VZ 预期波动历史 Verizon Communications Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内30%
|实际值| 低于预期值30%
平均预期波动幅度±3.7%
平均|实际|波动幅度6.8%
平均绝对误差3.8pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 44.25 | ±3.1% | 42.87–45.63 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 44.79 | ±3.2% | 43.37–46.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 44.34 | ±3.3% | 42.88–45.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 43.48 | ±3.7% | 41.88–45.08 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 41.83 | ±4.5% | 39.94–43.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 43.12 | ±8.3% | 39.52–46.72 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 45.90 | ±3.9% | 44.13–47.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 45.95 | ±4.0% | 44.12–47.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 45.88 | ±4.1% | 44.00–47.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 45.92 | ±4.2% | 43.99–47.85 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 45.99 | ±4.6% | 43.90–48.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 46.60 | ±6.5% | 43.55–49.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 46.56 | ±6.6% | 43.51–49.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 47.82 | ±5.9% | 44.98–50.66 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 48.06 | ±6.0% | 45.20–50.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 48.42 | ±6.5% | 45.30–51.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 49.89 | ±6.3% | 46.76–53.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 51.44 | ±6.2% | 48.26–54.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 51.22 | ±6.5% | 47.90–54.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 50.59 | ±7.6% | 46.77–54.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 49.94 | ±6.8% | 46.52–53.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 49.71 | ±7.2% | 46.11–53.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 50.20 | ±7.6% | 46.38–54.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 50.19 | ±7.3% | 46.51–53.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 50.14 | ±7.3% | 46.46–53.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 50.48 | ±6.9% | 46.98–53.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 44.25 | ±4.8% | 42.12–46.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 44.79 | ±5.5% | 42.34–47.23 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 44.34 | ±5.6% | 41.84–46.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 43.48 | ±5.4% | 41.12–45.84 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.6% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 44.79 → 44.79 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.6% | +1.0% | 区间内 | 44.34 → 44.79 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.2% | +3.0% | 区间外 | 43.48 → 44.79 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +7.1% | 区间外 | 41.83 → 44.79 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.5% | +3.9% | 区间内 | 43.12 → 44.79 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.0% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 45.90 → 44.79 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 45.95 → 44.79 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 45.88 → 44.79 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | -2.5% | 区间内 | 45.92 → 44.79 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.9% | -2.6% | 区间内 | 45.99 → 44.79 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -3.9% | 区间内 | 46.60 → 44.79 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 46.56 → 44.79 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -6.3% | 区间外 | 47.82 → 44.79 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -6.8% | 区间外 | 48.06 → 44.79 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -7.5% | 区间外 | 48.42 → 44.79 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.4% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 49.89 → 44.79 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -12.9% | 区间外 | 51.44 → 44.79 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -12.6% | 区间外 | 51.22 → 44.79 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -11.5% | 区间外 | 50.59 → 44.79 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -10.3% | 区间外 | 49.94 → 44.79 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 49.71 → 44.79 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -10.8% | 区间外 | 50.20 → 44.79 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -10.8% | 区间外 | 50.19 → 44.79 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -10.7% | 区间外 | 50.14 → 44.79 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -11.3% | 区间外 | 50.48 → 44.79 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -11.1% | 区间外 | 50.36 → 44.79 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -11.0% | 区间外 | 50.35 → 44.79 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -10.4% | 区间外 | 50.00 → 44.79 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | -0.4% | 区间内 | 41.83 → 41.65 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 43.12 → 41.65 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -9.3% | 区间外 | 45.90 → 41.65 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -9.4% | 区间外 | 45.95 → 41.65 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -9.2% | 区间外 | 45.88 → 41.65 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -9.3% | 区间外 | 45.92 → 41.65 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | -9.4% | 区间外 | 45.99 → 41.65 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -10.6% | 区间外 | 46.60 → 41.65 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -10.5% | 区间外 | 46.56 → 41.65 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -12.9% | 区间外 | 47.82 → 41.65 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -13.3% | 区间外 | 48.06 → 41.65 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -14.0% | 区间外 | 48.42 → 41.65 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -16.5% | 区间外 | 49.89 → 41.65 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -19.0% | 区间外 | 51.44 → 41.65 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -18.7% | 区间外 | 51.22 → 41.65 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -17.7% | 区间外 | 50.59 → 41.65 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -16.6% | 区间外 | 49.94 → 41.65 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -16.2% | 区间外 | 49.71 → 41.65 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -17.0% | 区间外 | 50.20 → 41.65 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -17.0% | 区间外 | 50.19 → 41.65 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -16.9% | 区间外 | 50.14 → 41.65 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -17.5% | 区间外 | 50.48 → 41.65 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -17.3% | 区间外 | 50.36 → 41.65 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -17.3% | 区间外 | 50.35 → 41.65 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -16.7% | 区间外 | 50.00 → 41.65 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 45.92 → 45.92 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -0.2% | 区间内 | 45.99 → 45.92 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 46.60 → 45.92 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -1.4% | 区间内 | 46.56 → 45.92 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -4.0% | 区间外 | 47.82 → 45.92 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | -4.5% | 区间外 | 48.06 → 45.92 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -5.2% | 区间外 | 48.42 → 45.92 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.