XLRE riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan15
Tutup dalam rentang40%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi33%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±2.1%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|2.2%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut0.7pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 42.16 | ±0.8% | 41.84–42.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 41.50 | ±2.5% | 40.48–42.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 41.83 | ±1.6% | 41.16–42.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 41.63 | ±2.4% | 40.63–42.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 40.84 | ±2.3% | 39.88–41.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 40.57 | ±2.8% | 39.42–41.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 41.10 | ±2.2% | 40.20–42.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 40.67 | ±2.2% | 39.80–41.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 40.81 | ±2.3% | 39.86–41.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 40.68 | ±2.2% | 39.78–41.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 42.48 | ±3.2% | 41.10–43.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 42.48 | ±3.2% | 41.10–43.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 42.49 | ±2.8% | 41.30–43.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 42.70 | ±2.9% | 41.45–43.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 42.97 | ±3.1% | 41.62–44.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 42.86 | ±4.6% | 40.88–44.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 42.98 | ±3.3% | 41.59–44.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 43.12 | ±3.9% | 41.42–44.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 43.42 | ±3.2% | 42.02–44.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 43.35 | ±3.6% | 41.80–44.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 43.45 | ±3.8% | 41.80–45.10 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 44.03 | ±2.6% | 42.88–45.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 43.93 | ±7.8% | 40.51–47.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 44.01 | ±3.6% | 42.43–45.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 44.20 | ±7.2% | 41.03–47.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 43.70 | ±4.1% | 41.90–45.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 43.91 | ±6.3% | 41.14–46.69 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 43.91 | ±4.0% | 42.16–45.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 42.16 | ±3.7% | 40.61–43.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 41.50 | ±4.0% | 39.85–43.15 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±0.8% | -0.4% | di dalam | 42.70 → 42.53 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±0.8% | -1.0% | di luar | 42.97 → 42.53 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.1% | -0.8% | di dalam | 42.86 → 42.53 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.3% | -1.1% | di dalam | 42.98 → 42.53 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.4% | -1.4% | di dalam | 43.12 → 42.53 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.7% | -2.1% | di luar | 43.42 → 42.53 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.9% | -1.9% | di dalam | 43.35 → 42.53 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.9% | -2.1% | di luar | 43.45 → 42.53 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -3.4% | di luar | 44.03 → 42.53 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.8% | -3.2% | di dalam | 43.93 → 42.53 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.8% | -3.4% | di luar | 44.01 → 42.53 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.1% | -3.8% | di luar | 44.20 → 42.53 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.1% | -2.7% | di luar | 43.70 → 42.53 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.7% | -3.2% | di luar | 43.91 → 42.53 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.3% | -3.2% | di luar | 43.91 → 42.53 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.