±23.7%

波动率微笑 — Nov 20, 2026

各行权价的隐含波动率。向put倾斜(左侧更高)即为偏斜:下行保护的定价高于上行。

24%32%39%47%532.6430.0635.0
看涨期权看跌期权

隐含与已实现波动率,每日记录

19.4%24.5%29.6%34.8%Aug 31Oct 19
IV30HV20

非必需消费品

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.AZO · AutoZone, Inc.BABA · Alibaba Group Holding…BBY · Best Buy Co., Inc.BYD · Boyd Gaming CorporationCAVA · CAVA Group, Inc.CCL · Carnival Corporation & plc

ETF

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETFBITO · ProShares Bitcoin ETFDIA · State Street SPDR Dow…EEM · iShares MSCI Emerging…EFA · iShares MSCI EAFE ETFEWZ · iShares MSCI Brazil ETFFXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETFGDX · VanEck Gold Miners ETF

科技

AAPL · Apple Inc.ADBE · Adobe Inc.AI · C3.ai, Inc.AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc.AMD · Advanced Micro Device…APP · AppLovin CorporationARM · Arm Holdings plc Amer…ASML · ASML Holding N.V.

金融服务

AFRM · Affirm Holdings, Inc.ALL · The Allstate CorporationALLY · Ally Financial Inc.AXP · American Express CompanyBAC · Bank of America CorporationBLK · BlackRock, Inc.BX · Blackstone Inc.C · Citigroup Inc.

工业

AAL · American Airlines Gro…BA · The Boeing CompanyCAT · Caterpillar Inc.CMI · Cummins Inc.DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.DE · Deere & CompanyEMR · Emerson Electric Co.ETN · Eaton Corporation plc

必需消费品

CELH · Celsius Holdings, Inc.CL · Colgate-Palmolive CompanyCOST · Costco Wholesale Corp…DG · Dollar General CorporationDLTR · Dollar Tree, Inc.EL · The Estée Lauder Comp…GIS · General Mills, Inc.HSY · The Hershey Company