LMT 预期波动历史 Lockheed Martin Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内78%
|实际值| 低于预期值78%
平均预期波动幅度±3.7%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.9%
平均绝对误差1.5pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 551.67 | ±0.5% | 549.14–554.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 522.00 | ±1.8% | 512.65–531.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 504.02 | ±1.9% | 494.57–513.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 509.59 | ±2.5% | 496.99–522.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 507.90 | ±2.9% | 493.15–522.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 500.15 | ±3.0% | 485.20–515.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 509.38 | ±3.4% | 492.18–526.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 507.00 | ±3.7% | 488.45–525.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 505.89 | ±3.7% | 486.94–524.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 506.39 | ±4.5% | 483.74–529.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 523.56 | ±5.2% | 496.11–551.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 522.55 | ±5.3% | 494.70–550.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 535.50 | ±5.1% | 508.40–562.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 534.06 | ±5.4% | 504.96–563.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 535.50 | ±6.1% | 503.05–567.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 538.00 | ±6.3% | 504.30–571.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 533.45 | ±6.2% | 500.30–566.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 530.63 | ±6.1% | 498.03–563.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 524.50 | ±6.5% | 490.30–558.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 530.11 | ±6.8% | 493.81–566.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 525.11 | ±6.6% | 490.21–560.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 536.28 | ±7.2% | 497.73–574.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 526.23 | ±7.0% | 489.43–563.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 524.75 | ±7.1% | 487.40–562.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 533.00 | ±7.1% | 495.25–570.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 532.98 | ±7.3% | 494.23–571.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 545.04 | ±7.3% | 505.34–584.74 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 561.98 | ±7.5% | 519.58–604.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 551.67 | ±4.9% | 524.82–578.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 522.00 | ±5.0% | 495.90–548.10 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 509.59 → 509.59 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 507.90 → 509.59 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +1.9% | 区间外 | 500.15 → 509.59 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 509.38 → 509.59 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 507.00 → 509.59 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 505.89 → 509.59 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 506.39 → 509.59 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 523.56 → 509.59 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.5% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 522.55 → 509.59 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -4.8% | 区间外 | 535.50 → 509.59 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -4.6% | 区间内 | 534.06 → 509.59 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 535.50 → 509.59 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -5.3% | 区间内 | 538.00 → 509.59 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -4.5% | 区间内 | 533.45 → 509.59 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 530.63 → 509.59 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 524.50 → 509.59 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 530.11 → 509.59 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 525.11 → 509.59 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 536.28 → 509.59 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 526.23 → 509.59 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 524.75 → 509.59 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 533.00 → 509.59 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 532.98 → 509.59 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 545.04 → 509.59 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -9.3% | 区间外 | 561.98 → 509.59 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.6% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 505.89 → 505.41 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 506.39 → 505.41 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 523.56 → 505.41 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 522.55 → 505.41 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -5.6% | 区间外 | 535.50 → 505.41 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -5.4% | 区间外 | 534.06 → 505.41 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -5.6% | 区间外 | 535.50 → 505.41 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 538.00 → 505.41 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -5.3% | 区间外 | 533.45 → 505.41 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 530.63 → 505.41 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 524.50 → 505.41 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -4.7% | 区间内 | 530.11 → 505.41 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 525.11 → 505.41 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -5.8% | 区间外 | 536.28 → 505.41 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 526.23 → 505.41 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 524.75 → 505.41 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 533.00 → 505.41 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 532.98 → 505.41 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -7.3% | 区间外 | 545.04 → 505.41 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | -10.1% | 区间外 | 561.98 → 505.41 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 523.56 → 519.56 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.1% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 522.55 → 519.56 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.8% | -3.0% | 区间外 | 535.50 → 519.56 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.8% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 534.06 → 519.56 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.2% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 535.50 → 519.56 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 538.00 → 519.56 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 533.45 → 519.56 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 530.63 → 519.56 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 524.50 → 519.56 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 530.11 → 519.56 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 525.11 → 519.56 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 536.28 → 519.56 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 526.23 → 519.56 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 524.75 → 519.56 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 533.00 → 519.56 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.