W geschiedenis verwachte beweging Wayfair Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte93%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht93%
Gem. verwachte beweging±9.0%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging4.1%
Gem. abs. fout5.0pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 111.75 | ±5.0% | 106.20–117.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 106.55 | ±6.2% | 99.95–113.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 104.88 | ±7.0% | 97.58–112.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 106.19 | ±7.8% | 97.86–114.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 105.74 | ±8.4% | 96.81–114.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 103.45 | ±8.9% | 94.23–112.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 103.88 | ±9.5% | 94.03–113.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 104.38 | ±9.6% | 94.41–114.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 107.15 | ±10.6% | 95.80–118.50 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 101.08 | ±10.6% | 90.38–111.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 102.67 | ±11.4% | 91.00–114.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 104.95 | ±12.7% | 91.65–118.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 104.95 | ±12.7% | 91.65–118.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 105.71 | ±12.6% | 92.39–119.03 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 102.70 | ±13.4% | 88.90–116.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 105.90 | ±13.8% | 91.28–120.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 105.76 | ±14.5% | 90.41–121.11 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 104.41 | ±13.8% | 90.01–118.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 97.98 | ±14.5% | 83.78–112.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 98.74 | ±14.8% | 84.14–113.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 100.12 | ±15.5% | 84.57–115.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 99.54 | ±15.7% | 83.89–115.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 100.53 | ±15.9% | 84.53–116.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 98.81 | ±16.2% | 82.79–114.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 96.98 | ±15.9% | 81.53–112.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 97.11 | ±15.8% | 81.75–112.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 111.75 | ±8.3% | 102.53–120.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 106.55 | ±9.2% | 96.78–116.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 104.88 | ±9.0% | 95.48–114.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 106.19 | ±9.6% | 96.04–116.34 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.1% | +0.7% | binnen | 106.55 → 107.28 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +2.3% | binnen | 104.88 → 107.28 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +1.0% | binnen | 106.19 → 107.28 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | +1.5% | binnen | 105.74 → 107.28 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +3.7% | binnen | 103.45 → 107.28 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | +3.3% | binnen | 103.88 → 107.28 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | +2.8% | binnen | 104.38 → 107.28 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | +0.1% | binnen | 107.15 → 107.28 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +6.1% | binnen | 101.08 → 107.28 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | +4.5% | binnen | 102.67 → 107.28 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +2.2% | binnen | 104.95 → 107.28 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +2.2% | binnen | 104.95 → 107.28 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | +1.5% | binnen | 105.71 → 107.28 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | +4.5% | binnen | 102.70 → 107.28 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.1% | +1.3% | binnen | 105.90 → 107.28 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.6% | +1.4% | binnen | 105.76 → 107.28 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.3% | +2.7% | binnen | 104.41 → 107.28 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.7% | +9.5% | binnen | 97.98 → 107.28 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.1% | +8.6% | binnen | 98.74 → 107.28 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.1% | +7.2% | binnen | 100.12 → 107.28 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.1% | +7.8% | binnen | 99.54 → 107.28 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.5% | +6.7% | binnen | 100.53 → 107.28 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | +8.6% | binnen | 98.81 → 107.28 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.8% | +10.6% | binnen | 96.98 → 107.28 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.3% | +10.5% | binnen | 97.11 → 107.28 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.4% | +14.1% | binnen | 94.00 → 107.28 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.7% | +14.8% | buiten | 93.48 → 107.28 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.6% | +9.9% | binnen | 97.61 → 107.28 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.4% | +0.0% | binnen | 105.74 → 105.74 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +2.2% | binnen | 103.45 → 105.74 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +1.8% | binnen | 103.88 → 105.74 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +1.3% | binnen | 104.38 → 105.74 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -1.3% | binnen | 107.15 → 105.74 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.2% | +4.6% | binnen | 101.08 → 105.74 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.4% | +3.0% | binnen | 102.67 → 105.74 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +0.8% | binnen | 104.95 → 105.74 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +0.8% | binnen | 104.95 → 105.74 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +0.0% | binnen | 105.71 → 105.74 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.3% | +3.0% | binnen | 102.70 → 105.74 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | -0.2% | binnen | 105.90 → 105.74 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.3% | -0.0% | binnen | 105.76 → 105.74 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.2% | +1.3% | binnen | 104.41 → 105.74 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.2% | +7.9% | binnen | 97.98 → 105.74 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.0% | +7.1% | binnen | 98.74 → 105.74 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | +5.6% | binnen | 100.12 → 105.74 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | +6.2% | binnen | 99.54 → 105.74 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.1% | +5.2% | binnen | 100.53 → 105.74 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.4% | +7.0% | binnen | 98.81 → 105.74 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | +9.0% | binnen | 96.98 → 105.74 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | +8.9% | binnen | 97.11 → 105.74 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.6% | +12.5% | binnen | 94.00 → 105.74 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.5% | +13.1% | binnen | 93.48 → 105.74 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | +8.3% | binnen | 97.61 → 105.74 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.8% | +0.2% | binnen | 101.08 → 101.25 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -1.4% | binnen | 102.67 → 101.25 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.9% | -3.5% | binnen | 104.95 → 101.25 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.9% | -3.5% | binnen | 104.95 → 101.25 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.9% | -4.2% | binnen | 105.71 → 101.25 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.0% | -1.4% | binnen | 102.70 → 101.25 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.6% | -4.4% | binnen | 105.90 → 101.25 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.