WMB 预期波动历史 The Williams Companies, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项93
收盘价处于区间内72%
|实际值| 低于预期值72%
平均预期波动幅度±4.3%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.0%
平均绝对误差2.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 71.28 | ±0.8% | 70.70–71.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 72.82 | ±2.0% | 71.34–74.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 73.69 | ±1.9% | 72.26–75.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 73.00 | ±3.1% | 70.75–75.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 71.90 | ±3.2% | 69.60–74.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 71.58 | ±3.4% | 69.14–74.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 72.39 | ±3.6% | 69.81–74.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 70.81 | ±3.7% | 68.21–73.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 70.35 | ±4.1% | 67.45–73.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 69.17 | ±4.3% | 66.17–72.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 70.98 | ±5.8% | 66.88–75.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 70.98 | ±5.8% | 66.88–75.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 71.76 | ±6.2% | 67.34–76.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 72.30 | ±7.0% | 67.25–77.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 72.07 | ±7.1% | 66.92–77.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 70.04 | ±7.0% | 65.14–74.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 72.16 | ±7.3% | 66.91–77.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 72.16 | ±7.3% | 66.91–77.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 73.33 | ±7.3% | 68.00–78.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 73.33 | ±7.5% | 67.81–78.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 75.21 | ±7.2% | 69.81–80.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 76.00 | ±7.2% | 70.52–81.47 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 74.15 | ±7.5% | 68.60–79.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 74.19 | ±7.4% | 68.72–79.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 74.45 | ±7.7% | 68.72–80.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 73.88 | ±8.0% | 67.98–79.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 75.88 | ±7.6% | 70.11–81.66 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 74.30 | ±8.1% | 68.28–80.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 71.28 | ±3.3% | 68.95–73.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 72.82 | ±3.8% | 70.07–75.57 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 73.00 → 72.67 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 71.90 → 72.67 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 71.58 → 72.67 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 72.39 → 72.67 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +2.6% | 区间外 | 70.81 → 72.67 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 70.35 → 72.67 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +5.1% | 区间外 | 69.17 → 72.67 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 72.67 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 72.67 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 71.76 → 72.67 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 72.30 → 72.67 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 72.07 → 72.67 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 70.04 → 72.67 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 72.67 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 72.67 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 73.33 → 72.67 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 73.33 → 72.67 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 75.21 → 72.67 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 76.00 → 72.67 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 74.15 → 72.67 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 74.19 → 72.67 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 74.45 → 72.67 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 73.88 → 72.67 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 75.88 → 72.67 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 74.30 → 72.67 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 70.35 → 70.54 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | +2.0% | 区间外 | 69.17 → 70.54 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 70.54 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 70.54 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 71.76 → 70.54 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 72.30 → 70.54 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 72.07 → 70.54 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 70.04 → 70.54 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 70.54 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 70.54 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.5% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 73.33 → 70.54 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 73.33 → 70.54 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -6.2% | 区间内 | 75.21 → 70.54 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -7.2% | 区间外 | 76.00 → 70.54 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 74.15 → 70.54 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -4.9% | 区间内 | 74.19 → 70.54 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.5% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 74.45 → 70.54 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | -4.5% | 区间内 | 73.88 → 70.54 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.7% | -7.0% | 区间外 | 75.88 → 70.54 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.9% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 74.30 → 70.54 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.4% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 69.26 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.4% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 69.26 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -3.5% | 区间外 | 71.76 → 69.26 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.1% | -4.2% | 区间外 | 72.30 → 69.26 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.4% | -3.9% | 区间外 | 72.07 → 69.26 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 70.04 → 69.26 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 69.26 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 69.26 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.4% | -5.5% | 区间外 | 73.33 → 69.26 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -5.5% | 区间外 | 73.33 → 69.26 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -7.9% | 区间外 | 75.21 → 69.26 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.9% | -8.9% | 区间外 | 76.00 → 69.26 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.2% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 74.15 → 69.26 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.4% | -6.6% | 区间外 | 74.19 → 69.26 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.1% | -7.0% | 区间外 | 74.45 → 69.26 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.