T 预期波动历史 AT&T Inc.
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项121
收盘价处于区间内44%
|实际值| 低于预期值43%
平均预期波动幅度±3.9%
平均|实际|波动幅度5.6%
平均绝对误差3.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Oct 23 | 4 | 23.20 | ±4.4% | 22.18–24.22 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 23.41 | ±5.0% | 22.25–24.57 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 23.02 | ±5.1% | 21.86–24.19 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 23 | 10 | 22.87 | ±5.1% | 21.70–24.04 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 23 | 14 | 22.24 | ±5.9% | 20.93–23.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 23 | 15 | 23.05 | ±8.4% | 21.11–25.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 23 | 16 | 24.51 | ±5.6% | 23.14–25.88 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 23 | 17 | 24.44 | ±5.6% | 23.06–25.82 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 23 | 18 | 24.23 | ±4.7% | 23.09–25.37 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 23 | 21 | 24.32 | ±6.1% | 22.84–25.80 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 23 | 22 | 24.34 | ±5.8% | 22.91–25.75 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 23 | 30 | 25.14 | ±6.9% | 23.41–26.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 23 | 31 | 25.14 | ±6.9% | 23.41–26.87 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 23 | 32 | 25.47 | ±7.0% | 23.68–27.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 23 | 35 | 25.44 | ±7.4% | 23.57–27.31 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 23 | 36 | 25.43 | ±6.7% | 23.73–27.13 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 23 | 37 | 25.87 | ±7.4% | 23.95–27.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 23 | 38 | 26.72 | ±7.0% | 24.84–28.59 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 23 | 39 | 26.54 | ±8.2% | 24.36–28.73 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 23 | 42 | 26.04 | ±7.7% | 24.02–28.05 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 23 | 43 | 25.55 | ±7.8% | 23.55–27.54 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 23 | 44 | 25.18 | ±8.1% | 23.14–27.22 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 23 | 45 | 25.59 | ±8.3% | 23.46–27.72 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 23 | 46 | 25.70 | ±11.9% | 22.63–28.77 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 23 | 49 | 25.69 | ±11.9% | 22.62–28.76 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 23 | 50 | 26.14 | ±11.8% | 23.07–29.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Oct 30 | 11 | 23.20 | ±5.3% | 21.98–24.43 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 30 | 14 | 23.41 | ±5.3% | 22.18–24.64 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 30 | 16 | 23.02 | ±5.9% | 21.68–24.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 30 | 17 | 22.87 | ±5.6% | 21.60–24.14 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±0.5% | +0.1% | 区间内 | 23.41 → 23.44 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +1.8% | 区间内 | 23.02 → 23.44 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.4% | +2.5% | 区间外 | 22.87 → 23.44 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.6% | +5.4% | 区间外 | 22.24 → 23.44 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.9% | +1.7% | 区间内 | 23.05 → 23.44 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.2% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 24.51 → 23.44 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.1% | -4.1% | 区间外 | 24.44 → 23.44 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.4% | -3.3% | 区间内 | 24.23 → 23.44 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 24.32 → 23.44 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | -3.7% | 区间内 | 24.34 → 23.44 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -6.8% | 区间外 | 25.14 → 23.44 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.1% | -6.8% | 区间外 | 25.14 → 23.44 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.0% | -8.0% | 区间外 | 25.47 → 23.44 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -7.9% | 区间外 | 25.44 → 23.44 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.5% | -7.8% | 区间外 | 25.43 → 23.44 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.7% | -9.4% | 区间外 | 25.87 → 23.44 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.6% | -12.3% | 区间外 | 26.72 → 23.44 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±5.9% | -11.7% | 区间外 | 26.54 → 23.44 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.0% | -10.0% | 区间外 | 26.04 → 23.44 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.5% | -8.3% | 区间外 | 25.55 → 23.44 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -6.9% | 区间外 | 25.18 → 23.44 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -8.4% | 区间外 | 25.59 → 23.44 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 25.70 → 23.44 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 25.69 → 23.44 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | -10.3% | 区间外 | 26.14 → 23.44 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -10.2% | 区间外 | 26.10 → 23.44 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.9% | -9.9% | 区间外 | 26.01 → 23.44 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | -10.3% | 区间外 | 26.12 → 23.44 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.6% | -0.3% | 区间内 | 22.24 → 22.18 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.0% | -3.8% | 区间内 | 23.05 → 22.18 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.2% | -9.5% | 区间外 | 24.51 → 22.18 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.1% | -9.2% | 区间外 | 24.44 → 22.18 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | -8.5% | 区间外 | 24.23 → 22.18 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.8% | -8.8% | 区间外 | 24.32 → 22.18 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | -8.9% | 区间外 | 24.34 → 22.18 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -11.8% | 区间外 | 25.14 → 22.18 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -11.8% | 区间外 | 25.14 → 22.18 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.3% | -12.9% | 区间外 | 25.47 → 22.18 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -12.8% | 区间外 | 25.44 → 22.18 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.9% | -12.8% | 区间外 | 25.43 → 22.18 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.7% | -14.3% | 区间外 | 25.87 → 22.18 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.0% | -17.0% | 区间外 | 26.72 → 22.18 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.1% | -16.4% | 区间外 | 26.54 → 22.18 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.5% | -14.8% | 区间外 | 26.04 → 22.18 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.2% | -13.2% | 区间外 | 25.55 → 22.18 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.9% | -11.9% | 区间外 | 25.18 → 22.18 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.5% | -13.3% | 区间外 | 25.59 → 22.18 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -13.7% | 区间外 | 25.70 → 22.18 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.3% | -13.7% | 区间外 | 25.69 → 22.18 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.1% | -15.1% | 区间外 | 26.14 → 22.18 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.7% | -15.0% | 区间外 | 26.10 → 22.18 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | -14.7% | 区间外 | 26.01 → 22.18 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±6.4% | -15.1% | 区间外 | 26.12 → 22.18 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 24.32 → 24.30 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.3% | -0.1% | 区间内 | 24.34 → 24.30 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -3.3% | 区间外 | 25.14 → 24.30 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -3.3% | 区间外 | 25.14 → 24.30 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.5% | -4.6% | 区间外 | 25.47 → 24.30 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.0% | -4.5% | 区间外 | 25.44 → 24.30 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±3.2% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 25.43 → 24.30 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.