WMB 预期波动历史 The Williams Companies, Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内77%
|实际值| 低于预期值77%
平均预期波动幅度±4.6%
平均|实际|波动幅度2.8%
平均绝对误差2.3pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 70.38 | ±3.9% | 67.66–73.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 71.28 | ±3.3% | 68.95–73.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 72.82 | ±3.8% | 70.07–75.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 73.69 | ±3.8% | 70.86–76.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 73.00 | ±4.5% | 69.75–76.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 71.90 | ±4.7% | 68.50–75.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 71.58 | ±4.6% | 68.26–74.91 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 72.39 | ±4.8% | 68.94–75.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 70.81 | ±4.1% | 67.89–73.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 70.35 | ±5.2% | 66.70–74.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 69.17 | ±5.0% | 65.72–72.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 70.98 | ±7.0% | 66.03–75.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 70.98 | ±7.0% | 66.03–75.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 71.76 | ±7.1% | 66.66–76.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 72.30 | ±6.2% | 67.83–76.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 72.07 | ±7.6% | 66.59–77.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 70.04 | ±8.7% | 63.97–76.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 72.16 | ±7.1% | 67.06–77.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 72.16 | ±7.1% | 67.06–77.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 73.33 | ±7.9% | 67.53–79.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 73.33 | ±8.0% | 67.48–79.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 75.21 | ±7.4% | 69.66–80.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 76.00 | ±8.1% | 69.82–82.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 74.15 | ±8.4% | 67.92–80.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 74.19 | ±8.5% | 67.86–80.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 74.45 | ±8.1% | 68.42–80.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 70.38 | ±3.9% | 67.66–73.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 71.28 | ±4.2% | 68.31–74.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 72.82 | ±5.2% | 69.02–76.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 73.69 | ±5.1% | 69.96–77.41 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.8% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 71.28 → 71.28 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.0% | -2.1% | 区间外 | 72.82 → 71.28 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | -3.3% | 区间外 | 73.69 → 71.28 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 73.00 → 71.28 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 71.90 → 71.28 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 71.58 → 71.28 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 72.39 → 71.28 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 70.81 → 71.28 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 70.35 → 71.28 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | +3.0% | 区间内 | 69.17 → 71.28 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 71.28 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 71.28 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 71.76 → 71.28 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 72.30 → 71.28 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.1% | -1.1% | 区间内 | 72.07 → 71.28 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 70.04 → 71.28 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 71.28 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 71.28 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 73.33 → 71.28 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 73.33 → 71.28 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -5.2% | 区间内 | 75.21 → 71.28 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -6.2% | 区间内 | 76.00 → 71.28 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 74.15 → 71.28 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 74.19 → 71.28 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | -4.3% | 区间内 | 74.45 → 71.28 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -3.5% | 区间内 | 73.88 → 71.28 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 75.88 → 71.28 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -4.1% | 区间内 | 74.30 → 71.28 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | -0.5% | 区间内 | 73.00 → 72.67 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +1.1% | 区间内 | 71.90 → 72.67 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +1.5% | 区间内 | 71.58 → 72.67 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +0.4% | 区间内 | 72.39 → 72.67 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +2.6% | 区间外 | 70.81 → 72.67 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 70.35 → 72.67 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +5.1% | 区间外 | 69.17 → 72.67 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 72.67 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 72.67 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | +1.3% | 区间内 | 71.76 → 72.67 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +0.5% | 区间内 | 72.30 → 72.67 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +0.8% | 区间内 | 72.07 → 72.67 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.3% | +3.8% | 区间内 | 70.04 → 72.67 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 72.67 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | +0.7% | 区间内 | 72.16 → 72.67 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 73.33 → 72.67 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -0.9% | 区间内 | 73.33 → 72.67 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 75.21 → 72.67 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 76.00 → 72.67 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 74.15 → 72.67 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 74.19 → 72.67 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 74.45 → 72.67 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -1.6% | 区间内 | 73.88 → 72.67 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.8% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 75.88 → 72.67 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | -2.2% | 区间内 | 74.30 → 72.67 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | +0.3% | 区间内 | 70.35 → 70.54 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | +2.0% | 区间外 | 69.17 → 70.54 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 70.54 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 70.98 → 70.54 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.0% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 71.76 → 70.54 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.4% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 72.30 → 70.54 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -2.1% | 区间内 | 72.07 → 70.54 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.