V geschiedenis verwachte beweging Visa Inc.
Elke handelsdag na de sluiting leggen we vast wat de optiemarkt inprijst — per vervaldatum, voordat de uitkomst bekend is. Wanneer een vervaldatum passeert, wordt de uitkomst naast de oorspronkelijke schatting vermeld. Schattingen worden achteraf nooit herzien. Hoe deze statistieken te lezen · vastlegging sinds Aug 31, 2026
Vergelijkingen opgelost93
Sluiting binnen bandbreedte74%
|Werkelijk| onder verwacht74%
Gem. verwachte beweging±2.9%
Gem. |werkelijke| beweging2.3%
Gem. abs. fout1.2pt
Impliciet vs. gerealiseerd, per expiratie
Voor elke vervaldatum: de oranje omlijning is de expected move die het dichtst bij de vervaldatum is vastgelegd; de solide balk is wat het aandeel werkelijk heeft gedaan. Getekende waarden staan onder de balken vermeld.
verwacht (vastgelegd)werkelijk
Momenteel vastgelegd (uitkomst nog onbekend)
| Snapshot | Vervalt | DTE | Spot destijds | Expected move | Bereik | Methode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 402.61 | ±0.1% | 402.12–403.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 390.65 | ±1.6% | 384.59–396.71 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 395.89 | ±1.6% | 389.46–402.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 385.21 | ±2.0% | 377.41–393.01 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 375.50 | ±2.5% | 365.95–385.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 372.30 | ±2.4% | 363.43–381.18 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 370.23 | ±2.7% | 360.36–380.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 369.71 | ±2.8% | 359.29–380.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 360.73 | ±3.0% | 349.90–371.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 359.85 | ±3.2% | 348.35–371.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 362.65 | ±4.2% | 347.45–377.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 362.65 | ±4.2% | 347.45–377.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 370.55 | ±4.1% | 355.18–385.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 369.77 | ±4.3% | 353.94–385.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 369.14 | ±4.3% | 353.19–385.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 370.62 | ±4.7% | 353.30–387.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 376.48 | ±4.7% | 358.75–394.20 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 375.85 | ±4.8% | 357.65–394.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 371.23 | ±4.8% | 353.38–389.07 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 366.95 | ±5.3% | 347.68–386.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 367.89 | ±5.2% | 348.87–386.92 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 369.20 | ±5.3% | 349.50–388.90 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 375.07 | ±5.3% | 355.27–394.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 374.69 | ±5.3% | 354.89–394.49 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 378.50 | ±5.3% | 358.57–398.43 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 378.50 | ±5.5% | 357.82–399.18 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 373.11 | ±5.6% | 352.29–393.94 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 379.60 | ±5.6% | 358.20–401.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 402.61 | ±2.2% | 393.56–411.66 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 390.65 | ±2.6% | 380.50–400.80 | em-1.0 |
Vastgelegde snapshots
| Snapshot | Verlopen | Verwacht | Werkelijk | Binnen bereik? | Spot → slotkoers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.2% | +0.1% | binnen | 385.21 → 385.45 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.1% | +2.6% | buiten | 375.50 → 385.45 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.2% | +3.5% | buiten | 372.30 → 385.45 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.6% | +4.1% | buiten | 370.23 → 385.45 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.8% | +4.3% | buiten | 369.71 → 385.45 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | +6.9% | buiten | 360.73 → 385.45 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.3% | +7.1% | buiten | 359.85 → 385.45 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +6.3% | buiten | 362.65 → 385.45 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +6.3% | buiten | 362.65 → 385.45 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +4.0% | buiten | 370.55 → 385.45 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | +4.2% | buiten | 369.77 → 385.45 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +4.4% | buiten | 369.14 → 385.45 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +4.0% | binnen | 370.62 → 385.45 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +2.4% | binnen | 376.48 → 385.45 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +2.6% | binnen | 375.85 → 385.45 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.2% | +3.8% | binnen | 371.23 → 385.45 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +5.0% | buiten | 366.95 → 385.45 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +4.8% | buiten | 367.89 → 385.45 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +4.4% | binnen | 369.20 → 385.45 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +2.8% | binnen | 375.07 → 385.45 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +2.9% | binnen | 374.69 → 385.45 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.8% | +1.8% | binnen | 378.50 → 385.45 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | +1.8% | binnen | 378.50 → 385.45 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +3.3% | binnen | 373.11 → 385.45 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +1.5% | binnen | 379.60 → 385.45 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | -0.0% | binnen | 360.73 → 360.66 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.9% | +0.2% | binnen | 359.85 → 360.66 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -0.5% | binnen | 362.65 → 360.66 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -0.5% | binnen | 362.65 → 360.66 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.8% | -2.7% | binnen | 370.55 → 360.66 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | -2.5% | binnen | 369.77 → 360.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.1% | -2.3% | binnen | 369.14 → 360.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -2.7% | binnen | 370.62 → 360.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.4% | -4.2% | buiten | 376.48 → 360.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.6% | -4.0% | buiten | 375.85 → 360.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.7% | -2.8% | binnen | 371.23 → 360.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -1.7% | binnen | 366.95 → 360.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -2.0% | binnen | 367.89 → 360.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -2.3% | binnen | 369.20 → 360.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.1% | -3.8% | binnen | 375.07 → 360.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -3.7% | binnen | 374.69 → 360.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -4.7% | buiten | 378.50 → 360.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.2% | -4.7% | buiten | 378.50 → 360.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -3.3% | binnen | 373.11 → 360.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.5% | -5.0% | buiten | 379.60 → 360.66 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.7% | +1.3% | binnen | 362.65 → 367.38 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.7% | +1.3% | binnen | 362.65 → 367.38 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±1.8% | -0.9% | binnen | 370.55 → 367.38 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.1% | -0.6% | binnen | 369.77 → 367.38 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.3% | -0.5% | binnen | 369.14 → 367.38 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.6% | -0.9% | binnen | 370.62 → 367.38 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -2.4% | binnen | 376.48 → 367.38 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.8% | -2.3% | binnen | 375.85 → 367.38 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.9% | -1.0% | binnen | 371.23 → 367.38 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | +0.1% | binnen | 366.95 → 367.38 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -0.1% | binnen | 367.89 → 367.38 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -0.5% | binnen | 369.20 → 367.38 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -2.0% | binnen | 375.07 → 367.38 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -2.0% | binnen | 374.69 → 367.38 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.5% | -2.9% | binnen | 378.50 → 367.38 |
Uitkomsten vergelijken de geregistreerde bandbreedte met de slotkoers op de expiratiedag. De methodversie wordt per rij weergegeven waar deze afwijkt; huidig: em-1.0.