Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 09:33 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (3,358 contracts, 23 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±6.7% (range 319.67–365.57) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 22.95 @ strike 345 · ATM IV: 26.9%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 308.36 | -10% | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| 325.49 | -5% | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| 342.62 | +0% | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| 359.75 | +5% | 25.7% | 74.3% |
| 376.88 | +10% | 10.8% | 89.2% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | 0 | ±1.5% | 19.8% | 50.5K |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2 | ±2.2% | 23.8% | 26.8K |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±2.8% | 25.3% | 148.1K |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 7 | ±2.9% | 22.9% | 6,456 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 9 | ±3.5% | 23.9% | 1,374 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±3.9% | 24.8% | 101.2K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±5.7% | 29.6% | 58.7K |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±6.2% | 28.1% | 23.3K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±6.7% | 26.9% | 550.8K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±7.1% | 26.0% | 17.5K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±8.6% | 25.6% | 705.9K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±9.9% | 24.7% | 1.17M |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 350 C · 89.5K360 C · 74.9K400 C · 59.8K300 P · 59.0K330 P · 49.0K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 194 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 73.7% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 3.4% · median 3.3% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Apple Inc.
Apple Inc. is a global technology corporation that specializes in the conceptualization, production, and sale of a diverse suite of electronic devices. Its comprehensive hardware lineup features the well-known iPhone smartphones, Mac personal computers, and versatile iPad tablets. The company also supplies a range of wearables, smart home products, and accessories, including AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, items from the Beats brand, and HomePod speakers. Beyond its device offerings, Apple delivers essential support services like AppleCare and robust cloud solutions. It oversees key digital platforms, prominently the App Store, which acts as a central hub for customers to discover and download countless applications and digital content, from e-books and music to videos, games, and podcasts. The company also generates revenue via advertising, leveraging both its proprietary ad platforms and third-party licensing deals. Apple's ecosystem is further bolstered by a wide array of subscription-based services: Apple Arcade for gaming, Apple Fitness+ for personalized wellness, Apple Music for curated audio experiences and on-demand radio, Apple News+ for access to news and magazines, and A
Technology · Consumer Electronics · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
AAPL news
All news →Apple’s $1,999 iPhone Duo puts the company's status-symbol power to the test
Apple’s $1,999 iPhone Duo is drawing early demand as analysts assess whether the foldable can lift iPhone pricing and revenue.
CNBC · Oct 16, 18:55 UTC ↗Is Apple’s foldable iPhone Duo worth $2,000? See how it stacks up against other foldable phones.
Preorders for the iPhone Duo began Friday, marking Apple’s debut in a foldable phone market largely dominated by Samsung and Google.
MarketWatch · Oct 16, 14:40 UTC ↗Related securities · Technology
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