WYNN 预期波动历史 Wynn Resorts, Limited
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内26%
|实际值| 低于预期值26%
平均预期波动幅度±5.3%
平均|实际|波动幅度9.0%
平均绝对误差4.6pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 75.98 | ±4.1% | 72.88–79.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 76.50 | ±4.0% | 73.46–79.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 73.83 | ±5.1% | 70.03–77.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 75.69 | ±5.4% | 71.61–79.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 75.15 | ±6.0% | 70.65–79.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 75.25 | ±6.5% | 70.36–80.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 74.78 | ±6.9% | 69.60–79.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 76.62 | ±6.3% | 71.81–81.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 77.17 | ±6.8% | 71.91–82.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 76.47 | ±7.0% | 71.14–81.79 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 77.45 | ±7.0% | 72.03–82.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 84.23 | ±7.4% | 77.96–90.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 84.23 | ±7.4% | 77.96–90.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 83.29 | ±7.4% | 77.10–89.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 81.98 | ±8.3% | 75.18–88.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 83.23 | ±8.5% | 76.16–90.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 84.86 | ±9.3% | 76.94–92.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 87.46 | ±8.5% | 79.99–94.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 87.46 | ±8.5% | 79.99–94.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 87.80 | ±8.7% | 80.19–95.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 89.33 | ±9.0% | 81.28–97.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 91.60 | ±8.9% | 83.45–99.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 91.97 | ±9.0% | 83.68–100.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 91.50 | ±9.3% | 82.97–100.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 91.03 | ±9.2% | 82.68–99.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 91.03 | ±9.2% | 82.68–99.39 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 75.98 | ±5.1% | 72.14–79.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 76.50 | ±6.3% | 71.68–81.32 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 73.83 | ±7.0% | 68.64–79.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 75.69 | ±6.7% | 70.61–80.78 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.0% | -1.2% | 区间外 | 76.50 → 75.60 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.8% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 73.83 → 75.60 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 75.69 → 75.60 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 75.15 → 75.60 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 75.25 → 75.60 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 74.78 → 75.60 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -1.3% | 区间内 | 76.62 → 75.60 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 77.17 → 75.60 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 76.47 → 75.60 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 77.45 → 75.60 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 84.23 → 75.60 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 84.23 → 75.60 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -9.2% | 区间外 | 83.29 → 75.60 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -7.8% | 区间外 | 81.98 → 75.60 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -9.2% | 区间外 | 83.23 → 75.60 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -10.9% | 区间外 | 84.86 → 75.60 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -13.6% | 区间外 | 87.46 → 75.60 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -13.6% | 区间外 | 87.46 → 75.60 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -13.9% | 区间外 | 87.80 → 75.60 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -15.4% | 区间外 | 89.33 → 75.60 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | -17.5% | 区间外 | 91.60 → 75.60 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -17.8% | 区间外 | 91.97 → 75.60 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -17.4% | 区间外 | 91.50 → 75.60 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -17.0% | 区间外 | 91.03 → 75.60 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -17.0% | 区间外 | 91.03 → 75.60 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -16.6% | 区间外 | 90.65 → 75.60 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -16.7% | 区间外 | 90.80 → 75.60 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -18.7% | 区间外 | 92.94 → 75.60 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 75.15 → 75.15 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 75.25 → 75.15 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 74.78 → 75.15 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 76.62 → 75.15 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.9% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 77.17 → 75.15 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 76.47 → 75.15 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -3.0% | 区间内 | 77.45 → 75.15 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -10.8% | 区间外 | 84.23 → 75.15 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -10.8% | 区间外 | 84.23 → 75.15 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | -9.8% | 区间外 | 83.29 → 75.15 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 81.98 → 75.15 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -9.7% | 区间外 | 83.23 → 75.15 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -11.4% | 区间外 | 84.86 → 75.15 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -14.1% | 区间外 | 87.46 → 75.15 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -14.1% | 区间外 | 87.46 → 75.15 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -14.4% | 区间外 | 87.80 → 75.15 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -15.9% | 区间外 | 89.33 → 75.15 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -18.0% | 区间外 | 91.60 → 75.15 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -18.3% | 区间外 | 91.97 → 75.15 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -17.9% | 区间外 | 91.50 → 75.15 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -17.4% | 区间外 | 91.03 → 75.15 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.7% | -17.4% | 区间外 | 91.03 → 75.15 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | -17.1% | 区间外 | 90.65 → 75.15 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -17.2% | 区间外 | 90.80 → 75.15 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -19.1% | 区间外 | 92.94 → 75.15 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | -0.8% | 区间内 | 76.47 → 75.88 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -2.0% | 区间外 | 77.45 → 75.88 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 84.23 → 75.88 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 84.23 → 75.88 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -8.9% | 区间外 | 83.29 → 75.88 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.3% | -7.4% | 区间外 | 81.98 → 75.88 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 83.23 → 75.88 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.