VST geschiedenis verwachte beweging Vistra Corp.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost121
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte72%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht72%
Gem. verwachte beweging±6.9%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging5.3%
Gem. abs. fout3.6pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 149.85 | ±4.4% | 143.30–156.40 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 151.72 | ±5.5% | 143.44–160.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 151.37 | ±6.2% | 142.04–160.69 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 162.02 | ±6.5% | 151.54–172.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 161.08 | ±7.1% | 149.60–172.56 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 156.64 | ±7.5% | 144.86–168.41 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 166.25 | ±8.1% | 152.72–179.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 159.91 | ±8.1% | 147.01–172.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 145.86 | ±8.4% | 133.66–158.06 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 140.30 | ±8.6% | 128.18–152.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 139.78 | ±8.2% | 128.31–151.25 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 140.41 | ±9.9% | 126.48–154.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 141.03 | ±10.1% | 126.83–155.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 141.20 | ±9.9% | 127.25–155.15 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 141.45 | ±10.4% | 126.67–156.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 143.95 | ±10.9% | 128.30–159.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 140.40 | ±11.0% | 124.92–155.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 141.47 | ±11.4% | 125.37–157.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 141.38 | ±11.7% | 124.81–157.96 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 148.63 | ±12.0% | 130.83–166.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 147.53 | ±12.8% | 128.71–166.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 151.21 | ±12.3% | 132.66–169.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 152.05 | ±12.9% | 132.45–171.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 149.79 | ±13.0% | 130.39–169.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 149.11 | ±13.0% | 129.71–168.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 144.34 | ±12.6% | 126.14–162.54 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 149.85 | ±6.9% | 139.55–160.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 151.72 | ±7.7% | 140.00–163.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 151.37 | ±8.9% | 137.84–164.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 162.02 | ±8.6% | 148.09–175.94 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.7% | +0.2% | binnen | 151.72 → 152.02 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | +0.4% | binnen | 151.37 → 152.02 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | -6.2% | buiten | 162.02 → 152.02 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -5.6% | buiten | 161.08 → 152.02 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -2.9% | binnen | 156.64 → 152.02 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -8.6% | buiten | 166.25 → 152.02 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -4.9% | binnen | 159.91 → 152.02 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | +4.2% | binnen | 145.86 → 152.02 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | +8.4% | buiten | 140.30 → 152.02 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | +8.8% | buiten | 139.78 → 152.02 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | +8.3% | binnen | 140.41 → 152.02 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | +7.8% | binnen | 141.03 → 152.02 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | +7.7% | binnen | 141.20 → 152.02 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | +7.5% | binnen | 141.45 → 152.02 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | +5.6% | binnen | 143.95 → 152.02 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | +8.3% | binnen | 140.40 → 152.02 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.1% | +7.5% | binnen | 141.47 → 152.02 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.3% | +7.5% | binnen | 141.38 → 152.02 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.9% | +2.3% | binnen | 148.63 → 152.02 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | +3.0% | binnen | 147.53 → 152.02 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | +0.5% | binnen | 151.21 → 152.02 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -0.0% | binnen | 152.05 → 152.02 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | +1.5% | binnen | 149.79 → 152.02 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | +1.9% | binnen | 149.11 → 152.02 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | +5.3% | binnen | 144.34 → 152.02 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | +6.0% | binnen | 143.40 → 152.02 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | +10.1% | binnen | 138.08 → 152.02 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | +10.0% | binnen | 138.25 → 152.02 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | +0.2% | binnen | 161.08 → 161.48 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.5% | +3.1% | buiten | 156.64 → 161.48 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -2.9% | binnen | 166.25 → 161.48 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +1.0% | binnen | 159.91 → 161.48 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.0% | +10.7% | buiten | 145.86 → 161.48 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +15.1% | buiten | 140.30 → 161.48 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | +15.5% | buiten | 139.78 → 161.48 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | +15.0% | buiten | 140.41 → 161.48 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | +14.5% | buiten | 141.03 → 161.48 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.8% | +14.4% | buiten | 141.20 → 161.48 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +14.2% | buiten | 141.45 → 161.48 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | +12.2% | buiten | 143.95 → 161.48 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | +15.0% | buiten | 140.40 → 161.48 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | +14.1% | buiten | 141.47 → 161.48 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.1% | +14.2% | buiten | 141.38 → 161.48 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +8.6% | binnen | 148.63 → 161.48 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +9.5% | binnen | 147.53 → 161.48 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +6.8% | binnen | 151.21 → 161.48 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +6.2% | binnen | 152.05 → 161.48 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +7.8% | binnen | 149.79 → 161.48 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | +8.3% | binnen | 149.11 → 161.48 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +11.9% | buiten | 144.34 → 161.48 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | +12.6% | buiten | 143.40 → 161.48 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | +16.9% | buiten | 138.08 → 161.48 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +16.8% | buiten | 138.25 → 161.48 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.1% | -0.2% | binnen | 140.30 → 140.02 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.2% | +0.2% | binnen | 139.78 → 140.02 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.6% | -0.3% | binnen | 140.41 → 140.02 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.7% | -0.7% | binnen | 141.03 → 140.02 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.0% | -0.8% | binnen | 141.20 → 140.02 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.6% | -1.0% | binnen | 141.45 → 140.02 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.9% | -2.7% | binnen | 143.95 → 140.02 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.