CHWY 预期波动历史 Chewy, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内40%
|实际值| 低于预期值40%
平均预期波动幅度±9.1%
平均|实际|波动幅度10.5%
平均绝对误差4.6pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 20.58 | ±4.3% | 19.69–21.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 20.97 | ±5.1% | 19.89–22.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 20.79 | ±6.8% | 19.39–22.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 19.68 | ±6.4% | 18.43–20.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 18.93 | ±6.6% | 17.68–20.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 18.82 | ±6.7% | 17.56–20.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 18.22 | ±7.8% | 16.80–19.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 18.21 | ±7.9% | 16.78–19.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 18.22 | ±7.4% | 16.86–19.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 18.17 | ±8.7% | 16.59–19.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 17.72 | ±9.4% | 16.05–19.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 19.72 | ±12.8% | 17.19–22.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 19.68 | ±12.9% | 17.15–22.21 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 20.67 | ±10.6% | 18.48–22.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 21.03 | ±11.6% | 18.59–23.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 20.83 | ±11.3% | 18.48–23.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 21.10 | ±10.8% | 18.83–23.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 21.27 | ±12.2% | 18.67–23.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 21.45 | ±12.7% | 18.73–24.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 20.34 | ±12.3% | 17.83–22.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 21.06 | ±12.9% | 18.34–23.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 20.66 | ±13.3% | 17.91–23.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 23.39 | ±16.2% | 19.59–27.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 23.66 | ±16.8% | 19.68–27.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 23.94 | ±17.0% | 19.88–28.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 23.81 | ±17.1% | 19.75–27.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 20.58 | ±6.4% | 19.25–21.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 20.97 | ±7.8% | 19.32–22.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 20.79 | ±8.0% | 19.13–22.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 19.68 | ±8.0% | 18.11–21.25 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 20.97 → 20.97 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +0.9% | 区间内 | 20.79 → 20.97 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +6.6% | 区间外 | 19.68 → 20.97 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +10.8% | 区间外 | 18.93 → 20.97 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +11.4% | 区间外 | 18.82 → 20.97 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | +15.1% | 区间外 | 18.22 → 20.97 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | +15.2% | 区间外 | 18.21 → 20.97 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | +15.1% | 区间外 | 18.22 → 20.97 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | +15.4% | 区间外 | 18.17 → 20.97 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +18.3% | 区间外 | 17.72 → 20.97 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +6.3% | 区间内 | 19.72 → 20.97 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +6.6% | 区间内 | 19.68 → 20.97 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 20.67 → 20.97 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.7% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 21.03 → 20.97 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.4% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 20.83 → 20.97 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 21.10 → 20.97 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 21.27 → 20.97 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 21.45 → 20.97 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.0% | +3.1% | 区间内 | 20.34 → 20.97 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.2% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 21.06 → 20.97 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.1% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 20.66 → 20.97 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.8% | -10.3% | 区间内 | 23.39 → 20.97 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.4% | -11.4% | 区间内 | 23.66 → 20.97 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.1% | -12.4% | 区间内 | 23.94 → 20.97 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.2% | -11.9% | 区间内 | 23.81 → 20.97 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.6% | -13.5% | 区间内 | 24.25 → 20.97 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.5% | -12.0% | 区间内 | 23.82 → 20.97 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.9% | -9.2% | 区间内 | 23.10 → 20.97 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 18.93 → 18.95 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 18.82 → 18.95 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +4.0% | 区间外 | 18.22 → 18.95 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +4.1% | 区间外 | 18.21 → 18.95 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +4.0% | 区间内 | 18.22 → 18.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +4.3% | 区间内 | 18.17 → 18.95 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +6.9% | 区间外 | 17.72 → 18.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 19.72 → 18.95 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 19.68 → 18.95 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -8.3% | 区间内 | 20.67 → 18.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 21.03 → 18.95 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -9.0% | 区间内 | 20.83 → 18.95 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 21.10 → 18.95 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -10.9% | 区间外 | 21.27 → 18.95 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -11.7% | 区间外 | 21.45 → 18.95 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | -6.8% | 区间内 | 20.34 → 18.95 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -10.0% | 区间内 | 21.06 → 18.95 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | -8.3% | 区间内 | 20.66 → 18.95 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.9% | -19.0% | 区间外 | 23.39 → 18.95 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.6% | -19.9% | 区间外 | 23.66 → 18.95 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.4% | -20.8% | 区间外 | 23.94 → 18.95 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | -20.4% | 区间外 | 23.81 → 18.95 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | -21.8% | 区间外 | 24.25 → 18.95 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | -20.5% | 区间外 | 23.82 → 18.95 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.7% | -18.0% | 区间外 | 23.10 → 18.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 18.17 → 18.17 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.8% | +2.5% | 区间外 | 17.72 → 18.17 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -7.9% | 区间外 | 19.72 → 18.17 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -7.7% | 区间外 | 19.68 → 18.17 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -12.1% | 区间外 | 20.67 → 18.17 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | -13.6% | 区间外 | 21.03 → 18.17 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | -12.8% | 区间外 | 20.83 → 18.17 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.