VALE riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan Vale S.A.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang41%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi41%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±5.6%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|6.6%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut2.4pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 13.15 | ±3.6% | 12.68–13.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 13.06 | ±3.9% | 12.55–13.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 13.25 | ±4.6% | 12.64–13.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 13.40 | ±4.7% | 12.77–14.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 13.64 | ±5.4% | 12.91–14.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 13.48 | ±5.7% | 12.71–14.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 13.65 | ±5.8% | 12.86–14.44 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 14.10 | ±5.9% | 13.28–14.93 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 14.24 | ±6.4% | 13.33–15.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 13.74 | ±7.8% | 12.66–14.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 13.45 | ±8.3% | 12.34–14.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 14.20 | ±7.8% | 13.09–15.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 14.22 | ±7.8% | 13.11–15.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 14.15 | ±8.3% | 12.97–15.33 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 14.23 | ±8.3% | 13.04–15.41 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 14.49 | ±9.5% | 13.12–15.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 14.18 | ±11.6% | 12.54–15.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 14.47 | ±10.1% | 13.01–15.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 14.64 | ±9.1% | 13.31–15.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 15.12 | ±9.2% | 13.72–16.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 15.22 | ±10.7% | 13.59–16.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 15.44 | ±7.7% | 14.24–16.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 15.55 | ±15.6% | 13.13–17.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 15.30 | ±11.5% | 13.54–17.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 15.32 | ±11.5% | 13.56–17.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 15.36 | ±17.9% | 12.62–18.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 13.15 | ±6.6% | 12.28–14.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 13.06 | ±6.7% | 12.18–13.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 13.25 | ±6.8% | 12.35–14.15 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 13.40 | ±7.5% | 12.39–14.41 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | +0.0% | di dalam | 13.06 → 13.06 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | -1.4% | di dalam | 13.25 → 13.06 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | -2.5% | di dalam | 13.40 → 13.06 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | -4.3% | di luar | 13.64 → 13.06 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | -3.1% | di dalam | 13.48 → 13.06 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -4.3% | di dalam | 13.65 → 13.06 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | -7.4% | di luar | 14.10 → 13.06 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -8.3% | di luar | 14.24 → 13.06 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -4.9% | di dalam | 13.74 → 13.06 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.8% | -2.9% | di dalam | 13.45 → 13.06 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | -8.0% | di luar | 14.20 → 13.06 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.2% | -8.2% | di luar | 14.22 → 13.06 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.4% | -7.7% | di luar | 14.15 → 13.06 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -8.2% | di luar | 14.23 → 13.06 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -9.9% | di luar | 14.49 → 13.06 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -7.9% | di dalam | 14.18 → 13.06 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -9.7% | di luar | 14.47 → 13.06 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.8% | -10.8% | di luar | 14.64 → 13.06 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -13.6% | di luar | 15.12 → 13.06 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -14.2% | di luar | 15.22 → 13.06 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -15.4% | di luar | 15.44 → 13.06 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -16.0% | di luar | 15.55 → 13.06 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -14.6% | di luar | 15.30 → 13.06 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -14.8% | di luar | 15.32 → 13.06 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | -15.0% | di luar | 15.36 → 13.06 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -17.0% | di luar | 15.74 → 13.06 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -13.6% | di luar | 15.12 → 13.06 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.6% | -13.0% | di luar | 15.01 → 13.06 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | -0.1% | di dalam | 13.64 → 13.62 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.0% | +1.0% | di dalam | 13.48 → 13.62 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | -0.2% | di dalam | 13.65 → 13.62 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | -3.4% | di luar | 14.10 → 13.62 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.4% | -4.4% | di luar | 14.24 → 13.62 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -0.9% | di dalam | 13.74 → 13.62 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | +1.3% | di dalam | 13.45 → 13.62 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -4.1% | di dalam | 14.20 → 13.62 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -4.2% | di dalam | 14.22 → 13.62 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -3.7% | di dalam | 14.15 → 13.62 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | -4.3% | di dalam | 14.23 → 13.62 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.7% | -6.0% | di dalam | 14.49 → 13.62 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.6% | -3.9% | di dalam | 14.18 → 13.62 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -5.9% | di dalam | 14.47 → 13.62 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -7.0% | di dalam | 14.64 → 13.62 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.7% | -9.9% | di luar | 15.12 → 13.62 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -10.5% | di luar | 15.22 → 13.62 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -11.8% | di luar | 15.44 → 13.62 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -12.4% | di luar | 15.55 → 13.62 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -11.0% | di luar | 15.30 → 13.62 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -11.1% | di luar | 15.32 → 13.62 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | -11.3% | di luar | 15.36 → 13.62 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | -13.5% | di luar | 15.74 → 13.62 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | -9.9% | di luar | 15.12 → 13.62 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | -9.3% | di luar | 15.01 → 13.62 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.6% | +0.1% | di dalam | 13.74 → 13.76 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.7% | +2.3% | di luar | 13.45 → 13.76 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -3.1% | di dalam | 14.20 → 13.76 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -3.2% | di dalam | 14.22 → 13.76 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.7% | -2.8% | di dalam | 14.15 → 13.76 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -3.3% | di dalam | 14.23 → 13.76 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.2% | -5.0% | di dalam | 14.49 → 13.76 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.