TPR historial de movimiento esperado Tapestry, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas121
Cierre dentro del rango80%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado80%
Movimiento esperado promedio±5.7%
Movimiento |real| promedio3.2%
Error medio abs.2.9pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 117.71 | ±2.5% | 114.78–120.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 119.98 | ±3.6% | 115.68–124.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 115.08 | ±4.5% | 109.86–120.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 115.23 | ±4.4% | 110.13–120.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 116.24 | ±4.9% | 110.56–121.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 115.67 | ±5.5% | 109.27–122.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 113.42 | ±5.4% | 107.27–119.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 116.75 | ±5.9% | 109.88–123.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 116.95 | ±6.1% | 109.80–124.10 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 118.12 | ±6.5% | 110.47–125.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 119.24 | ±6.5% | 111.54–126.94 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 113.07 | ±8.2% | 103.75–122.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 113.07 | ±8.2% | 103.75–122.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 113.16 | ±8.2% | 103.83–122.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 119.68 | ±9.3% | 108.53–130.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 119.68 | ±9.3% | 108.53–130.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 119.68 | ±9.3% | 108.53–130.83 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 117.11 | ±8.9% | 106.71–127.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 118.49 | ±9.5% | 107.19–129.79 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 115.87 | ±9.8% | 104.47–127.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 113.00 | ±10.1% | 101.60–124.40 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 118.16 | ±9.6% | 106.81–129.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 118.16 | ±9.6% | 106.81–129.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 122.14 | ±10.3% | 109.54–134.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 122.58 | ±9.9% | 110.48–134.69 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 122.19 | ±9.9% | 110.03–134.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 117.71 | ±5.0% | 111.81–123.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 119.98 | ±5.3% | 113.58–126.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 115.08 | ±6.0% | 108.18–121.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 115.23 | ±6.0% | 108.36–122.11 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.6% | +0.2% | dentro | 119.98 → 120.18 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | +4.4% | fuera | 115.08 → 120.18 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +4.3% | fuera | 115.23 → 120.18 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +3.4% | dentro | 116.24 → 120.18 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.2% | +3.9% | dentro | 115.67 → 120.18 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.5% | +6.0% | fuera | 113.42 → 120.18 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | +2.9% | dentro | 116.75 → 120.18 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | +2.8% | dentro | 116.95 → 120.18 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | +1.7% | dentro | 118.12 → 120.18 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.2% | +0.8% | dentro | 119.24 → 120.18 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | +6.3% | dentro | 113.07 → 120.18 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | +6.3% | dentro | 113.07 → 120.18 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | +6.2% | dentro | 113.16 → 120.18 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | +0.4% | dentro | 119.68 → 120.18 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | +0.4% | dentro | 119.68 → 120.18 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.2% | +0.4% | dentro | 119.68 → 120.18 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | +2.6% | dentro | 117.11 → 120.18 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | +1.4% | dentro | 118.49 → 120.18 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | +3.7% | dentro | 115.87 → 120.18 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | +6.4% | dentro | 113.00 → 120.18 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | +1.7% | dentro | 118.16 → 120.18 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | +1.7% | dentro | 118.16 → 120.18 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.0% | -1.6% | dentro | 122.14 → 120.18 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -2.0% | dentro | 122.58 → 120.18 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.2% | -1.6% | dentro | 122.19 → 120.18 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -1.6% | dentro | 122.14 → 120.18 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -4.2% | dentro | 125.49 → 120.18 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -4.2% | dentro | 125.49 → 120.18 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | dentro | 116.24 → 116.24 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±1.4% | +0.5% | dentro | 115.67 → 116.24 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.7% | +2.5% | dentro | 113.42 → 116.24 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -0.4% | dentro | 116.75 → 116.24 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.6% | -0.6% | dentro | 116.95 → 116.24 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | -1.6% | dentro | 118.12 → 116.24 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | -2.5% | dentro | 119.24 → 116.24 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +2.8% | dentro | 113.07 → 116.24 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +2.8% | dentro | 113.07 → 116.24 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.0% | +2.7% | dentro | 113.16 → 116.24 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -2.9% | dentro | 119.68 → 116.24 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -2.9% | dentro | 119.68 → 116.24 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.9% | -2.9% | dentro | 119.68 → 116.24 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.1% | -0.7% | dentro | 117.11 → 116.24 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.2% | -1.9% | dentro | 118.49 → 116.24 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±7.9% | +0.3% | dentro | 115.87 → 116.24 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.8% | +2.9% | dentro | 113.00 → 116.24 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -1.6% | dentro | 118.16 → 116.24 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -1.6% | dentro | 118.16 → 116.24 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.1% | -4.8% | dentro | 122.14 → 116.24 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | -5.2% | dentro | 122.58 → 116.24 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.2% | -4.9% | dentro | 122.19 → 116.24 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.4% | -4.8% | dentro | 122.14 → 116.24 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | -7.4% | dentro | 125.49 → 116.24 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.6% | -7.4% | dentro | 125.49 → 116.24 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.5% | +0.0% | dentro | 118.12 → 118.12 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.9% | -0.9% | dentro | 119.24 → 118.12 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | +4.5% | dentro | 113.07 → 118.12 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | +4.5% | dentro | 113.07 → 118.12 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±4.6% | +4.4% | dentro | 113.16 → 118.12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -1.3% | dentro | 119.68 → 118.12 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±5.9% | -1.3% | dentro | 119.68 → 118.12 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.