MPC geschiedenis verwachte beweging Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost43
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte19%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht19%
Gem. verwachte beweging±8.0%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging12.2%
Gem. abs. fout4.8pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 478.71 | ±12.4% | 419.36–538.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 479.48 | ±13.0% | 417.03–541.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 483.02 | ±13.2% | 419.12–546.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 479.30 | ±13.5% | 414.65–543.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 454.40 | ±14.0% | 390.95–517.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 463.34 | ±14.5% | 396.34–530.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 442.26 | ±14.3% | 379.01–505.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 434.51 | ±14.0% | 373.66–495.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 434.29 | ±14.4% | 371.79–496.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 422.33 | ±14.9% | 359.33–485.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 420.15 | ±15.1% | 356.85–483.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 389.68 | ±16.6% | 324.88–454.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 401.74 | ±16.4% | 335.84–467.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 404.50 | ±17.4% | 334.05–474.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 422.56 | ±17.1% | 350.11–495.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 422.27 | ±17.6% | 348.07–496.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 414.50 | ±17.5% | 341.85–487.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 478.71 | ±17.0% | 397.56–559.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 479.48 | ±17.1% | 397.63–561.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 483.02 | ±17.3% | 399.27–566.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 479.30 | ±17.5% | 395.45–563.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 454.40 | ±17.7% | 374.15–534.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 463.34 | ±18.3% | 378.44–548.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 442.26 | ±17.8% | 363.46–521.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 434.51 | ±17.6% | 358.21–510.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 434.29 | ±18.0% | 356.09–512.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 422.33 | ±18.3% | 344.88–499.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 420.15 | ±18.4% | 342.65–497.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 389.68 | ±20.0% | 311.88–467.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 401.74 | ±19.8% | 322.39–481.09 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | -0.3% | binnen | 479.48 → 478.07 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | -1.0% | binnen | 483.02 → 478.07 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -0.3% | binnen | 479.30 → 478.07 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +5.2% | buiten | 454.40 → 478.07 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +3.2% | binnen | 463.34 → 478.07 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +8.1% | buiten | 442.26 → 478.07 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | +10.0% | buiten | 434.51 → 478.07 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +10.1% | buiten | 434.29 → 478.07 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +13.2% | buiten | 422.33 → 478.07 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +13.8% | buiten | 420.15 → 478.07 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | +22.7% | buiten | 389.68 → 478.07 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | +19.0% | buiten | 401.74 → 478.07 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | +18.2% | buiten | 404.50 → 478.07 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +13.1% | buiten | 422.56 → 478.07 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | +13.2% | buiten | 422.27 → 478.07 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | +15.3% | buiten | 414.50 → 478.07 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | +16.0% | buiten | 412.19 → 478.07 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | +18.7% | buiten | 402.60 → 478.07 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | +20.2% | buiten | 397.65 → 478.07 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | +19.9% | buiten | 398.56 → 478.07 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.2% | +19.3% | buiten | 400.64 → 478.07 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | +19.7% | buiten | 399.51 → 478.07 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | +22.3% | buiten | 390.99 → 478.07 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | +22.5% | buiten | 390.33 → 478.07 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | +22.6% | buiten | 389.95 → 478.07 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | +22.8% | buiten | 389.23 → 478.07 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.6% | +26.1% | buiten | 378.97 → 478.07 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | +27.2% | buiten | 375.77 → 478.07 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.2% | +0.6% | binnen | 422.56 → 424.89 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.5% | +0.6% | binnen | 422.27 → 424.89 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.9% | +2.5% | binnen | 414.50 → 424.89 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.4% | +3.1% | binnen | 412.19 → 424.89 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | +5.5% | buiten | 402.60 → 424.89 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | +6.8% | buiten | 397.65 → 424.89 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.5% | +6.6% | buiten | 398.56 → 424.89 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.0% | +6.1% | buiten | 400.64 → 424.89 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.1% | +6.4% | buiten | 399.51 → 424.89 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.6% | +8.7% | buiten | 390.99 → 424.89 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.4% | +8.9% | buiten | 390.33 → 424.89 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.1% | +9.0% | buiten | 389.95 → 424.89 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.4% | +9.2% | buiten | 389.23 → 424.89 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.7% | +12.1% | buiten | 378.97 → 424.89 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.8% | +13.1% | buiten | 375.77 → 424.89 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.