GME historial de movimiento esperado GameStop Corp.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas93
Cierre dentro del rango22%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado22%
Movimiento esperado promedio±7.5%
Movimiento |real| promedio15.3%
Error medio abs.8.7pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 26.77 | ±0.7% | 26.57–26.96 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 26.45 | ±5.1% | 25.11–27.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 27.91 | ±5.7% | 26.32–29.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 26.57 | ±7.5% | 24.57–28.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 25.34 | ±8.0% | 23.31–27.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 24.57 | ±6.8% | 22.91–26.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 24.77 | ±7.5% | 22.91–26.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 25.30 | ±7.6% | 23.38–27.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 25.07 | ±8.1% | 23.04–27.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 24.14 | ±7.8% | 22.26–26.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 24.07 | ±10.8% | 21.46–26.68 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 24.10 | ±10.8% | 21.50–26.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 23.35 | ±10.3% | 20.95–25.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 22.57 | ±10.2% | 20.27–24.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 22.77 | ±11.5% | 20.14–25.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 21.96 | ±10.5% | 19.65–24.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 21.43 | ±10.1% | 19.27–23.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 21.58 | ±10.9% | 19.22–23.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 21.12 | ±10.5% | 18.91–23.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 20.41 | ±10.1% | 18.34–22.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 19.99 | ±11.0% | 17.79–22.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 18.65 | ±11.8% | 16.45–20.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 19.21 | ±12.8% | 16.75–21.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 19.20 | ±12.8% | 16.74–21.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 19.26 | ±13.1% | 16.74–21.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 18.99 | ±13.8% | 16.37–21.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 18.79 | ±14.7% | 16.03–21.55 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 18.44 | ±12.9% | 16.06–20.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 26.77 | ±9.1% | 24.34–29.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 26.45 | ±10.2% | 23.77–29.14 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | -0.0% | dentro | 26.57 → 26.56 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +4.8% | fuera | 25.34 → 26.56 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +8.1% | fuera | 24.57 → 26.56 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +7.2% | fuera | 24.77 → 26.56 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +5.0% | dentro | 25.30 → 26.56 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +5.9% | fuera | 25.07 → 26.56 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +10.0% | fuera | 24.14 → 26.56 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | +10.3% | fuera | 24.07 → 26.56 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | +10.2% | fuera | 24.10 → 26.56 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | +13.7% | fuera | 23.35 → 26.56 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +17.7% | fuera | 22.57 → 26.56 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +16.6% | fuera | 22.77 → 26.56 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | +20.9% | fuera | 21.96 → 26.56 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +23.9% | fuera | 21.43 → 26.56 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | +23.1% | fuera | 21.58 → 26.56 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +25.7% | fuera | 21.12 → 26.56 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | +30.1% | fuera | 20.41 → 26.56 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | +32.9% | fuera | 19.99 → 26.56 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | +42.4% | fuera | 18.65 → 26.56 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | +38.3% | fuera | 19.21 → 26.56 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | +38.3% | fuera | 19.20 → 26.56 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.5% | +37.9% | fuera | 19.26 → 26.56 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.5% | +39.8% | fuera | 18.99 → 26.56 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.3% | +41.4% | fuera | 18.79 → 26.56 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.6% | +44.0% | fuera | 18.44 → 26.56 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -1.5% | dentro | 25.07 → 24.70 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | +2.3% | dentro | 24.14 → 24.70 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.4% | +2.6% | dentro | 24.07 → 24.70 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.4% | +2.5% | dentro | 24.10 → 24.70 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.4% | +5.8% | dentro | 23.35 → 24.70 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.0% | +9.4% | fuera | 22.57 → 24.70 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | +8.5% | fuera | 22.77 → 24.70 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.6% | +12.5% | fuera | 21.96 → 24.70 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | +15.3% | fuera | 21.43 → 24.70 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.4% | +14.5% | fuera | 21.58 → 24.70 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | +16.9% | fuera | 21.12 → 24.70 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | +21.0% | fuera | 20.41 → 24.70 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | +23.6% | fuera | 19.99 → 24.70 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | +32.4% | fuera | 18.65 → 24.70 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.4% | +28.6% | fuera | 19.21 → 24.70 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.4% | +28.6% | fuera | 19.20 → 24.70 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.3% | +28.2% | fuera | 19.26 → 24.70 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.6% | +30.0% | fuera | 18.99 → 24.70 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.4% | +31.5% | fuera | 18.79 → 24.70 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.1% | +33.9% | fuera | 18.44 → 24.70 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | -2.8% | dentro | 24.07 → 23.39 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | -2.9% | dentro | 24.10 → 23.39 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.5% | +0.2% | dentro | 23.35 → 23.39 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | +3.6% | dentro | 22.57 → 23.39 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.7% | +2.7% | dentro | 22.77 → 23.39 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.9% | +6.5% | fuera | 21.96 → 23.39 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.9% | +9.1% | fuera | 21.43 → 23.39 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.0% | +8.4% | fuera | 21.58 → 23.39 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.7% | +10.7% | fuera | 21.12 → 23.39 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.8% | +14.6% | fuera | 20.41 → 23.39 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.1% | +17.0% | fuera | 19.99 → 23.39 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.1% | +25.4% | fuera | 18.65 → 23.39 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.3% | +21.8% | fuera | 19.21 → 23.39 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.3% | +21.8% | fuera | 19.20 → 23.39 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.1% | +21.4% | fuera | 19.26 → 23.39 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.