UAL riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang76%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi76%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±7.3%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|4.9%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut3.7pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 95.60 | ±6.5% | 89.39–101.81 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 96.45 | ±7.0% | 89.65–103.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 98.90 | ±7.8% | 91.22–106.58 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 103.23 | ±7.1% | 95.93–110.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 107.67 | ±8.0% | 99.09–116.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 106.91 | ±9.2% | 97.08–116.73 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 110.50 | ±9.1% | 100.40–120.60 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 112.13 | ±9.7% | 101.25–123.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 110.06 | ±9.7% | 99.33–120.78 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 112.79 | ±10.8% | 100.59–124.99 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 111.69 | ±11.3% | 99.11–124.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 115.04 | ±12.6% | 100.49–129.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 115.04 | ±12.6% | 100.49–129.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 114.50 | ±12.5% | 100.15–128.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 108.53 | ±12.5% | 94.97–122.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 107.64 | ±12.1% | 94.59–120.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 106.29 | ±12.8% | 92.72–119.86 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 106.80 | ±12.9% | 93.08–120.53 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 109.51 | ±12.5% | 95.83–123.19 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 110.34 | ±13.1% | 95.84–124.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 106.50 | ±13.3% | 92.38–120.62 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 107.21 | ±12.8% | 93.51–120.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 109.84 | ±13.2% | 95.36–124.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 111.67 | ±13.7% | 96.37–126.97 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 111.53 | ±13.7% | 96.23–126.83 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 95.60 | ±8.2% | 87.72–103.47 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 96.45 | ±8.7% | 88.10–104.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 98.90 | ±8.7% | 90.29–107.51 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 103.23 | ±9.0% | 93.98–112.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 30 | 21 | 107.67 | ±9.5% | 97.42–117.92 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | -0.4% | di dalam | 96.45 → 96.10 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | -2.8% | di dalam | 98.90 → 96.10 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | -6.9% | di luar | 103.23 → 96.10 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | -10.7% | di luar | 107.67 → 96.10 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -10.1% | di luar | 106.91 → 96.10 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.1% | -13.0% | di luar | 110.50 → 96.10 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -14.3% | di luar | 112.13 → 96.10 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -12.7% | di luar | 110.06 → 96.10 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | -14.8% | di luar | 112.79 → 96.10 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.7% | -14.0% | di luar | 111.69 → 96.10 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | -16.5% | di luar | 115.04 → 96.10 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | -16.5% | di luar | 115.04 → 96.10 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.6% | -16.1% | di luar | 114.50 → 96.10 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -11.4% | di luar | 108.53 → 96.10 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | -10.7% | di dalam | 107.64 → 96.10 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.9% | -9.6% | di dalam | 106.29 → 96.10 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.1% | -10.0% | di dalam | 106.80 → 96.10 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -12.2% | di luar | 109.51 → 96.10 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.5% | -12.9% | di luar | 110.34 → 96.10 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.7% | -9.8% | di dalam | 106.50 → 96.10 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.8% | -10.4% | di dalam | 107.21 → 96.10 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.1% | -12.5% | di luar | 109.84 → 96.10 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | -13.9% | di luar | 111.67 → 96.10 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | -13.8% | di luar | 111.53 → 96.10 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.4% | -11.2% | di dalam | 108.20 → 96.10 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.8% | -8.2% | di dalam | 104.67 → 96.10 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.3% | -8.0% | di dalam | 104.51 → 96.10 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±12.5% | -12.6% | di luar | 110.00 → 96.10 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.8% | -0.2% | di dalam | 107.67 → 107.46 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +0.5% | di dalam | 106.91 → 107.46 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.4% | -2.8% | di dalam | 110.50 → 107.46 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -4.2% | di dalam | 112.13 → 107.46 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -2.4% | di dalam | 110.06 → 107.46 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -4.7% | di dalam | 112.79 → 107.46 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.0% | -3.8% | di dalam | 111.69 → 107.46 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -6.6% | di dalam | 115.04 → 107.46 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -6.6% | di dalam | 115.04 → 107.46 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.5% | -6.1% | di dalam | 114.50 → 107.46 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.4% | -1.0% | di dalam | 108.53 → 107.46 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -0.2% | di dalam | 107.64 → 107.46 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | +1.1% | di dalam | 106.29 → 107.46 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | +0.6% | di dalam | 106.80 → 107.46 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -1.9% | di dalam | 109.51 → 107.46 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -2.6% | di dalam | 110.34 → 107.46 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +0.9% | di dalam | 106.50 → 107.46 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.8% | +0.2% | di dalam | 107.21 → 107.46 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.1% | -2.2% | di dalam | 109.84 → 107.46 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | -3.8% | di dalam | 111.67 → 107.46 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.5% | -3.6% | di dalam | 111.53 → 107.46 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | -0.7% | di dalam | 108.20 → 107.46 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | +2.7% | di dalam | 104.67 → 107.46 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.6% | +2.8% | di dalam | 104.51 → 107.46 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.5% | -2.3% | di dalam | 110.00 → 107.46 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.7% | -0.2% | di dalam | 112.79 → 112.51 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.5% | +0.7% | di dalam | 111.69 → 112.51 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -2.2% | di dalam | 115.04 → 112.51 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.4% | -2.2% | di dalam | 115.04 → 112.51 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | -1.7% | di dalam | 114.50 → 112.51 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.8% | +3.7% | di dalam | 108.53 → 112.51 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.0% | +4.5% | di dalam | 107.64 → 112.51 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.