LYFT 预期波动历史 Lyft, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内70%
|实际值| 低于预期值70%
平均预期波动幅度±6.6%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.1%
平均绝对误差3.4pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 16.82 | ±0.8% | 16.69–16.95 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 16.40 | ±3.3% | 15.87–16.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 16.49 | ±3.5% | 15.91–17.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 16.29 | ±4.3% | 15.60–16.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 16.09 | ±5.0% | 15.29–16.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 15.50 | ±5.0% | 14.73–16.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 15.76 | ±6.0% | 14.81–16.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 15.65 | ±5.8% | 14.73–16.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 15.45 | ±6.7% | 14.41–16.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 15.10 | ±7.2% | 14.02–16.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 14.85 | ±9.2% | 13.48–16.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 14.85 | ±9.2% | 13.48–16.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 15.24 | ±9.2% | 13.85–16.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 15.19 | ±9.4% | 13.76–16.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 15.47 | ±10.1% | 13.91–17.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 15.69 | ±10.4% | 14.06–17.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 15.79 | ±10.5% | 14.13–17.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 15.79 | ±10.8% | 14.09–17.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 15.29 | ±10.6% | 13.66–16.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 15.05 | ±11.3% | 13.36–16.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 14.96 | ±12.4% | 13.11–16.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 16.26 | ±12.7% | 14.20–18.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 16.67 | ±12.4% | 14.61–18.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 16.73 | ±12.3% | 14.67–18.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 17.26 | ±11.6% | 15.25–19.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 17.05 | ±11.5% | 15.08–19.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 16.96 | ±12.0% | 14.93–18.99 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 16.91 | ±12.2% | 14.84–18.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 16.82 | ±4.7% | 16.02–17.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 16.40 | ±4.9% | 15.60–17.20 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 16.29 → 16.22 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 16.09 → 16.22 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +4.6% | 区间外 | 15.50 → 16.22 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +2.9% | 区间内 | 15.76 → 16.22 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 15.65 → 16.22 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +5.0% | 区间外 | 15.45 → 16.22 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +7.4% | 区间外 | 15.10 → 16.22 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | +9.2% | 区间外 | 14.85 → 16.22 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | +9.2% | 区间外 | 14.85 → 16.22 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | +6.4% | 区间内 | 15.24 → 16.22 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | +6.8% | 区间内 | 15.19 → 16.22 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +4.8% | 区间内 | 15.47 → 16.22 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +3.4% | 区间内 | 15.69 → 16.22 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 15.79 → 16.22 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 15.79 → 16.22 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +6.1% | 区间内 | 15.29 → 16.22 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | +7.8% | 区间内 | 15.05 → 16.22 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +8.4% | 区间内 | 14.96 → 16.22 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.5% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 16.26 → 16.22 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 16.67 → 16.22 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 16.73 → 16.22 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -6.0% | 区间内 | 17.26 → 16.22 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 17.05 → 16.22 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 16.96 → 16.22 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.4% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 16.91 → 16.22 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 15.45 → 15.46 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.7% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 15.10 → 15.46 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | +4.1% | 区间内 | 14.85 → 15.46 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | +4.1% | 区间内 | 14.85 → 15.46 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 15.24 → 15.46 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.6% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 15.19 → 15.46 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.7% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 15.47 → 15.46 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 15.69 → 15.46 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 15.79 → 15.46 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 15.79 → 15.46 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 15.29 → 15.46 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 15.05 → 15.46 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.7% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 14.96 → 15.46 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.2% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 16.26 → 15.46 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | -7.3% | 区间内 | 16.67 → 15.46 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.9% | -7.6% | 区间内 | 16.73 → 15.46 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.1% | -10.4% | 区间内 | 17.26 → 15.46 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.6% | -9.3% | 区间内 | 17.05 → 15.46 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | -8.8% | 区间内 | 16.96 → 15.46 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.1% | -8.5% | 区间内 | 16.91 → 15.46 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 14.85 → 14.87 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 14.85 → 14.87 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 15.24 → 14.87 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 15.19 → 14.87 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 15.47 → 14.87 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.7% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 15.69 → 14.87 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.4% | -5.8% | 区间内 | 15.79 → 14.87 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.8% | -5.8% | 区间内 | 15.79 → 14.87 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.1% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 15.29 → 14.87 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.0% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 15.05 → 14.87 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 14.96 → 14.87 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.8% | -8.6% | 区间外 | 16.26 → 14.87 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.6% | -10.8% | 区间外 | 16.67 → 14.87 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.5% | -11.1% | 区间外 | 16.73 → 14.87 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.3% | -13.8% | 区间外 | 17.26 → 14.87 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.