Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 19:03 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (3,358 kontrak, 23 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (28 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan · Nov 20, 2026 (32 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±6.4% (rentang 320.82–364.92) oleh Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 22.05 @ strike 342.5 · ATM IV: 27.1%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 308.58 | -10% | 89.9% | 10.1% |
| 325.73 | -5% | 72.6% | 27.4% |
| 342.87 | +0% | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| 360.01 | +5% | 25.8% | 74.2% |
| 377.16 | +10% | 11.0% | 89.0% |
Probabilitas yang diestimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level saat kedaluwarsa: estimasi berdasarkan asumsi tertentu, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · Model lognormal dengan zero drift: estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | 0 | ±0.3% | 25.0% | 80.6K |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2 | ±1.6% | 26.4% | 49.1K |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±2.3% | 26.7% | 233.6K |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 7 | ±2.6% | 23.1% | 11.8K |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 9 | ±3.0% | 23.6% | 2,733 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±3.4% | 24.1% | 117.7K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±5.4% | 30.2% | 69.0K |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±5.9% | 28.1% | 25.5K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±6.4% | 27.1% | 566.9K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±6.6% | 25.2% | 19.4K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±8.1% | 24.8% | 710.9K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±9.6% | 24.3% | 1.18M |
Open interest per strike · Nov 20
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 350 C · 105.2K360 C · 81.5K300 P · 61.8K330 P · 60.9K400 C · 59.8K
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs volatilitas terealisasi
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Penutupan harian; Financial Modeling Prep.
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Dari 194 perbandingan snapshot-versus-hasil yang direkam sejauh ini, penutupan berada di dalam kisaran yang diperkirakan 73.7% dari waktu ke waktu.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 3.4% · median 3.3% (20 laporan). Jendela waktu dua sesi penutupan ke penutupan; definisi
Tentang Apple Inc.
Apple Inc. is a global technology corporation that specializes in the conceptualization, production, and sale of a diverse suite of electronic devices. Its comprehensive hardware lineup features the well-known iPhone smartphones, Mac personal computers, and versatile iPad tablets. The company also supplies a range of wearables, smart home products, and accessories, including AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, items from the Beats brand, and HomePod speakers. Beyond its device offerings, Apple delivers essential support services like AppleCare and robust cloud solutions. It oversees key digital platforms, prominently the App Store, which acts as a central hub for customers to discover and download countless applications and digital content, from e-books and music to videos, games, and podcasts. The company also generates revenue via advertising, leveraging both its proprietary ad platforms and third-party licensing deals. Apple's ecosystem is further bolstered by a wide array of subscription-based services: Apple Arcade for gaming, Apple Fitness+ for personalized wellness, Apple Music for curated audio experiences and on-demand radio, Apple News+ for access to news and magazines, and A
Teknologi · Consumer Electronics · NASDAQ · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
AAPL berita
Semua berita →Apple announces product launch event for Oct. 28. Analysts expect touchscreen laptop
Apple sent invitations for an event next week, calling it "Pro and tell."
CNBC · 17:25 UTC ↗Apple's iPhone Duo is proving itself the catalyst that Jim Cramer said it would be
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CNBC · 17:25 UTC ↗Efek terkait · Teknologi
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