Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 09:33 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (3,164 contracts, 22 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (15 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±4.3% (range 310.71–338.76) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 14.03 @ strike 325 · ATM IV: 25.7%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 292.27 | -10% | 97.7% | 2.3% |
| 308.50 | -5% | 83.1% | 16.9% |
| 324.74 | +0% | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| 340.98 | +5% | 16.8% | 83.2% |
| 357.21 | +10% | 3.2% | 96.8% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 1 | ±1.6% | 26.8% | 243.9K |
| Sep 09, 2026 | 6 | ±2.9% | 25.8% | 37.1K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 8 | ±3.4% | 26.8% | 96.8K |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 11 | ±3.7% | 25.1% | 2,615 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 13 | ±4.0% | 25.1% | 714 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±4.3% | 25.7% | 742.8K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 22 | ±5.0% | 25.0% | 37.6K |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 29 | ±5.7% | 24.8% | 26.9K |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 36 | ±6.3% | 24.7% | 4,576 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±6.9% | 24.7% | 482.9K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±10.0% | 26.9% | 328.8K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±11.4% | 26.2% | 582.3K |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 360 C · 94.1K340 C · 86.2K330 C · 79.2K320 C · 68.6K350 C · 67.9K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Of 1 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 100.0% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 3.4% · median 3.3% (20 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Apple Inc.
Apple Inc. is a global technology corporation that specializes in the conceptualization, production, and sale of a diverse suite of electronic devices. Its comprehensive hardware lineup features the well-known iPhone smartphones, Mac personal computers, and versatile iPad tablets. The company also supplies a range of wearables, smart home products, and accessories, including AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, items from the Beats brand, and HomePod speakers. Beyond its device offerings, Apple delivers essential support services like AppleCare and robust cloud solutions. It oversees key digital platforms, prominently the App Store, which acts as a central hub for customers to discover and download countless applications and digital content, from e-books and music to videos, games, and podcasts. The company also generates revenue via advertising, leveraging both its proprietary ad platforms and third-party licensing deals. Apple's ecosystem is further bolstered by a wide array of subscription-based services: Apple Arcade for gaming, Apple Fitness+ for personalized wellness, Apple Music for curated audio experiences and on-demand radio, Apple News+ for access to news and magazines, and A
Technology · Consumer Electronics · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
AAPL news
All news →Apple's accusations are making things uncomfortable for OpenAI
Yahoo Finance · Sep 02, 21:03 UTC ↗Cook hands Apple to Ternus: bigger and richer, but catching up in AI race
Yahoo Finance · Sep 02, 19:03 UTC ↗Related securities — Technology
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