ENPH 预期波动历史 Enphase Energy, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内78%
|实际值| 低于预期值78%
平均预期波动幅度±9.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度6.1%
平均绝对误差3.5pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 30.56 | ±2.7% | 29.74–31.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 29.17 | ±5.0% | 27.72–30.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 31.98 | ±5.0% | 30.38–33.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 32.66 | ±5.9% | 30.74–34.59 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 32.84 | ±7.0% | 30.55–35.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 33.29 | ±7.2% | 30.89–35.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 33.90 | ±8.0% | 31.20–36.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 33.25 | ±7.5% | 30.74–35.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 33.48 | ±8.7% | 30.57–36.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 32.75 | ±9.0% | 29.81–35.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 34.47 | ±12.7% | 30.09–38.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 34.53 | ±12.7% | 30.15–38.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 34.63 | ±13.9% | 29.83–39.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 34.64 | ±13.4% | 29.99–39.29 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 36.02 | ±14.1% | 30.93–41.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 35.65 | ±14.4% | 30.52–40.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 36.64 | ±15.5% | 30.95–42.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 36.82 | ±16.2% | 30.87–42.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 36.61 | ±15.6% | 30.91–42.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 36.87 | ±17.2% | 30.52–43.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 36.73 | ±16.9% | 30.50–42.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 38.90 | ±18.1% | 31.87–45.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 36.37 | ±16.7% | 30.31–42.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 36.37 | ±16.7% | 30.31–42.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 36.23 | ±17.4% | 29.94–42.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 35.40 | ±17.2% | 29.32–41.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 35.74 | ±17.5% | 29.48–41.99 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 36.42 | ±18.5% | 29.66–43.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 30.56 | ±7.2% | 28.36–32.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 29.17 | ±8.2% | 26.79–31.56 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 32.66 → 32.81 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 32.84 → 32.81 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 33.29 → 32.81 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 33.90 → 32.81 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 33.25 → 32.81 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 33.48 → 32.81 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 32.75 → 32.81 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | -4.8% | 区间内 | 34.47 → 32.81 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 34.53 → 32.81 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -5.3% | 区间内 | 34.63 → 32.81 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | -5.3% | 区间内 | 34.64 → 32.81 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | -8.9% | 区间内 | 36.02 → 32.81 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.8% | -8.0% | 区间内 | 35.65 → 32.81 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.1% | -10.5% | 区间内 | 36.64 → 32.81 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | -10.9% | 区间内 | 36.82 → 32.81 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.0% | -10.4% | 区间内 | 36.61 → 32.81 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.0% | -11.0% | 区间内 | 36.87 → 32.81 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.4% | -10.7% | 区间内 | 36.73 → 32.81 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | -15.7% | 区间外 | 38.90 → 32.81 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.5% | -9.8% | 区间内 | 36.37 → 32.81 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.5% | -9.8% | 区间内 | 36.37 → 32.81 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.2% | -9.4% | 区间内 | 36.23 → 32.81 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.2% | -7.3% | 区间内 | 35.40 → 32.81 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.9% | -8.2% | 区间内 | 35.74 → 32.81 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±16.3% | -9.9% | 区间内 | 36.42 → 32.81 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 33.48 → 33.47 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 32.75 → 33.47 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | -2.9% | 区间内 | 34.47 → 33.47 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | -3.1% | 区间内 | 34.53 → 33.47 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 34.63 → 33.47 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.2% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 34.64 → 33.47 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.0% | -7.1% | 区间内 | 36.02 → 33.47 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.7% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 35.65 → 33.47 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.4% | -8.7% | 区间内 | 36.64 → 33.47 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±11.6% | -9.1% | 区间内 | 36.82 → 33.47 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.0% | -8.6% | 区间内 | 36.61 → 33.47 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.1% | -9.2% | 区间内 | 36.87 → 33.47 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.5% | -8.9% | 区间内 | 36.73 → 33.47 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.5% | -14.0% | 区间外 | 38.90 → 33.47 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.5% | -8.0% | 区间内 | 36.37 → 33.47 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.5% | -8.0% | 区间内 | 36.37 → 33.47 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±13.6% | -7.6% | 区间内 | 36.23 → 33.47 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±12.3% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 35.40 → 33.47 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.3% | -6.3% | 区间内 | 35.74 → 33.47 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.5% | -8.1% | 区间内 | 36.42 → 33.47 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -6.0% | 区间外 | 34.47 → 32.40 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -6.2% | 区间外 | 34.53 → 32.40 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.4% | -6.4% | 区间外 | 34.63 → 32.40 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.1% | -6.5% | 区间外 | 34.64 → 32.40 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | -10.1% | 区间外 | 36.02 → 32.40 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.0% | -9.1% | 区间外 | 35.65 → 32.40 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.8% | -11.6% | 区间外 | 36.64 → 32.40 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.2% | -12.0% | 区间外 | 36.82 → 32.40 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±9.5% | -11.5% | 区间外 | 36.61 → 32.40 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.7% | -12.1% | 区间外 | 36.87 → 32.40 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.5% | -11.8% | 区间外 | 36.73 → 32.40 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±12.0% | -16.7% | 区间外 | 38.90 → 32.40 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.7% | -10.9% | 区间外 | 36.37 → 32.40 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±10.7% | -10.9% | 区间外 | 36.37 → 32.40 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±11.7% | -10.6% | 区间内 | 36.23 → 32.40 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.