HON 预期波动历史 Honeywell International Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内83%
|实际值| 低于预期值83%
平均预期波动幅度±4.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.1%
平均绝对误差2.3pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 211.41 | ±1.1% | 209.01–213.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 207.11 | ±2.2% | 202.53–211.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 207.29 | ±2.1% | 202.84–211.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 208.00 | ±2.6% | 202.50–213.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 206.98 | ±3.1% | 200.53–213.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 208.11 | ±3.1% | 201.56–214.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 212.66 | ±3.9% | 204.41–220.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 214.14 | ±3.7% | 206.22–222.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 213.95 | ±3.9% | 205.70–222.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 214.05 | ±4.7% | 204.05–224.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 211.90 | ±5.8% | 199.70–224.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 211.99 | ±5.8% | 199.79–224.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 206.68 | ±5.9% | 194.57–218.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 205.93 | ±5.9% | 193.68–218.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 206.49 | ±6.5% | 193.14–219.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 207.00 | ±6.3% | 194.05–219.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 203.44 | ±7.1% | 189.04–217.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 202.36 | ±6.5% | 189.26–215.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 202.10 | ±6.9% | 188.25–215.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 202.18 | ±6.9% | 188.13–216.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 205.19 | ±7.4% | 189.99–220.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 209.11 | ±7.2% | 194.06–224.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 209.80 | ±7.7% | 193.75–225.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 209.57 | ±7.7% | 193.52–225.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 207.64 | ±7.7% | 191.64–223.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 206.19 | ±7.4% | 190.84–221.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 209.98 | ±8.3% | 192.48–227.48 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 213.34 | ±7.7% | 196.89–229.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 211.41 | ±5.1% | 200.66–222.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 207.11 | ±5.9% | 194.86–219.36 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 208.00 → 207.73 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 206.98 → 207.73 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 208.11 → 207.73 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | -2.3% | 区间内 | 212.66 → 207.73 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -3.0% | 区间外 | 214.14 → 207.73 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -2.9% | 区间外 | 213.95 → 207.73 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 214.05 → 207.73 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 211.90 → 207.73 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 211.99 → 207.73 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 206.68 → 207.73 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 205.93 → 207.73 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 206.49 → 207.73 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 207.00 → 207.73 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 203.44 → 207.73 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 202.36 → 207.73 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +2.8% | 区间内 | 202.10 → 207.73 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 202.18 → 207.73 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 205.19 → 207.73 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 209.11 → 207.73 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 209.80 → 207.73 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 209.57 → 207.73 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 207.64 → 207.73 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 206.19 → 207.73 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 209.98 → 207.73 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 213.34 → 207.73 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 213.95 → 213.99 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 214.05 → 213.99 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 211.90 → 213.99 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 211.99 → 213.99 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | +3.5% | 区间内 | 206.68 → 213.99 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 205.93 → 213.99 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 206.49 → 213.99 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | +3.4% | 区间内 | 207.00 → 213.99 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | +5.2% | 区间外 | 203.44 → 213.99 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.1% | +5.7% | 区间外 | 202.36 → 213.99 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | +5.9% | 区间外 | 202.10 → 213.99 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | +5.8% | 区间外 | 202.18 → 213.99 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | +4.3% | 区间内 | 205.19 → 213.99 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 209.11 → 213.99 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | +2.0% | 区间内 | 209.80 → 213.99 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | +2.1% | 区间内 | 209.57 → 213.99 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.5% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 207.64 → 213.99 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 206.19 → 213.99 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 209.98 → 213.99 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 213.34 → 213.99 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.6% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 211.90 → 212.55 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.6% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 211.99 → 212.55 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | +2.8% | 区间外 | 206.68 → 212.55 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.4% | +3.2% | 区间内 | 205.93 → 212.55 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.4% | +2.9% | 区间内 | 206.49 → 212.55 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.9% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 207.00 → 212.55 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | +4.5% | 区间外 | 203.44 → 212.55 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +5.0% | 区间外 | 202.36 → 212.55 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | +5.2% | 区间外 | 202.10 → 212.55 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | +5.1% | 区间外 | 202.18 → 212.55 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | +3.6% | 区间内 | 205.19 → 212.55 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 209.11 → 212.55 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 209.80 → 212.55 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | +1.4% | 区间内 | 209.57 → 212.55 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 207.64 → 212.55 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.