VZ histórico de movimento esperado Verizon Communications Inc.
A cada dia útil, após o fechamento, registramos o que o mercado de opções estava precificando — por expiração, antes de o resultado ser conhecido. Quando uma expiração passa, o resultado é registrado ao lado da estimativa original. As estimativas nunca são revisadas após o fato. Como interpretar estas estatísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparações resolvidas93
Fechar dentro do intervalo28%
|Real| abaixo do esperado28%
Movimento esperado médio±3.4%
Movimento |real| médio6.8%
Erro médio absoluto4.0pt
Implícita vs. realizada, por vencimento
Para cada expiração: o contorno âmbar é o movimento esperado registrado mais próximo do vencimento; a barra sólida é o que a ação realmente fez. Os valores com sinal aparecem abaixo das barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Atualmente registado (a aguardar resultado)
| Snapshot | Expira | DTE | Spot na época | Movimento esperado | Intervalo | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 44.79 | ±0.6% | 44.53–45.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 44.34 | ±1.6% | 43.63–45.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 43.48 | ±2.2% | 42.52–44.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 41.83 | ±3.3% | 40.45–43.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 43.12 | ±7.5% | 39.87–46.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 45.90 | ±3.0% | 44.52–47.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 45.95 | ±3.1% | 44.55–47.35 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 45.88 | ±3.4% | 44.31–47.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 45.92 | ±3.6% | 44.28–47.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 45.99 | ±3.9% | 44.20–47.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 46.60 | ±5.1% | 44.21–48.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 46.56 | ±5.1% | 44.17–48.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 47.82 | ±4.9% | 45.49–50.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 48.06 | ±4.9% | 45.69–50.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 48.42 | ±5.4% | 45.82–51.02 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 49.89 | ±5.4% | 47.22–52.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 51.44 | ±5.6% | 48.58–54.30 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 51.22 | ±5.7% | 48.32–54.12 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 50.59 | ±5.5% | 47.84–53.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 49.94 | ±5.8% | 47.04–52.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 49.71 | ±5.8% | 46.80–52.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 50.20 | ±5.9% | 47.24–53.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 50.19 | ±6.1% | 47.15–53.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 50.14 | ±6.1% | 47.09–53.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 50.48 | ±6.0% | 47.46–53.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 50.36 | ±6.3% | 47.20–53.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 50.35 | ±6.5% | 47.08–53.63 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 50.00 | ±6.3% | 46.87–53.14 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 44.79 | ±3.2% | 43.37–46.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 44.34 | ±3.3% | 42.88–45.80 | em-1.0 |
Snapshots encerrados
| Snapshot | Expirado | Esperado | Real | Dentro do intervalo? | Spot → fechamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | -0.4% | dentro | 41.83 → 41.65 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -3.4% | dentro | 43.12 → 41.65 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -9.3% | fora | 45.90 → 41.65 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | -9.4% | fora | 45.95 → 41.65 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -9.2% | fora | 45.88 → 41.65 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -9.3% | fora | 45.92 → 41.65 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.0% | -9.4% | fora | 45.99 → 41.65 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -10.6% | fora | 46.60 → 41.65 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -10.5% | fora | 46.56 → 41.65 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | -12.9% | fora | 47.82 → 41.65 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | -13.3% | fora | 48.06 → 41.65 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -14.0% | fora | 48.42 → 41.65 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -16.5% | fora | 49.89 → 41.65 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -19.0% | fora | 51.44 → 41.65 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -18.7% | fora | 51.22 → 41.65 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -17.7% | fora | 50.59 → 41.65 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.4% | -16.6% | fora | 49.94 → 41.65 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -16.2% | fora | 49.71 → 41.65 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -17.0% | fora | 50.20 → 41.65 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -17.0% | fora | 50.19 → 41.65 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -16.9% | fora | 50.14 → 41.65 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -17.5% | fora | 50.48 → 41.65 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | -17.3% | fora | 50.36 → 41.65 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -17.3% | fora | 50.35 → 41.65 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -16.7% | fora | 50.00 → 41.65 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | +0.0% | dentro | 45.92 → 45.92 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.2% | -0.2% | dentro | 45.99 → 45.92 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -1.5% | dentro | 46.60 → 45.92 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -1.4% | dentro | 46.56 → 45.92 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -4.0% | fora | 47.82 → 45.92 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | -4.5% | fora | 48.06 → 45.92 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -5.2% | fora | 48.42 → 45.92 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | -8.0% | fora | 49.89 → 45.92 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -10.7% | fora | 51.44 → 45.92 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.8% | -10.3% | fora | 51.22 → 45.92 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.9% | -9.2% | fora | 50.59 → 45.92 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -8.0% | fora | 49.94 → 45.92 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -7.6% | fora | 49.71 → 45.92 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -8.5% | fora | 50.20 → 45.92 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -8.5% | fora | 50.19 → 45.92 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.3% | -8.4% | fora | 50.14 → 45.92 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -9.0% | fora | 50.48 → 45.92 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -8.8% | fora | 50.36 → 45.92 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.9% | -8.8% | fora | 50.35 → 45.92 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.0% | -8.2% | fora | 50.00 → 45.92 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.0% | +1.0% | dentro | 46.60 → 47.08 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.0% | +1.1% | dentro | 46.56 → 47.08 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -1.5% | dentro | 47.82 → 47.08 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.2% | -2.0% | dentro | 48.06 → 47.08 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.1% | -2.8% | fora | 48.42 → 47.08 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -5.6% | fora | 49.89 → 47.08 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.1% | -8.5% | fora | 51.44 → 47.08 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | -8.1% | fora | 51.22 → 47.08 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | -6.9% | fora | 50.59 → 47.08 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.6% | -5.7% | fora | 49.94 → 47.08 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.2% | -5.3% | fora | 49.71 → 47.08 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | -6.2% | fora | 50.20 → 47.08 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | -6.2% | fora | 50.19 → 47.08 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | -6.1% | fora | 50.14 → 47.08 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.0% | -6.7% | fora | 50.48 → 47.08 |
Os resultados comparam o intervalo registado com o preço de fecho no dia de expiração. A versão do método é indicada por linha quando difere; atual: em-1.0.