SYK 预期波动历史 Stryker Corporation
每个交易日收盘后，我们记录期权市场对各到期日的定价——均在结果揭晓前留存。到期日过后，实际结果会附记于原始预估值旁。预估值在事后绝不修改。 如何解读这些统计数据 · 记录开始于 Aug 31, 2026
已解决的比较项43
收盘价处于区间内47%
|实际值| 低于预期值47%
平均预期波动幅度±5.2%
平均|实际|波动幅度6.3%
平均绝对误差3.0pt
隐含与已实现波动率，按到期日
每个到期日：琥珀色轮廓框为最接近到期时记录的预期涨跌幅；实心柱为股票实际涨跌幅。柱形下方标注带符号的具体数值。
预期（已记录）实际
已记录（等待结果）
| 快照 | 到期时间 | DTE | 当时现货价 | 预期涨跌幅 | 区间 | 方法 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 297.94 | ±9.2% | 270.59–325.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 293.00 | ±9.7% | 264.70–321.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 281.62 | ±9.7% | 254.22–309.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 282.63 | ±9.9% | 254.78–310.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 277.32 | ±10.0% | 249.62–305.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 277.03 | ±9.8% | 249.78–304.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 275.40 | ±10.2% | 247.35–303.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 277.19 | ±10.2% | 249.04–305.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 285.22 | ±9.9% | 256.92–313.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 275.43 | ±9.9% | 248.18–302.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 273.00 | ±10.1% | 245.40–300.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 274.40 | ±10.7% | 245.10–303.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 274.40 | ±10.7% | 245.10–303.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 273.58 | ±10.9% | 243.68–303.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 276.86 | ±11.2% | 245.96–307.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 297.94 | ±11.0% | 265.04–330.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 293.00 | ±11.9% | 258.25–327.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 281.62 | ±11.7% | 248.57–314.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 282.63 | ±11.6% | 249.88–315.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 277.32 | ±12.2% | 243.57–311.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 277.03 | ±12.3% | 243.08–310.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 275.40 | ±11.9% | 242.55–308.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 277.19 | ±12.0% | 244.04–310.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 285.22 | ±11.8% | 251.67–318.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 275.43 | ±11.9% | 242.53–308.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 273.00 | ±12.3% | 239.45–306.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 274.40 | ±12.5% | 240.00–308.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 274.40 | ±12.5% | 240.00–308.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 273.58 | ±12.8% | 238.53–308.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Dec 18 | 91 | 276.86 | ±13.1% | 240.71–313.01 | em-1.0 |
已归档快照
| 快照 | 已到期 | 预期值 | 实际值 | 在区间内？ | 现货价 → 收盘价 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +0.6% | 区间内 | 293.00 → 294.66 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | +4.6% | 区间外 | 281.62 → 294.66 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +4.3% | 区间外 | 282.63 → 294.66 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +6.3% | 区间外 | 277.32 → 294.66 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +6.4% | 区间外 | 277.03 → 294.66 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +7.0% | 区间外 | 275.40 → 294.66 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +6.3% | 区间外 | 277.19 → 294.66 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +3.3% | 区间内 | 285.22 → 294.66 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +7.0% | 区间外 | 275.43 → 294.66 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +7.9% | 区间外 | 273.00 → 294.66 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +7.4% | 区间外 | 274.40 → 294.66 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +7.4% | 区间外 | 274.40 → 294.66 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +7.7% | 区间外 | 273.58 → 294.66 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | +6.4% | 区间内 | 276.86 → 294.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 287.77 → 294.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +2.4% | 区间内 | 287.77 → 294.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | +4.9% | 区间内 | 280.82 → 294.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | +4.6% | 区间内 | 281.81 → 294.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +10.0% | 区间外 | 267.84 → 294.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +8.3% | 区间外 | 271.99 → 294.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | +6.4% | 区间内 | 277.03 → 294.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | +6.5% | 区间内 | 276.75 → 294.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 305.57 → 294.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -3.6% | 区间内 | 305.57 → 294.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -7.2% | 区间内 | 317.40 → 294.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -7.2% | 区间内 | 317.40 → 294.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -10.9% | 区间外 | 330.69 → 294.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -10.9% | 区间外 | 330.69 → 294.66 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.4% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 276.86 → 275.12 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 287.77 → 275.12 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -4.4% | 区间外 | 287.77 → 275.12 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -2.0% | 区间内 | 280.82 → 275.12 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.0% | -2.4% | 区间内 | 281.81 → 275.12 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.5% | +2.7% | 区间内 | 267.84 → 275.12 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.8% | +1.2% | 区间内 | 271.99 → 275.12 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -0.7% | 区间内 | 277.03 → 275.12 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -0.6% | 区间内 | 276.75 → 275.12 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -10.0% | 区间外 | 305.57 → 275.12 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -10.0% | 区间外 | 305.57 → 275.12 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -13.3% | 区间外 | 317.40 → 275.12 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -13.3% | 区间外 | 317.40 → 275.12 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -16.8% | 区间外 | 330.69 → 275.12 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -16.8% | 区间外 | 330.69 → 275.12 |
结果通过比较记录的价格区间与到期日收盘价得出。各行显示所用方法版本（与当前版本不同时）；当前版本： em-1.0.