ZM 预期波动历史 Zoom Communications, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内65%
|实际值| 低于预期值65%
平均预期波动幅度±5.9%
平均|实际|波动幅度4.2%
平均绝对误差2.9pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 93.89 | ±1.0% | 92.94–94.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 94.47 | ±2.8% | 91.81–97.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 98.00 | ±3.6% | 94.52–101.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 97.75 | ±4.1% | 93.75–101.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 94.67 | ±4.7% | 90.25–99.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 94.75 | ±4.8% | 90.18–99.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 94.01 | ±4.9% | 89.37–98.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 93.75 | ±5.4% | 88.72–98.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 92.00 | ±5.9% | 86.53–97.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 93.90 | ±6.5% | 87.78–100.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 91.40 | ±7.9% | 84.20–98.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 91.40 | ±7.9% | 84.20–98.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 90.90 | ±7.9% | 83.67–98.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 88.86 | ±8.0% | 81.78–95.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 92.16 | ±8.4% | 84.41–99.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 92.14 | ±9.0% | 83.89–100.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 93.07 | ±9.0% | 84.67–101.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 95.36 | ±9.2% | 86.58–104.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 95.57 | ±9.5% | 86.44–104.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 95.45 | ±10.1% | 85.80–105.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 95.94 | ±10.6% | 85.74–106.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 96.60 | ±11.5% | 85.47–107.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 100.50 | ±11.7% | 88.75–112.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 101.00 | ±11.6% | 89.25–112.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 98.68 | ±10.4% | 88.38–108.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 95.94 | ±10.5% | 85.84–106.04 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 94.90 | ±11.0% | 84.42–105.38 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 96.68 | ±11.6% | 85.43–107.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 93.89 | ±5.1% | 89.15–98.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 94.47 | ±5.6% | 89.20–99.73 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | -0.0% | 区间内 | 97.75 → 97.74 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +3.2% | 区间外 | 94.67 → 97.74 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | +3.2% | 区间外 | 94.75 → 97.74 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +4.0% | 区间外 | 94.01 → 97.74 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +4.3% | 区间外 | 93.75 → 97.74 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +6.2% | 区间外 | 92.00 → 97.74 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | +4.1% | 区间内 | 93.90 → 97.74 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | +6.9% | 区间外 | 91.40 → 97.74 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | +6.9% | 区间外 | 91.40 → 97.74 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | +7.5% | 区间外 | 90.90 → 97.74 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | +10.0% | 区间外 | 88.86 → 97.74 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | +6.1% | 区间内 | 92.16 → 97.74 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | +6.1% | 区间内 | 92.14 → 97.74 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | +5.0% | 区间内 | 93.07 → 97.74 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | +2.5% | 区间内 | 95.36 → 97.74 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | +2.3% | 区间内 | 95.57 → 97.74 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 95.45 → 97.74 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.6% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 95.94 → 97.74 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.2% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 96.60 → 97.74 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 100.50 → 97.74 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 101.00 → 97.74 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | -1.0% | 区间内 | 98.68 → 97.74 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +1.9% | 区间内 | 95.94 → 97.74 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 94.90 → 97.74 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.4% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 96.68 → 97.74 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 92.00 → 92.88 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 93.90 → 92.88 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 91.40 → 92.88 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | +1.6% | 区间内 | 91.40 → 92.88 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | +2.2% | 区间内 | 90.90 → 92.88 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | +4.5% | 区间内 | 88.86 → 92.88 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 92.16 → 92.88 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.6% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 92.14 → 92.88 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 93.07 → 92.88 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 95.36 → 92.88 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.4% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 95.57 → 92.88 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 95.45 → 92.88 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.3% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 95.94 → 92.88 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.9% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 96.60 → 92.88 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.5% | -7.6% | 区间内 | 100.50 → 92.88 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | -8.0% | 区间内 | 101.00 → 92.88 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.8% | -5.9% | 区间内 | 98.68 → 92.88 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.7% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 95.94 → 92.88 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.9% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 94.90 → 92.88 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.0% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 96.68 → 92.88 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.1% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 91.40 → 89.71 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.1% | -1.8% | 区间内 | 91.40 → 89.71 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 90.90 → 89.71 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.7% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 88.86 → 89.71 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -2.7% | 区间内 | 92.16 → 89.71 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 92.14 → 89.71 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 93.07 → 89.71 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.4% | -5.9% | 区间外 | 95.36 → 89.71 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.0% | -6.1% | 区间外 | 95.57 → 89.71 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.4% | -6.0% | 区间内 | 95.45 → 89.71 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.8% | -6.5% | 区间内 | 95.94 → 89.71 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.4% | -7.1% | 区间内 | 96.60 → 89.71 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.1% | -10.7% | 区间外 | 100.50 → 89.71 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.1% | -11.2% | 区间外 | 101.00 → 89.71 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.4% | -9.1% | 区间外 | 98.68 → 89.71 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.