WING historial de movimiento esperado Wingstop Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas43
Cierre dentro del rango40%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado40%
Movimiento esperado promedio±11.2%
Movimiento |real| promedio13.9%
Error medio abs.5.4pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 132.75 | ±18.0% | 108.85–156.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 131.72 | ±18.8% | 106.97–156.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 122.90 | ±19.5% | 98.95–146.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 125.50 | ±18.0% | 102.90–148.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 119.13 | ±19.0% | 96.48–141.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 118.50 | ±21.4% | 93.20–143.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 116.68 | ±20.5% | 92.73–140.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 112.70 | ±20.8% | 89.25–136.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 106.68 | ±21.4% | 83.88–129.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 106.89 | ±20.4% | 85.04–128.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 104.36 | ±21.4% | 82.06–126.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 108.50 | ±24.5% | 81.95–135.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 108.50 | ±24.5% | 81.95–135.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 104.08 | ±24.8% | 78.28–129.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 104.00 | ±24.5% | 78.55–129.45 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 102.55 | ±26.0% | 75.85–129.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 102.28 | ±25.4% | 76.28–128.28 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 101.55 | ±26.9% | 74.25–128.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 117.01 | ±25.3% | 87.41–146.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 110.50 | ±26.1% | 81.70–139.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 110.55 | ±25.6% | 82.25–138.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 111.00 | ±25.5% | 82.70–139.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 108.89 | ±25.0% | 81.64–136.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 109.80 | ±25.5% | 81.85–137.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 110.79 | ±25.8% | 82.19–139.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 115.42 | ±25.8% | 85.67–145.17 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 117.69 | ±25.8% | 87.28–148.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 110.08 | ±25.8% | 81.63–138.53 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 110.06 | ±26.5% | 80.92–139.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 132.75 | ±21.6% | 104.10–161.40 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.5% | +0.0% | dentro | 131.72 → 131.72 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | +7.2% | fuera | 122.90 → 131.72 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +5.0% | dentro | 125.50 → 131.72 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | +10.6% | fuera | 119.13 → 131.72 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.4% | +11.2% | fuera | 118.50 → 131.72 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | +12.9% | fuera | 116.68 → 131.72 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | +16.9% | fuera | 112.70 → 131.72 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.0% | +23.5% | fuera | 106.68 → 131.72 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.2% | +23.2% | fuera | 106.89 → 131.72 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.7% | +26.2% | fuera | 104.36 → 131.72 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | +21.4% | fuera | 108.50 → 131.72 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | +21.4% | fuera | 108.50 → 131.72 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | +26.6% | fuera | 104.08 → 131.72 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.7% | +26.7% | fuera | 104.00 → 131.72 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.4% | +28.4% | fuera | 102.55 → 131.72 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.3% | +28.8% | fuera | 102.28 → 131.72 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.4% | +29.7% | fuera | 101.55 → 131.72 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.8% | +12.6% | dentro | 117.01 → 131.72 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.3% | +19.2% | fuera | 110.50 → 131.72 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.6% | +19.1% | fuera | 110.55 → 131.72 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.5% | +18.7% | fuera | 111.00 → 131.72 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.9% | +21.0% | fuera | 108.89 → 131.72 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.8% | +20.0% | fuera | 109.80 → 131.72 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.3% | +18.9% | fuera | 110.79 → 131.72 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.0% | +14.1% | dentro | 115.42 → 131.72 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.9% | +11.9% | dentro | 117.69 → 131.72 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.8% | +19.7% | fuera | 110.08 → 131.72 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.4% | +19.7% | fuera | 110.06 → 131.72 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.3% | +0.1% | dentro | 104.00 → 104.08 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.4% | +1.5% | dentro | 102.55 → 104.08 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.5% | +1.8% | dentro | 102.28 → 104.08 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | +2.5% | dentro | 101.55 → 104.08 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.9% | -11.1% | fuera | 117.01 → 104.08 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.8% | -5.8% | dentro | 110.50 → 104.08 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±9.5% | -5.9% | dentro | 110.55 → 104.08 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±9.4% | -6.2% | dentro | 111.00 → 104.08 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±8.5% | -4.4% | dentro | 108.89 → 104.08 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±7.9% | -5.2% | dentro | 109.80 → 104.08 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±9.0% | -6.1% | dentro | 110.79 → 104.08 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±8.7% | -9.8% | fuera | 115.42 → 104.08 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±9.9% | -11.6% | fuera | 117.69 → 104.08 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±10.1% | -5.5% | dentro | 110.08 → 104.08 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±10.5% | -5.4% | dentro | 110.06 → 104.08 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.