UBER historial de movimiento esperado Uber Technologies, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas93
Cierre dentro del rango69%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado69%
Movimiento esperado promedio±5.1%
Movimiento |real| promedio3.9%
Error medio abs.2.2pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 70.18 | ±0.6% | 69.78–70.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 69.20 | ±2.2% | 67.66–70.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 71.22 | ±2.6% | 69.34–73.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 71.39 | ±3.3% | 69.00–73.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 70.01 | ±3.8% | 67.33–72.70 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 68.47 | ±3.9% | 65.83–71.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 69.15 | ±4.1% | 66.33–71.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 69.52 | ±4.6% | 66.31–72.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 68.01 | ±4.6% | 64.86–71.17 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 68.00 | ±5.3% | 64.39–71.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 70.03 | ±6.9% | 65.19–74.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 70.06 | ±6.9% | 65.22–74.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 70.95 | ±6.9% | 66.05–75.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 70.63 | ±7.1% | 65.63–75.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 70.97 | ±7.6% | 65.56–76.38 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 71.17 | ±8.1% | 65.44–76.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 71.60 | ±8.2% | 65.69–77.50 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 72.54 | ±8.3% | 66.52–78.56 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 71.71 | ±8.5% | 65.63–77.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 72.64 | ±9.2% | 65.97–79.32 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 71.34 | ±8.9% | 64.96–77.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 73.39 | ±9.2% | 66.62–80.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 75.70 | ±9.4% | 68.55–82.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 75.76 | ±9.4% | 68.61–82.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 75.90 | ±9.8% | 68.45–83.35 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 76.68 | ±9.7% | 69.23–84.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 75.28 | ±9.8% | 67.91–82.66 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 75.74 | ±9.7% | 68.36–83.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 70.18 | ±3.6% | 67.62–72.74 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 69.20 | ±4.2% | 66.31–72.08 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.7% | +0.2% | dentro | 71.39 → 71.51 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.5% | +2.1% | fuera | 70.01 → 71.51 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.9% | +4.4% | fuera | 68.47 → 71.51 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.4% | +3.4% | fuera | 69.15 → 71.51 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.9% | +2.9% | dentro | 69.52 → 71.51 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.2% | +5.1% | fuera | 68.01 → 71.51 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.7% | +5.2% | fuera | 68.00 → 71.51 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +2.1% | dentro | 70.03 → 71.51 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.8% | +2.1% | dentro | 70.06 → 71.51 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +0.8% | dentro | 70.95 → 71.51 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | +1.3% | dentro | 70.63 → 71.51 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.6% | +0.8% | dentro | 70.97 → 71.51 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | +0.5% | dentro | 71.17 → 71.51 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -0.1% | dentro | 71.60 → 71.51 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.3% | -1.4% | dentro | 72.54 → 71.51 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.5% | -0.3% | dentro | 71.71 → 71.51 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | -1.6% | dentro | 72.64 → 71.51 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | +0.2% | dentro | 71.34 → 71.51 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | -2.6% | dentro | 73.39 → 71.51 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -5.5% | dentro | 75.70 → 71.51 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | -5.6% | dentro | 75.76 → 71.51 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.0% | -5.8% | dentro | 75.90 → 71.51 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -6.7% | dentro | 76.68 → 71.51 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -5.0% | dentro | 75.28 → 71.51 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | -5.6% | dentro | 75.74 → 71.51 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.2% | +0.1% | dentro | 68.01 → 68.11 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | +0.2% | dentro | 68.00 → 68.11 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -2.7% | dentro | 70.03 → 68.11 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -2.8% | dentro | 70.06 → 68.11 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | -4.0% | dentro | 70.95 → 68.11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.8% | -3.6% | dentro | 70.63 → 68.11 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.4% | -4.0% | dentro | 70.97 → 68.11 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.8% | -4.3% | dentro | 71.17 → 68.11 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.1% | -4.9% | dentro | 71.60 → 68.11 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -6.1% | dentro | 72.54 → 68.11 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.6% | -5.0% | dentro | 71.71 → 68.11 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.2% | -6.2% | dentro | 72.64 → 68.11 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.0% | -4.5% | dentro | 71.34 → 68.11 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.4% | -7.2% | dentro | 73.39 → 68.11 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | -10.0% | fuera | 75.70 → 68.11 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | -10.1% | fuera | 75.76 → 68.11 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.9% | -10.3% | fuera | 75.90 → 68.11 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | -11.2% | fuera | 76.68 → 68.11 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.1% | -9.5% | fuera | 75.28 → 68.11 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.8% | -10.1% | fuera | 75.74 → 68.11 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -0.6% | dentro | 70.03 → 69.62 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±2.7% | -0.6% | dentro | 70.06 → 69.62 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.1% | -1.9% | dentro | 70.95 → 69.62 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.3% | -1.4% | dentro | 70.63 → 69.62 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±3.8% | -1.9% | dentro | 70.97 → 69.62 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -2.2% | dentro | 71.17 → 69.62 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.8% | -2.8% | dentro | 71.60 → 69.62 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.0% | -4.0% | dentro | 72.54 → 69.62 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.3% | -2.9% | dentro | 71.71 → 69.62 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.0% | -4.2% | dentro | 72.64 → 69.62 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.1% | -2.4% | dentro | 71.34 → 69.62 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.2% | -5.1% | dentro | 73.39 → 69.62 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.5% | -8.0% | fuera | 75.70 → 69.62 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.4% | -8.1% | fuera | 75.76 → 69.62 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -8.3% | fuera | 75.90 → 69.62 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.