TTD riwayat pergerakan yang diperkirakan The Trade Desk, Inc.
Setiap hari perdagangan setelah penutupan, kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi — per expirasi, sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Ketika suatu expirasi berlalu, hasilnya ditulis di samping estimasi awal. Estimasi tidak pernah direvisi setelah fakta terjadi. Cara membaca statistik ini · merekam sejak Aug 31, 2026
Perbandingan terselesaikan121
Tutup dalam rentang50%
|Aktual| di bawah ekspektasi50%
Rata-rata pergerakan yang diperkirakan±8.9%
Rata-rata pergerakan |aktual|9.0%
Rata-rata kesalahan absolut3.5pt
Implied vs realized, per kedaluwarsa
Untuk setiap expirasi: garis tepi berwarna kuning adalah pergerakan yang diharapkan yang dicatat paling dekat dengan expirasi; batang padat adalah pergerakan saham yang sebenarnya terjadi. Nilai bertanda dicetak di bawah batang.
ekspektasi (direkam)aktual
Sedang dicatat (menunggu hasil)
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | DTE | Spot saat itu | Pergerakan yang diharapkan | Rentang | Metode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 12.18 | ±5.3% | 11.54–12.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 12.23 | ±5.8% | 11.52–12.94 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 12.14 | ±5.9% | 11.43–12.86 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 12.19 | ±6.9% | 11.35–13.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 12.12 | ±7.4% | 11.22–13.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 12.32 | ±9.0% | 11.21–13.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 12.08 | ±8.7% | 11.03–13.13 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 11.92 | ±8.8% | 10.87–12.97 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 11.97 | ±9.6% | 10.82–13.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 11.95 | ±9.7% | 10.79–13.11 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 12.10 | ±11.6% | 10.70–13.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 13.24 | ±12.3% | 11.61–14.88 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 13.22 | ±12.4% | 11.58–14.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 13.94 | ±12.8% | 12.16–15.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 13.97 | ±12.8% | 12.17–15.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 14.26 | ±13.3% | 12.36–16.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 14.50 | ±14.4% | 12.41–16.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 14.98 | ±14.4% | 12.82–17.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 14.94 | ±14.7% | 12.74–17.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 14.31 | ±14.6% | 12.22–16.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 13.90 | ±15.5% | 11.74–16.06 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 13.90 | ±16.1% | 11.66–16.14 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 14.00 | ±16.2% | 11.73–16.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 14.43 | ±16.7% | 12.03–16.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 14.40 | ±16.7% | 12.00–16.81 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 15.16 | ±15.6% | 12.79–17.53 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 12.18 | ±7.4% | 11.28–13.09 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 12.23 | ±8.3% | 11.21–13.24 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 12.14 | ±9.6% | 10.97–13.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 12.19 | ±8.7% | 11.12–13.26 | em-1.0 |
Snapshot yang telah diselesaikan
| Snapshot | Kedaluwarsa | Diharapkan | Aktual | Dalam kisaran? | Spot → penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +0.0% | di dalam | 12.23 → 12.23 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | +0.7% | di dalam | 12.14 → 12.23 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +0.3% | di dalam | 12.19 → 12.23 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +0.9% | di dalam | 12.12 → 12.23 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.2% | -0.7% | di dalam | 12.32 → 12.23 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | +1.2% | di dalam | 12.08 → 12.23 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +2.6% | di dalam | 11.92 → 12.23 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | +2.2% | di dalam | 11.97 → 12.23 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +2.3% | di dalam | 11.95 → 12.23 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | +1.1% | di dalam | 12.10 → 12.23 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | -7.6% | di dalam | 13.24 → 12.23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.2% | -7.5% | di dalam | 13.22 → 12.23 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.1% | -12.3% | di luar | 13.94 → 12.23 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.0% | -12.4% | di dalam | 13.97 → 12.23 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.3% | -14.2% | di luar | 14.26 → 12.23 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.5% | -15.7% | di luar | 14.50 → 12.23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.5% | -18.4% | di luar | 14.98 → 12.23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±13.4% | -18.1% | di luar | 14.94 → 12.23 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±14.3% | -14.5% | di luar | 14.31 → 12.23 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.0% | -12.0% | di dalam | 13.90 → 12.23 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.4% | -12.0% | di dalam | 13.90 → 12.23 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.3% | -12.6% | di dalam | 14.00 → 12.23 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.6% | -15.3% | di dalam | 14.43 → 12.23 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.7% | -15.1% | di dalam | 14.40 → 12.23 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±15.5% | -19.3% | di luar | 15.16 → 12.23 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±16.1% | -15.9% | di dalam | 14.54 → 12.23 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±18.0% | -11.3% | di dalam | 13.79 → 12.23 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±17.2% | -10.9% | di dalam | 13.73 → 12.23 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | -0.3% | di dalam | 12.12 → 12.08 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -1.9% | di dalam | 12.32 → 12.08 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.1% | +0.0% | di dalam | 12.08 → 12.08 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.8% | +1.4% | di dalam | 11.92 → 12.08 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | +0.9% | di dalam | 11.97 → 12.08 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | +1.1% | di dalam | 11.95 → 12.08 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | -0.2% | di dalam | 12.10 → 12.08 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -8.8% | di dalam | 13.24 → 12.08 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.3% | -8.6% | di dalam | 13.22 → 12.08 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -13.3% | di luar | 13.94 → 12.08 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -13.5% | di luar | 13.97 → 12.08 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | -15.3% | di luar | 14.26 → 12.08 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.7% | -16.7% | di luar | 14.50 → 12.08 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -19.4% | di luar | 14.98 → 12.08 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.1% | -19.1% | di luar | 14.94 → 12.08 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.9% | -15.6% | di luar | 14.31 → 12.08 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.8% | -13.1% | di luar | 13.90 → 12.08 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±12.9% | -13.1% | di luar | 13.90 → 12.08 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.5% | -13.7% | di luar | 14.00 → 12.08 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | -16.3% | di luar | 14.43 → 12.08 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | -16.1% | di luar | 14.40 → 12.08 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.7% | -20.3% | di luar | 15.16 → 12.08 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±19.1% | -16.9% | di dalam | 14.54 → 12.08 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.9% | -12.4% | di dalam | 13.79 → 12.08 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±13.9% | -12.0% | di dalam | 13.73 → 12.08 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±0.7% | +0.0% | di dalam | 11.95 → 11.95 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±2.3% | -1.2% | di dalam | 12.10 → 11.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | -9.7% | di luar | 13.24 → 11.95 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.1% | -9.6% | di luar | 13.22 → 11.95 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | -14.3% | di luar | 13.94 → 11.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.9% | -14.5% | di luar | 13.97 → 11.95 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.6% | -16.2% | di luar | 14.26 → 11.95 |
Hasil membandingkan rentang yang tercatat dengan harga penutupan pada hari kedaluwarsa. Versi metode ditampilkan per baris jika berbeda; saat ini: em-1.0.