TQQQ 预期波动历史 ProShares UltraPro QQQ

每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026

已解决的比较项1

收盘价处于区间内100%

|实际值| 低于预期值100%

平均预期波动幅度±0.3%

平均|实际|波动幅度0.0%

平均绝对误差0.3pt

隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日

每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。

预期（已记录）实际

已记录（等待结果）

快照	到期时间	DTE	当时现货价	预期涨跌幅	区间	方法
Sep 02	Sep 02	0	69.51	±0.7%	68.99–70.03	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 02	1	69.08	±2.3%	67.47–70.69	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 02	2	71.91	±2.6%	70.01–73.81	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 04	2	69.51	±3.1%	67.36–71.66	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 04	3	69.08	±4.2%	66.21–71.95	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 04	4	71.91	±4.0%	69.02–74.81	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 09	7	69.51	±4.8%	66.19–72.83	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 09	8	69.08	±5.6%	65.24–72.93	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 09	9	71.91	±5.2%	68.15–75.67	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 11	9	69.51	±5.9%	65.43–73.59	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 11	10	69.08	±6.7%	64.47–73.69	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 11	11	71.91	±6.1%	67.50–76.32	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 14	12	69.51	±6.6%	64.92–74.11	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 14	13	69.08	±7.4%	63.99–74.18	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 14	14	71.91	±6.2%	67.44–76.39	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 16	14	69.51	±7.8%	64.09–74.92	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 16	15	69.08	±8.5%	63.21–74.95	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 18	16	69.51	±8.3%	63.75–75.27	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 18	17	69.08	±9.3%	62.63–75.54	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 18	18	71.91	±8.6%	65.73–78.08	em-1.0
Sep 02	Sep 25	23	69.51	±10.4%	62.31–76.71	em-1.0
Sep 01	Sep 25	24	69.08	±11.7%	60.98–77.18	em-1.0
Aug 31	Sep 25	25	71.91	±9.5%	65.09–78.73	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 02	30	69.51	±11.2%	61.69–77.33	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 02	31	69.08	±12.3%	60.58–77.58	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 02	32	71.91	±11.5%	63.63–80.19	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 09	37	69.51	±14.1%	59.71–79.31	em-1.0
Sep 01	Oct 09	38	69.08	±14.1%	59.36–78.81	em-1.0
Aug 31	Oct 09	39	71.91	±13.3%	62.36–81.46	em-1.0
Sep 02	Oct 16	44	69.51	±14.7%	59.31–79.71	em-1.0

快照	已到期	预期值	实际值	在区间内？	现货价 → 收盘价
Aug 31, 2026	Aug 31	±0.3%	+0.0%	区间内	71.91 → 71.92

结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.