LVS histórico de movimento esperado Las Vegas Sands Corp.
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas121
Fechar dentro do intervalo30%
|Real| abaixo do esperado30%
Movimento esperado médio±5.1%
Movimento |real| médio8.6%
Erro médio absoluto4.3pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 38.01 | ±6.0% | 35.74–40.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 38.01 | ±6.6% | 35.49–40.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 37.02 | ±6.1% | 34.77–39.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 37.04 | ±5.7% | 34.94–39.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 36.25 | ±7.3% | 33.61–38.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 35.92 | ±7.3% | 33.31–38.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 35.98 | ±7.0% | 33.46–38.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 36.31 | ±6.6% | 33.91–38.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 36.61 | ±6.7% | 34.17–39.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 36.23 | ±7.9% | 33.37–39.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 36.58 | ±8.6% | 33.42–39.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 39.75 | ±8.6% | 36.33–43.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 39.75 | ±8.6% | 36.33–43.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 40.31 | ±8.9% | 36.73–43.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 39.98 | ±8.6% | 36.55–43.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 40.80 | ±9.8% | 36.80–44.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 41.18 | ±9.2% | 37.38–44.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 41.63 | ±9.7% | 37.59–45.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 42.40 | ±9.7% | 38.27–46.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 42.83 | ±9.5% | 38.76–46.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 43.00 | ±10.0% | 38.69–47.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 43.33 | ±9.9% | 39.02–47.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 43.98 | ±10.1% | 39.55–48.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 44.50 | ±10.2% | 39.96–49.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 44.51 | ±9.8% | 40.17–48.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 44.07 | ±9.8% | 39.77–48.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 38.01 | ±6.9% | 35.41–40.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 38.01 | ±7.4% | 35.20–40.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 37.02 | ±7.4% | 34.28–39.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 37.04 | ±7.7% | 34.17–39.91 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | dentro | 38.01 → 38.01 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +2.7% | fora | 37.02 → 38.01 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +2.6% | dentro | 37.04 → 38.01 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | +4.8% | fora | 36.25 → 38.01 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +5.8% | fora | 35.92 → 38.01 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +5.6% | fora | 35.98 → 38.01 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | +4.7% | dentro | 36.31 → 38.01 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | +3.8% | dentro | 36.61 → 38.01 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +4.9% | fora | 36.23 → 38.01 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +3.9% | dentro | 36.58 → 38.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -4.4% | dentro | 39.75 → 38.01 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -4.4% | dentro | 39.75 → 38.01 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -5.7% | dentro | 40.31 → 38.01 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -4.9% | dentro | 39.98 → 38.01 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -6.8% | dentro | 40.80 → 38.01 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -7.7% | dentro | 41.18 → 38.01 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -8.7% | fora | 41.63 → 38.01 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -10.3% | fora | 42.40 → 38.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -11.3% | fora | 42.83 → 38.01 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -11.6% | fora | 43.00 → 38.01 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -12.3% | fora | 43.33 → 38.01 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -13.6% | fora | 43.98 → 38.01 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -14.6% | fora | 44.50 → 38.01 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -14.6% | fora | 44.51 → 38.01 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | -13.8% | fora | 44.07 → 38.01 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -13.3% | fora | 43.84 → 38.01 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -13.5% | fora | 43.94 → 38.01 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -15.6% | fora | 45.01 → 38.01 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | -0.2% | dentro | 36.25 → 36.17 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +0.7% | dentro | 35.92 → 36.17 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +0.5% | dentro | 35.98 → 36.17 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | -0.4% | dentro | 36.31 → 36.17 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -1.2% | dentro | 36.61 → 36.17 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -0.2% | dentro | 36.23 → 36.17 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -1.1% | dentro | 36.58 → 36.17 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -9.0% | fora | 39.75 → 36.17 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -9.0% | fora | 39.75 → 36.17 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -10.3% | fora | 40.31 → 36.17 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -9.5% | fora | 39.98 → 36.17 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -11.3% | fora | 40.80 → 36.17 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -12.2% | fora | 41.18 → 36.17 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -13.1% | fora | 41.63 → 36.17 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -14.7% | fora | 42.40 → 36.17 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -15.6% | fora | 42.83 → 36.17 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -15.9% | fora | 43.00 → 36.17 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -16.5% | fora | 43.33 → 36.17 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -17.8% | fora | 43.98 → 36.17 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -18.7% | fora | 44.50 → 36.17 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -18.7% | fora | 44.51 → 36.17 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -17.9% | fora | 44.07 → 36.17 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -17.5% | fora | 43.84 → 36.17 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -17.7% | fora | 43.94 → 36.17 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -19.6% | fora | 45.01 → 36.17 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | +0.0% | dentro | 36.23 → 36.23 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.0% | -1.0% | dentro | 36.58 → 36.23 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -8.9% | fora | 39.75 → 36.23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -8.9% | fora | 39.75 → 36.23 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -10.1% | fora | 40.31 → 36.23 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -9.4% | fora | 39.98 → 36.23 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -11.2% | fora | 40.80 → 36.23 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.