TAN 预期波动历史 Invesco Solar ETF
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内51%
|实际值| 低于预期值51%
平均预期波动幅度±6.6%
平均|实际|波动幅度6.9%
平均绝对误差1.6pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 41.31 | ±9.8% | 37.26–45.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 41.84 | ±10.2% | 37.56–46.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 42.64 | ±10.6% | 38.12–47.16 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 44.38 | ±10.9% | 39.55–49.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 43.65 | ±11.1% | 38.83–48.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 43.32 | ±11.0% | 38.57–48.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 43.52 | ±11.3% | 38.62–48.42 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 44.38 | ±11.2% | 39.43–49.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 43.67 | ±11.7% | 38.55–48.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 44.07 | ±11.7% | 38.92–49.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 43.07 | ±11.6% | 38.09–48.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 46.50 | ±12.4% | 40.73–52.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 46.55 | ±12.5% | 40.72–52.37 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 45.66 | ±12.6% | 39.88–51.44 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 46.36 | ±12.8% | 40.41–52.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Nov 20 | 64 | 46.47 | ±12.8% | 40.52–52.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Nov 20 | 65 | 45.13 | ±13.2% | 39.18–51.08 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Nov 20 | 66 | 46.22 | ±13.7% | 39.87–52.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Nov 20 | 67 | 47.15 | ±13.4% | 40.83–53.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Nov 20 | 70 | 47.37 | ±13.6% | 40.95–53.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Nov 20 | 71 | 47.74 | ±13.8% | 41.16–54.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Nov 20 | 72 | 49.13 | ±13.7% | 42.41–55.85 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Nov 20 | 73 | 47.76 | ±14.1% | 41.01–54.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Nov 20 | 74 | 47.76 | ±14.1% | 41.01–54.51 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Nov 20 | 77 | 48.11 | ±14.1% | 41.31–54.91 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Nov 20 | 78 | 47.57 | ±14.6% | 40.62–54.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Nov 20 | 79 | 47.57 | ±14.6% | 40.62–54.52 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Nov 20 | 80 | 47.57 | ±14.6% | 40.62–54.52 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Nov 20 | 81 | 48.65 | ±14.4% | 41.65–55.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 41.31 | ±13.0% | 35.94–46.69 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | 区间内 | 41.84 → 41.85 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.9% | -1.9% | 区间内 | 42.64 → 41.85 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.7% | -5.7% | 区间外 | 44.38 → 41.85 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | -4.1% | 区间外 | 43.65 → 41.85 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.3% | -3.4% | 区间内 | 43.32 → 41.85 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 43.52 → 41.85 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -5.7% | 区间外 | 44.38 → 41.85 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -4.2% | 区间内 | 43.67 → 41.85 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.8% | -5.0% | 区间内 | 44.07 → 41.85 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.3% | -2.8% | 区间内 | 43.07 → 41.85 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -10.0% | 区间外 | 46.50 → 41.85 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | -10.1% | 区间外 | 46.55 → 41.85 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 45.66 → 41.85 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.6% | -9.7% | 区间外 | 46.36 → 41.85 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 46.47 → 41.85 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.5% | -7.3% | 区间内 | 45.13 → 41.85 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -9.5% | 区间外 | 46.22 → 41.85 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.1% | -11.2% | 区间外 | 47.15 → 41.85 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.9% | -11.7% | 区间外 | 47.37 → 41.85 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.4% | -12.3% | 区间外 | 47.74 → 41.85 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.5% | -14.8% | 区间外 | 49.13 → 41.85 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -12.4% | 区间外 | 47.76 → 41.85 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -12.4% | 区间外 | 47.76 → 41.85 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±9.8% | -13.0% | 区间外 | 48.11 → 41.85 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -12.0% | 区间外 | 47.57 → 41.85 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -12.0% | 区间外 | 47.57 → 41.85 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±11.3% | -12.0% | 区间外 | 47.57 → 41.85 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±10.8% | -14.0% | 区间外 | 48.65 → 41.85 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.1% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 46.36 → 45.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.3% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 46.47 → 45.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 45.13 → 45.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.6% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 46.22 → 45.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 47.15 → 45.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 47.37 → 45.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.0% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 47.74 → 45.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.3% | -7.1% | 区间外 | 49.13 → 45.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 47.76 → 45.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 47.76 → 45.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 48.11 → 45.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 47.57 → 45.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 47.57 → 45.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 47.57 → 45.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.7% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 48.65 → 45.66 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.