SYK historial de movimiento esperado Stryker Corporation
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas43
Cierre dentro del rango47%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado47%
Movimiento esperado promedio±5.2%
Movimiento |real| promedio6.3%
Error medio abs.3.0pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Nov 20 | 32 | 297.94 | ±9.2% | 270.59–325.29 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Nov 20 | 35 | 293.00 | ±9.7% | 264.70–321.30 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Nov 20 | 37 | 281.62 | ±9.7% | 254.22–309.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Nov 20 | 38 | 282.63 | ±9.9% | 254.78–310.48 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Nov 20 | 42 | 277.32 | ±10.0% | 249.62–305.02 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Nov 20 | 43 | 277.03 | ±9.8% | 249.78–304.28 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Nov 20 | 44 | 275.40 | ±10.2% | 247.35–303.45 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Nov 20 | 45 | 277.19 | ±10.2% | 249.04–305.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Nov 20 | 46 | 285.22 | ±9.9% | 256.92–313.52 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Nov 20 | 49 | 275.43 | ±9.9% | 248.18–302.68 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Nov 20 | 50 | 273.00 | ±10.1% | 245.40–300.60 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Nov 20 | 58 | 274.40 | ±10.7% | 245.10–303.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Nov 20 | 59 | 274.40 | ±10.7% | 245.10–303.70 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Nov 20 | 60 | 273.58 | ±10.9% | 243.68–303.48 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Nov 20 | 63 | 276.86 | ±11.2% | 245.96–307.76 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 19 | Dec 18 | 60 | 297.94 | ±11.0% | 265.04–330.84 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Dec 18 | 63 | 293.00 | ±11.9% | 258.25–327.75 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Dec 18 | 65 | 281.62 | ±11.7% | 248.57–314.67 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Dec 18 | 66 | 282.63 | ±11.6% | 249.88–315.38 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Dec 18 | 70 | 277.32 | ±12.2% | 243.57–311.07 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Dec 18 | 71 | 277.03 | ±12.3% | 243.08–310.98 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Dec 18 | 72 | 275.40 | ±11.9% | 242.55–308.25 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Dec 18 | 73 | 277.19 | ±12.0% | 244.04–310.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Dec 18 | 74 | 285.22 | ±11.8% | 251.67–318.77 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Dec 18 | 77 | 275.43 | ±11.9% | 242.53–308.33 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Dec 18 | 78 | 273.00 | ±12.3% | 239.45–306.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Dec 18 | 86 | 274.40 | ±12.5% | 240.00–308.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Dec 18 | 87 | 274.40 | ±12.5% | 240.00–308.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Dec 18 | 88 | 273.58 | ±12.8% | 238.53–308.63 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Dec 18 | 91 | 276.86 | ±13.1% | 240.71–313.01 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±1.9% | +0.6% | dentro | 293.00 → 294.66 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.1% | +4.6% | fuera | 281.62 → 294.66 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±2.6% | +4.3% | fuera | 282.63 → 294.66 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +6.3% | fuera | 277.32 → 294.66 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +6.4% | fuera | 277.03 → 294.66 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.4% | +7.0% | fuera | 275.40 → 294.66 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.0% | +6.3% | fuera | 277.19 → 294.66 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.1% | +3.3% | dentro | 285.22 → 294.66 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.7% | +7.0% | fuera | 275.43 → 294.66 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±4.9% | +7.9% | fuera | 273.00 → 294.66 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +7.4% | fuera | 274.40 → 294.66 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.6% | +7.4% | fuera | 274.40 → 294.66 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.4% | +7.7% | fuera | 273.58 → 294.66 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±6.7% | +6.4% | dentro | 276.86 → 294.66 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +2.4% | dentro | 287.77 → 294.66 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.0% | +2.4% | dentro | 287.77 → 294.66 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | +4.9% | dentro | 280.82 → 294.66 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.3% | +4.6% | dentro | 281.81 → 294.66 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +10.0% | fuera | 267.84 → 294.66 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.7% | +8.3% | fuera | 271.99 → 294.66 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.1% | +6.4% | dentro | 277.03 → 294.66 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.3% | +6.5% | dentro | 276.75 → 294.66 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -3.6% | dentro | 305.57 → 294.66 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.6% | -3.6% | dentro | 305.57 → 294.66 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -7.2% | dentro | 317.40 → 294.66 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±7.8% | -7.2% | dentro | 317.40 → 294.66 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -10.9% | fuera | 330.69 → 294.66 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 16 | ±8.0% | -10.9% | fuera | 330.69 → 294.66 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±1.4% | -0.6% | dentro | 276.86 → 275.12 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -4.4% | fuera | 287.77 → 275.12 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -4.4% | fuera | 287.77 → 275.12 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±2.4% | -2.0% | dentro | 280.82 → 275.12 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.0% | -2.4% | dentro | 281.81 → 275.12 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.5% | +2.7% | dentro | 267.84 → 275.12 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±3.8% | +1.2% | dentro | 271.99 → 275.12 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.1% | -0.7% | dentro | 277.03 → 275.12 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.8% | -0.6% | dentro | 276.75 → 275.12 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -10.0% | fuera | 305.57 → 275.12 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.2% | -10.0% | fuera | 305.57 → 275.12 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -13.3% | fuera | 317.40 → 275.12 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.7% | -13.3% | fuera | 317.40 → 275.12 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -16.8% | fuera | 330.69 → 275.12 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sep 18 | ±4.9% | -16.8% | fuera | 330.69 → 275.12 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.