EOG historial de movimiento esperado EOG Resources, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango78%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado78%
Movimiento esperado promedio±5.2%
Movimiento |real| promedio3.7%
Error medio abs.2.7pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 157.50 | ±2.9% | 152.88–162.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 158.01 | ±3.6% | 152.38–163.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 154.19 | ±3.8% | 148.39–159.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 153.17 | ±4.1% | 146.82–159.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 148.16 | ±4.7% | 141.16–155.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 148.51 | ±4.9% | 141.26–155.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 144.28 | ±5.3% | 136.68–151.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 144.58 | ±5.6% | 136.53–152.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 144.08 | ±5.7% | 135.93–152.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 141.38 | ±6.2% | 132.63–150.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 141.31 | ±6.1% | 132.76–149.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 139.52 | ±7.7% | 128.77–150.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 140.29 | ±7.6% | 129.69–150.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 142.00 | ±7.7% | 131.06–152.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 144.43 | ±8.2% | 132.58–156.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 144.29 | ±8.2% | 132.39–156.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 145.15 | ±8.8% | 132.35–157.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 153.80 | ±8.7% | 140.35–167.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 147.36 | ±8.7% | 134.51–160.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 146.64 | ±8.9% | 133.59–159.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 147.65 | ±9.2% | 134.05–161.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 147.86 | ±9.3% | 134.06–161.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 145.19 | ±8.7% | 132.54–157.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 145.96 | ±9.2% | 132.51–159.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 145.96 | ±9.2% | 132.51–159.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 146.20 | ±9.2% | 132.75–159.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 157.50 | ±4.5% | 150.40–164.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 158.01 | ±4.9% | 150.26–165.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 154.19 | ±5.2% | 146.12–162.26 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 153.17 | ±5.5% | 144.77–161.57 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.9% | +0.0% | dentro | 158.01 → 158.01 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | +2.5% | fuera | 154.19 → 158.01 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +3.2% | fuera | 153.17 → 158.01 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +6.6% | fuera | 148.16 → 158.01 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +6.4% | fuera | 148.51 → 158.01 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +9.5% | fuera | 144.28 → 158.01 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +9.3% | fuera | 144.58 → 158.01 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +9.7% | fuera | 144.08 → 158.01 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +11.8% | fuera | 141.38 → 158.01 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +11.8% | fuera | 141.31 → 158.01 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | +13.3% | fuera | 139.52 → 158.01 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +12.6% | fuera | 140.29 → 158.01 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | +11.3% | fuera | 142.00 → 158.01 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +9.4% | fuera | 144.43 → 158.01 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | +9.5% | fuera | 144.29 → 158.01 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | +8.9% | fuera | 145.15 → 158.01 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | +2.7% | dentro | 153.80 → 158.01 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | +7.2% | dentro | 147.36 → 158.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | +7.8% | dentro | 146.64 → 158.01 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | +7.0% | dentro | 147.65 → 158.01 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | +6.9% | dentro | 147.86 → 158.01 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | +8.8% | fuera | 145.19 → 158.01 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | +8.3% | dentro | 145.96 → 158.01 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | +8.3% | dentro | 145.96 → 158.01 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | +8.1% | dentro | 146.20 → 158.01 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | +6.2% | dentro | 148.75 → 158.01 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.3% | +9.0% | dentro | 144.97 → 158.01 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +9.3% | fuera | 144.61 → 158.01 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | dentro | 148.16 → 148.16 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | -0.2% | dentro | 148.51 → 148.16 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +2.7% | fuera | 144.28 → 148.16 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +2.5% | fuera | 144.58 → 148.16 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +2.8% | dentro | 144.08 → 148.16 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | +4.8% | fuera | 141.38 → 148.16 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +4.8% | fuera | 141.31 → 148.16 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +6.2% | fuera | 139.52 → 148.16 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +5.6% | fuera | 140.29 → 148.16 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +4.3% | dentro | 142.00 → 148.16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +2.6% | dentro | 144.43 → 148.16 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | +2.7% | dentro | 144.29 → 148.16 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | +2.1% | dentro | 145.15 → 148.16 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -3.7% | dentro | 153.80 → 148.16 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +0.5% | dentro | 147.36 → 148.16 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +1.0% | dentro | 146.64 → 148.16 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | +0.3% | dentro | 147.65 → 148.16 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | +0.2% | dentro | 147.86 → 148.16 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | +2.0% | dentro | 145.19 → 148.16 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | +1.5% | dentro | 145.96 → 148.16 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | +1.5% | dentro | 145.96 → 148.16 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | +1.3% | dentro | 146.20 → 148.16 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -0.4% | dentro | 148.75 → 148.16 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | +2.2% | dentro | 144.97 → 148.16 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.3% | +2.5% | dentro | 144.61 → 148.16 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | +0.0% | dentro | 141.38 → 141.38 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | +0.1% | dentro | 141.31 → 141.38 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | +1.3% | dentro | 139.52 → 141.38 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | +0.8% | dentro | 140.29 → 141.38 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -0.4% | dentro | 142.00 → 141.38 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -2.1% | dentro | 144.43 → 141.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -2.0% | dentro | 144.29 → 141.38 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.