TAN 预期波动历史 Invesco Solar ETF
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项15
收盘价处于区间内93%
|实际值| 低于预期值93%
平均预期波动幅度±4.8%
平均|实际|波动幅度3.7%
平均绝对误差1.3pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 41.84 | ±1.0% | 41.41–42.27 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 42.64 | ±2.9% | 41.41–43.87 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 44.38 | ±3.7% | 42.73–46.03 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 43.65 | ±4.0% | 41.92–45.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 43.32 | ±4.3% | 41.45–45.20 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 43.52 | ±4.9% | 41.40–45.65 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 44.38 | ±5.0% | 42.16–46.61 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 43.67 | ±6.0% | 41.05–46.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 44.07 | ±5.8% | 41.52–46.62 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 43.07 | ±6.3% | 40.37–45.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 46.50 | ±7.6% | 42.95–50.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 46.55 | ±7.9% | 42.84–50.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 45.66 | ±7.8% | 42.09–49.23 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 46.36 | ±8.6% | 42.38–50.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 46.47 | ±8.5% | 42.52–50.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 45.13 | ±8.5% | 41.28–48.98 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 46.22 | ±8.9% | 42.09–50.34 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 47.15 | ±9.1% | 42.88–51.42 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 47.37 | ±8.9% | 43.17–51.57 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 47.74 | ±9.4% | 43.24–52.24 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 49.13 | ±9.5% | 44.48–53.78 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 47.76 | ±9.8% | 43.06–52.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 47.76 | ±9.8% | 43.06–52.46 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 48.11 | ±9.8% | 43.38–52.84 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 47.57 | ±11.3% | 42.20–52.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 47.57 | ±11.3% | 42.20–52.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 47.57 | ±11.3% | 42.20–52.95 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 48.65 | ±10.8% | 43.40–53.90 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 41.84 | ±10.2% | 37.56–46.12 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 42.64 | ±10.6% | 38.12–47.16 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.1% | -1.5% | 区间内 | 46.36 → 45.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.3% | -1.7% | 区间内 | 46.47 → 45.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.4% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 45.13 → 45.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.6% | -1.2% | 区间内 | 46.22 → 45.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -3.2% | 区间内 | 47.15 → 45.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 47.37 → 45.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.0% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 47.74 → 45.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.3% | -7.1% | 区间外 | 49.13 → 45.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 47.76 → 45.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -4.4% | 区间内 | 47.76 → 45.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±5.4% | -5.1% | 区间内 | 48.11 → 45.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 47.57 → 45.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 47.57 → 45.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.5% | -4.0% | 区间内 | 47.57 → 45.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±6.7% | -6.1% | 区间内 | 48.65 → 45.66 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.