MPC earnings & options Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Next reportNov 03, 2026
EPS estimate18.54
Options-implied moveThe size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.
recorded at the close before the report
Hist. avg |reaction|5.1%
Median4.6%
Largest10.7%
Implied vs actual, past reports
Definitions →Solid bars: the actual two-session reaction around each report (signed value printed below). Amber outlines: the move options priced beforehand — recorded from August 2026 onward, so older reports show the actual only.
implied (when recorded)actual reaction
Report-by-report record
| Report date | EPS act / est | Revenue act / est | Reaction | Implied | IV30 before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 04, 2026 | 17.73 / 14.27 | 52.34B / 40.87B | -3.0% | not recorded | — |
| May 05, 2026 | 1.65 / 0.74 | 34.57B / 33.42B | -2.7% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 03, 2026 | 4.07 / 2.72 | 33.42B / 31.08B | +10.7% | not recorded | — |
| Nov 04, 2025 | 3.01 / 3.15 | 34.81B / 33.45B | -4.9% | not recorded | — |
| Aug 05, 2025 | 3.96 / 3.24 | 33.80B / 33.32B | -3.3% | not recorded | — |
| May 06, 2025 | -0.24 / -0.54 | 31.85B / 31.87B | +0.9% | not recorded | — |
| Feb 04, 2025 | 0.77 / 0.02 | 33.47B / 33.14B | +7.0% | not recorded | — |
| Nov 05, 2024 | 1.87 / 0.98 | 35.37B / 34.34B | +7.1% | not recorded | — |
| Aug 06, 2024 | 4.12 / 3.09 | 37.76B / 36.66B | +4.5% | not recorded | — |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 2.58 / 2.42 | 32.71B / 32.07B | -10.7% | not recorded | — |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3.98 / 2.20 | 36.33B / 34.66B | +3.4% | not recorded | — |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 8.14 / 7.75 | 41.03B / 40.05B | +5.7% | not recorded | — |
| Aug 01, 2023 | 5.32 / 4.59 | 36.38B / 34.11B | +2.1% | not recorded | — |
| May 02, 2023 | 6.09 / 5.74 | 34.86B / 35.57B | -10.1% | not recorded | — |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 6.65 / 5.67 | 39.92B / 33.93B | -4.8% | not recorded | — |
| Nov 01, 2022 | 7.81 / 7.07 | 45.79B / 35.85B | +1.0% | not recorded | — |
Reaction = close before the report date to the close of the session after it (report timing is not published by the source; this two-session window contains the reaction either way). Implied moves are recorded live before each report from August 2026 onward — never reconstructed. Earnings data: Financial Modeling Prep.