CLF 预期波动历史 Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内87%
|实际值| 低于预期值87%
平均预期波动幅度±9.3%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.3%
平均绝对误差5.6pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | Oct 23 | 3 | 13.66 | ±5.5% | 12.91–14.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 14.14 | ±7.5% | 13.07–15.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 12.14 | ±12.2% | 10.66–13.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 12.57 | ±12.4% | 11.01–14.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 12.80 | ±12.9% | 11.15–14.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 13.00 | ±14.2% | 11.15–14.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 12.22 | ±13.1% | 10.62–13.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 12.08 | ±13.0% | 10.51–13.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 12.32 | ±14.0% | 10.60–14.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 12.24 | ±13.8% | 10.55–13.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 11.27 | ±14.5% | 9.63–12.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 11.47 | ±12.3% | 10.05–12.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 12.57 | ±14.8% | 10.71–14.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 12.57 | ±14.8% | 10.71–14.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 12.09 | ±15.5% | 10.22–13.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 12.57 | ±15.2% | 10.66–14.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 12.82 | ±15.9% | 10.78–14.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 12.14 | ±17.2% | 10.05–14.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 11.80 | ±16.6% | 9.84–13.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 11.67 | ±15.9% | 9.82–13.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 12.04 | ±17.9% | 9.88–14.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 11.84 | ±18.2% | 9.69–13.99 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 12.15 | ±18.6% | 9.88–14.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 12.32 | ±18.5% | 10.04–14.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 12.46 | ±19.9% | 9.98–14.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 12.42 | ±18.0% | 10.19–14.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 12.24 | ±19.6% | 9.85–14.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 20 | Oct 30 | 10 | 13.66 | ±8.9% | 12.44–14.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 14.14 | ±10.6% | 12.63–15.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 12.14 | ±14.5% | 10.37–13.90 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.3% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 12.14 → 12.12 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 12.57 → 12.12 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.8% | -5.3% | 区间外 | 12.80 → 12.12 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -6.8% | 区间内 | 13.00 → 12.12 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 12.22 → 12.12 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 12.08 → 12.12 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 12.32 → 12.12 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 12.24 → 12.12 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +7.6% | 区间内 | 11.27 → 12.12 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +5.7% | 区间内 | 11.47 → 12.12 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 12.57 → 12.12 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 12.57 → 12.12 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.0% | +0.2% | 区间内 | 12.09 → 12.12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.0% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 12.57 → 12.12 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.2% | -5.5% | 区间内 | 12.82 → 12.12 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 12.14 → 12.12 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.8% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 11.80 → 12.12 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.1% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 11.67 → 12.12 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 12.04 → 12.12 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.9% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 11.84 → 12.12 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.7% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 12.15 → 12.12 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.5% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 12.32 → 12.12 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.1% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 12.46 → 12.12 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.9% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 12.42 → 12.12 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.1% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 12.24 → 12.12 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.3% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 12.39 → 12.12 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.8% | +4.7% | 区间内 | 11.57 → 12.12 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.0% | +4.3% | 区间内 | 11.62 → 12.12 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 13.00 → 12.98 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +6.2% | 区间外 | 12.22 → 12.98 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +7.5% | 区间外 | 12.08 → 12.98 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +5.4% | 区间外 | 12.32 → 12.98 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | +6.1% | 区间外 | 12.24 → 12.98 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +15.2% | 区间外 | 11.27 → 12.98 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +13.2% | 区间外 | 11.47 → 12.98 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 12.57 → 12.98 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 12.57 → 12.98 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +7.4% | 区间内 | 12.09 → 12.98 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 12.57 → 12.98 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 12.82 → 12.98 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.6% | +6.9% | 区间内 | 12.14 → 12.98 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.4% | +10.0% | 区间内 | 11.80 → 12.98 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | +11.2% | 区间内 | 11.67 → 12.98 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.7% | +7.8% | 区间内 | 12.04 → 12.98 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | +9.6% | 区间内 | 11.84 → 12.98 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.4% | +6.8% | 区间内 | 12.15 → 12.98 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.9% | +5.4% | 区间内 | 12.32 → 12.98 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | +4.2% | 区间内 | 12.46 → 12.98 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.1% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 12.42 → 12.98 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.7% | +6.0% | 区间内 | 12.24 → 12.98 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.8% | +4.7% | 区间内 | 12.39 → 12.98 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.2% | +12.2% | 区间内 | 11.57 → 12.98 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.6% | +11.7% | 区间内 | 11.62 → 12.98 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 11.27 → 11.32 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.9% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 11.47 → 11.32 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 12.57 → 11.32 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 12.57 → 11.32 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.9% | -6.4% | 区间内 | 12.09 → 11.32 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 12.57 → 11.32 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.2% | -11.7% | 区间外 | 12.82 → 11.32 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.