Salesforce, Inc. (CRM)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 18:33 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,894 contracts, 18 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (15 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±6.2% (range 250.14–283.44) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 16.65 @ strike 265 · ATM IV: 38.3%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 240.11 | -10% | 90.6% | 9.4% |
| 253.45 | -5% | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| 266.79 | +0% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 280.13 | +5% | 25.2% | 74.8% |
| 293.47 | +10% | 10.3% | 89.7% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 1 | ±2.1% | 46.9% | 94.2K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 8 | ±4.5% | 37.7% | 38.4K |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±6.2% | 38.3% | 270.8K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 22 | ±7.5% | 38.1% | 15.2K |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 29 | ±8.5% | 37.8% | 5,362 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 36 | ±9.5% | 37.9% | 1,245 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±10.5% | 37.8% | 51.9K |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50 | ±11.3% | 38.4% | 0 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±14.5% | 38.9% | 49.8K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±18.3% | 42.5% | 88.1K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 134 | ±20.3% | 41.9% | 164.3K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 169 | ±22.9% | 42.5% | 6,537 |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 200 C · 20.7K190 P · 18.1K260 C · 17.7K210 P · 16.8K240 P · 16.3K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 7.0% · median 3.7% (21 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Salesforce, Inc.
Salesforce, Inc. is a leading provider of customer relationship management (CRM) solutions, dedicated to connecting businesses and their clientele on a global scale. At its core, the Customer 360 platform empowers organizations to create seamless, integrated experiences for their customers. The company's extensive suite of services encompasses a wide array of functionalities: Sales: Tools designed to manage sales pipelines, track leads, forecast opportunities, extract data-driven insights through analytics, and streamline the creation of quotes, contracts, and invoices. Service: Capabilities enabling companies to deliver highly personalized, trustworthy, and scalable customer support. Platform: A versatile development environment, featuring intuitive drag-and-drop tools, that allows businesses of diverse sizes, locations, and industries to build tailored applications, thereby strengthening customer relationships. Learning: An online educational platform providing accessible training to acquire sought-after Salesforce skills. Slack: A comprehensive system for team collaboration and engagement. Marketing: Solutions for strategizing, personalizing, and optimizing individual customer m
Technology · Software - Application · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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