IBIT riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan1
Tutup dalam rentang100%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi100%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±0.5%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|0.1%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut0.4pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Sep 02 | 0 | 43.81 | ±0.5% | 43.59–44.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 02 | 1 | 43.67 | ±1.6% | 42.98–44.36 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 02 | 2 | 44.71 | ±2.1% | 43.77–45.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 04 | 2 | 43.81 | ±2.1% | 42.90–44.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 04 | 3 | 43.67 | ±2.8% | 42.43–44.91 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 04 | 4 | 44.71 | ±3.1% | 43.32–46.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 09 | 7 | 43.81 | ±3.4% | 42.31–45.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 09 | 8 | 43.67 | ±4.1% | 41.89–45.45 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 09 | 9 | 44.71 | ±4.3% | 42.80–46.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 11 | 9 | 43.81 | ±4.1% | 42.02–45.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 11 | 10 | 43.67 | ±4.7% | 41.60–45.74 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 11 | 11 | 44.71 | ±5.0% | 42.49–46.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 14 | 12 | 43.81 | ±4.7% | 41.74–45.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 14 | 13 | 43.67 | ±5.2% | 41.38–45.96 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 14 | 14 | 44.71 | ±5.4% | 42.27–47.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 16 | 14 | 43.81 | ±5.3% | 41.47–46.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 16 | 15 | 43.67 | ±9.9% | 39.34–48.01 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 18 | 16 | 43.81 | ±5.9% | 41.22–46.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 18 | 17 | 43.67 | ±6.4% | 40.88–46.47 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 18 | 18 | 44.71 | ±6.5% | 41.80–47.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Sep 25 | 23 | 43.81 | ±7.1% | 40.69–46.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Sep 25 | 24 | 43.67 | ±7.7% | 40.33–47.02 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Sep 25 | 25 | 44.71 | ±7.6% | 41.30–48.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 02 | 30 | 43.81 | ±8.3% | 40.19–47.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 02 | 31 | 43.67 | ±8.8% | 39.80–47.53 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 02 | 32 | 44.71 | ±8.7% | 40.83–48.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 09 | 37 | 43.81 | ±9.3% | 39.73–47.89 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 09 | 38 | 43.67 | ±9.9% | 39.35–47.99 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 09 | 39 | 44.71 | ±9.6% | 40.42–48.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 43.81 | ±10.2% | 39.32–48.30 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aug 31 | ±0.5% | -0.1% | di dalam | 44.71 → 44.67 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.